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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Trop. Dis
Sec. Tropical Disease Epidemiology and Ecology
Volume 5 - 2024 | doi: 10.3389/fitd.2024.1421669

Assessing the impact of a potential canine vaccine for the control of Chagas Disease: A Mathematical Modeling Study

Provisionally accepted
  • Texas A and M University, College Station, United States

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

    Chagas disease, a zoonotic infection transmitted by triatomine bugs, poses serious public health risks in endemic areas. As dogs are important reservoirs in the disease's spread, developing a canine vaccine could be transformative for controlling disease transmission to dogs and humans. We developed a compartmental Susceptible-Infected model to simulate the transmission dynamics of Trypanosoma cruzi, considering interactions among dogs, humans, cats, rodents, and triatomine vectors. We used the model to assess the direct and indirect impacts of two vaccine mechanisms-all-or-nothing and leaky-on disease incidence across different host populations. The sensitivity of the model's outcomes to changes in triatomine bugs feeding patterns on dogs was analyzed using univariate sensitivity analysis. Our model showed that with a 90% vaccine efficacy, an all-or-nothing vaccine could reduce the cumulative incidence of T. cruzi in dogs by 91.3% over five years. The 60% and 30% vaccine efficacies would result in reductions of 63.47% and 33%, respectively, over 5 years. Similarly, the leaky vaccine achieved a 92.62% reduction in dog infections over 5 years with 90% efficacy. The indirect effects on human T. cruzi infection were notable; the all-or-nothing vaccine reduced human disease incidence by 14.37% at 90% efficacy, while the leaky vaccine achieved a 32.15% reduction over 5 years. Both vaccine mechanisms may substantially reduce T. cruzi incidence among dogs, and generate indirect benefit to other hosts, such as humans, by reducing their infection risk. The indirect benefits of vaccination were heavily influenced by the proportion of triatomine bugs blood meals taken from dogs. The study highlights the potential of targeted canine vaccination in controlling Chagas disease transmission and burden in endemic countries. It provides additional evidence for pursuing the development of a canine vaccine as a valuable tool for Chagas disease elimination. reducing T. cruzi infection incidence in a Chagas endemic setting. Through this modeling approach, we seek to shed light on the potential impact of a dog vaccine for controlling Chagas disease in humans and other non-human hosts.We outlined the standard vector-borne modeling principles for SI (Susceptible-Infected) models as Susceptible for human, dog, cat, rodent, and avian respectively, and infected 𝑆 𝐻

    Keywords: Canine vaccine, Chagas Disease, mathematical modeling, Vaccination, Vector-borne disease

    Received: 22 Apr 2024; Accepted: 07 Oct 2024.

    Copyright: © 2024 Fiatsonu, Deka and Ndeffo-Mbah. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

    * Correspondence: Martial L. Ndeffo-Mbah, Texas A and M University, College Station, United States

    Disclaimer: All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.