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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Psychol.
Sec. Cognitive Science
Volume 15 - 2024 | doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2024.1399995
This article is part of the Research Topic The Cognitive Basis for Decision Making Under Risk and Uncertainty: Research Programs & Controversies View all 9 articles

Uncertainty About Paternity: A Study on Deliberate Ignorance

Provisionally accepted
  • 1 Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Berlin, Germany
  • 2 University of Granada, Granada, Spain

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

    Deliberate ignorance is the willful choice not to know the answer to a question of personal relevance. The question of whether a man is the biological father of his child is a sensitive issue in many cultures and can lead to litigation, divorce, and disinheritance. Thanks to DNA tests, men are easily able to resolve the uncertainty. Psychological theories that picture humans as informavores who are averse to ambiguity suggest men would do a DNA test, as does evolutionary theory, which considers investing in raising a rival's offspring a mistake. We conducted two representative studies using computerbased face-to-face interviews in Germany (n = 969) and Spain (n = 1002) to investigate whether men actually want to know and how women would react to this desire. As a base line, Germans (Spanish) estimated that 10% (20%) of fathers mistakenly believe that they are the biological father of their child. Nevertheless, in both countries, only 4% of fathers reported that they had performed a DNA paternity test, while 96% said they had not. In contrast, among men without children, 38% (33%) of Germans (Spanish) stated they would do a DNA test if they had children, mostly without telling their partners. Spanish women with children would more often disapprove of a paternity test or threaten their husbands with divorce (25%) than would German women (13%). We find that a simple test of risk aversion, measured also by the purchase of nonmandatory insurances, is correlated with not wanting to know.

    Keywords: anticipated regret, Deliberate ignorance, DNA paternity tests, Germany, insurance, paternity, risk aversion, Spain

    Received: 12 Mar 2024; Accepted: 15 Jul 2024.

    Copyright: © 2024 Gigerenzer and Garcia-Retamero. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

    * Correspondence: Gerd Gigerenzer, Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Berlin, Germany

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