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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Nutr.
Sec. Clinical Nutrition
Volume 11 - 2024 | doi: 10.3389/fnut.2024.1501132
This article is part of the Research Topic Nutritional Indicators and Implications for Human Health View all 9 articles

Comparative analysis of six nutritional scores in predicting prognosis of COVID-19 patients

Provisionally accepted
Shangpu Zou Shangpu Zou 1,2Pengcheng Lin Pengcheng Lin 1,2Xiaoyu Chen Xiaoyu Chen 3Lijing Xia Lijing Xia 1,2Xiling Liu Xiling Liu 1,2Shanshan Su Shanshan Su 1,2YING Zhou YING Zhou 1,2*Yuping Li Yuping Li 1,2*
  • 1 Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang Province, China
  • 2 Key Laboratory of Interventional Pulmonology of Zhejiang Province, First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, Zhejiang Province, China
  • 3 Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine,The Second Hospital of Yiwu, Yiwu City, China

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

    Background: Identifying nutritional risk in COVID-19 patients poses a challenge due to the unique qualities of every nutritional screening instrument. The objective was to assess the efficacy of six nutritional scores, including the Nutritional Risk Screening 2002 (NRS-2002) score, the NUTRIC (nutrition risk in the critically ill) score, the modified NUTRIC score, the prognostic nutritional index(PNI),controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score, TCB index (TCBI),predicting prognosis of COVID-19 patients. Methods:Clinical data were collected from COVID-19 patients admitted to the First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University between December 2022 and February 2023. Participants in this research were divided into two groups: all patients and those specifically from the intensive care unit (ICU). Each group was further stratified into two groups: survivors and non-survivors. Result: 506 COVID-19 patients and 190 COVID-19 patients in intensive care unit (ICU) were evaluated. In all COVID-19 patients, we found that NRS-2002 (p < 0.001) and TCBI (p = 0.002) were statistically significant independent predictors in multivariate analyses, while APACHE II score(p =0,048) and the mNUTRIC score (p = 0.025) were statistically significant independent predictors in multivariate analyses in ICU patients. The NRS-2002 demonstrated a higher AUC value (0.687) than other nutritional scores in all patients, with an optimum cut-off value of 3, translating into a corresponding sensitivity of 66.2% and specificity of 68.7%. With an optimum cutoff value of 4, the mNUTRIC score demonstrated a higher AUC value (0.884) in ICU patients, resulting in a sensitivity of 88.4% and a specificity of 76.9%. By using the discrimination and clinical application (DCA) curve, NRS-2002 demonstrated the greatest net benefit in all patients, while NUTRIC score and mNUTRIC score offered the more significant overall advantage than other nutritional scores in ICU patients. Kaplan-Meier analyses showed lower survival rates in patients in low nutritional risk . Conclusions: Malnutrition was common in COVID-19 patients. The mNUTRIC score and NRS-2002 were respectively more effctive scoring systems of prognosis in all COVID-19 patients and severe or critical COVID-19 patients of the intensive care unit (ICU).

    Keywords: Nutritional scores, COVID-19, Prognostic value, Nutritional risk, Nutritional assessment

    Received: 24 Sep 2024; Accepted: 15 Nov 2024.

    Copyright: © 2024 Zou, Lin, Chen, Xia, Liu, Su, Zhou and Li. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

    * Correspondence:
    YING Zhou, Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, 325000, Zhejiang Province, China
    Yuping Li, Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, 325000, Zhejiang Province, China

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