AUTHOR=Hernández-Jover Marta , Schembri Nicole , Holyoake Patricia K. , Toribio Jenny-Ann L. M. L. , Martin Peter Anthony Julian TITLE=A Comparative Assessment of the Risks of Introduction and Spread of Foot-and-Mouth Disease among Different Pig Sectors in Australia JOURNAL=Frontiers in Veterinary Science VOLUME=3 YEAR=2016 URL=https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/veterinary-science/articles/10.3389/fvets.2016.00085 DOI=10.3389/fvets.2016.00085 ISSN=2297-1769 ABSTRACT=
Small-scale pig producers are believed to pose higher biosecurity risks for the introduction and spread of exotic diseases than commercial pig producers. However, the magnitude of these risks is poorly understood. This study is a comparative assessment of the risk of introduction and spread of foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) through different sectors of the pig industry: (1) large-scale pig producers; (2) small-scale producers (<100 sows) selling at saleyards and abattoirs; and (3) small-scale producers selling through informal means. An exposure and consequence assessments were conducted using the World Organization for Animal Health methodology for risk analysis, assuming FMD virus was introduced into Australia through illegal importation of infected meat. A quantitative assessment, using scenario trees and Monte Carlo stochastic simulation, was used to calculate the probabilities of exposure and spread. Input data for these assessments were obtained from a series of data gathering exercises among pig producers, industry statistics, and literature. Findings of this study suggest there is an