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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Nutr.
Sec. Nutritional Epidemiology
Volume 11 - 2024 | doi: 10.3389/fnut.2024.1494383
This article is part of the Research Topic Objective Dietary Assessment in Nutrition Epidemiology Studies - Volume II View all 16 articles

Trends and future predictions of chronic kidney disease due to diabetes mellitus type 2 attributable to dietary risks: insights based on

Provisionally accepted
Ming Xu Ming Xu 1,2Hongxia Wei Hongxia Wei 1,2Dongqing Lv Dongqing Lv 1,2*Yanhong Wei Yanhong Wei 2*Ziang Liu Ziang Liu 3,4Yi Zhang Yi Zhang 3,4*Yunfeng Liu Yunfeng Liu 1,2,4*
  • 1 The First Clinical Medical College, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, China
  • 2 Department of Endocrinology, First Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, Shaanxi, China
  • 3 Department of Pharmacology, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, Shanxi Province, China
  • 4 Medicinal Basic Research Innovation Center of Chronic Kidney Disease, Ministry of Education, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, Shanxi Province, China

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

    The 2021 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study shows a continuous increase in the burden of chronic kidney disease due to diabetes mellitus type 2 (CKD-T2DM) from 1990 to 2021. This study examines the influence of dietary risk factors across various populations and socioeconomic groups.Methods: Utilizing the 2021 GBD data, we analyzed agestandardized CKD-T2DM metrics-including mortality, disabilityadjusted life years (DALY), and age-standardized rates (ASR)-stratified by age, gender, and region. The study employs estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC) to monitor temporal trends and project future trends from 2022 to 2035 using bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) analysis.The results indicate that, in 2021, 20.55% of CKD-T2DM mortality and 23.21% of CKD-T2DM DALY were attributed to poor diets, especially those low in fruits and high in red and high processed meat. Throughout this period, both mortality and DALY rates associated with dietary risks increased significantly, with the most rapid increase in diet high in sugar-sweetened beverages, highlighting the considerable impact of dietary factors on the global CKD-T2DM landscape.Geographic disparities in T2DM trends are evident, with the most significant increases in age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) and agestandardized DALY rates (ASDR) observed in regions such as highincome North America and Central Latin America. Socio-demographic index (SDI) is negatively correlated with the CKD-T2DM burden attributable to dietary risk factors.Conclusions: Public health interventions that target dietary changes can significantly reduce the global burden of CKD-T2DM.

    Keywords: Diabetes mellitus type 2, Chronic Kidney Disease, Dietary risk, GBD database, BapC, Bayesian age-period-cohort

    Received: 10 Sep 2024; Accepted: 30 Dec 2024.

    Copyright: © 2024 Xu, Wei, Lv, Wei, Liu, Zhang and Liu. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

    * Correspondence:
    Dongqing Lv, Department of Endocrinology, First Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, 030001, Shaanxi, China
    Yanhong Wei, Department of Endocrinology, First Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, 030001, Shaanxi, China
    Yi Zhang, Department of Pharmacology, Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, 030001, Shanxi Province, China
    Yunfeng Liu, Department of Endocrinology, First Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, 030001, Shaanxi, China

    Disclaimer: All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.