Plant Pest and Disease Model Forecasting: Enhancing Precise and Data-Driven Agricultural Practices

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About this Research Topic

Submission deadlines

  1. Manuscript Submission Deadline 4 November 2024

Background

Forecasting plant diseases presents a proactive approach to managing and mitigating the impact of diseases on crops and vegetation. There are several critical points surrounding this concept that require further discussion:

1. Early Warning System: Disease forecasting serves as an early warning system that helps agricultural professionals, such as farmers, extension agents, and researchers, anticipate the occurrence and severity of plant diseases. This allows them to take preventive measures before the disease becomes widespread.

2. Data and Research: Disease forecasting relies on the collection and analysis of data related to factors that influence disease development. This includes weather conditions, host plant susceptibility, and the presence of disease vectors (insects, fungi, bacteria, etc.). Researchers use historical data and models to make predictions.

4. Timely Control Measures: By forecasting diseases, farmers can better time the application of control measures, increasing their effectiveness.

5. Economic Benefits: Disease forecasting can lead to significant economic benefits by reducing the need for unnecessary use of pesticides, which can be costly and have environmental impacts. It can also prevent yield losses and crop damage.

6. Crop Management: Disease forecasts are an important component of integrated pest management (IPM) toolbox. IPM emphasizes the use of multiple approaches, including biological control, cultural practices, and chemical control, in a sustainable and environmentally friendly manner.

7. Technology and Tools: Advances in technology, such as remote sensing, data analytics, and modeling, have improved the accuracy of disease forecasting. These tools allow for real-time monitoring and more precise predictions.

8. Collaboration and Communication: Successful disease forecasting often involves collaboration among various stakeholders, including farmers, agricultural extension services, research institutions, and government agencies. Effective communication of forecasts and recommended actions is crucial.

9. Crop Diversification: Disease forecasting can also inform decisions about crop selection and rotation. Farmers may choose to plant less susceptible crop varieties or rotate crops to reduce disease pressure.

Disease forecasting in plants is a valuable tool in modern agriculture. It helps in the efficient and sustainable management of plant diseases, reduces economic losses, and minimizes the environmental impact of disease control measures. It also underscores the importance of a multidisciplinary approach to agricultural management, integrating science, technology, and effective communication.

Predictive models have the potential to revolutionize the management of plant diseases in various ways. These encompass precision in spray applications, reduced costs of spray applications, environmental sustainability, improved disease management, data-driven decision-making, enhanced crop health, time savings, adaptation to changing conditions, and integration with technology. By reducing the need for unnecessary sprays, improving the precision of treatments, and minimizing environmental impact, these models contribute to more sustainable, cost-effective, and efficient agricultural practices.

We invite authors to submit manuscripts on the following sub-themes:
(i) Techniques and methods for developing data-based (empirical) models and process-based (mechanistic) models
(ii) Approaches and examples of plant disease models for supporting strategic, tactical, and operational decision-making in crop protection

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This Research Topic accepts the following article types, unless otherwise specified in the Research Topic description:

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  • Mini Review
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  • Original Research
  • Perspective
  • Policy and Practice Reviews

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Keywords: forecasting, monitoring, remote sensing, plant disease, modeling, integrated pest management

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