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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Sustain. Tour.
Sec. Tourism, Climate and Global Environmental Consequences
Volume 3 - 2024 | doi: 10.3389/frsut.2024.1446528
This article is part of the Research Topic Climate Change and Destination Landscape Alternations and Choices View all articles

A Google Trends analysis of people's sense of seasons in Hokkaido

Provisionally accepted
Shin Nagai Shin Nagai 1*Hiromi Nakagawa Hiromi Nakagawa 1Hiroshi Morimoto Hiroshi Morimoto 2Ayumi Kotani Ayumi Kotani 2
  • 1 Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokohama, Japan
  • 2 Nagoya University, Nagoya, Aichi, Japan

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

    Accurate evaluation of the spatiotemporal variability of people's interest in seasons (i.e., their "sense of seasons") is required to deeply understand temporal changes in the relationship between people and landscape under climate and societal changes. To this end, it is useful to analyze the time series of relative search volume (RSV) for relevant search terms extracted from Google Trends (GT) for any target period and target area. We examined the presence and absence of 12-month seasonality of the time series of RSV for about 300 representative search terms for Hokkaido in Japan, which has vast natural resources and is visited yearround by many tourists from Japan and abroad. In the case of searchers in both all of Japan and Hokkaido alone, search terms categorized into the foods, leisure, natural scenic spots, and seafood fields showed a strong trend toward 12-month seasonality of the time series of RSV, whereas those categorized into the Ainu (indigenous people) and people fields had weak trends for 12-month seasonality. People's sense of seasons in all of Japan or Hokkaido alone was likely associated with tourism (search terms in the animals, festivals, foods, leisure, natural scenic spots, seafood, tourist spots, and vegetation fields), as well as with animal and plant phenology (terms in the animals and vegetation fields), provisioning ecosystem services (terms in the foods and seafood fields), climate (terms in the climate field), and cultural ecosystem services (terms in the animals, festival, foods, leisure, natural scenic spots, seafoods, and vegetation fields). However, search terms with no 12-month seasonality were included in the tourist spots fields: they included many tourist spots visited by tourists all year around. Despite the need to appropriately select a huge number of representative search terms to reduce the effect of GT limitations and the uncertainty caused by unexpected and rapid temporal changes in RSV, the GT analysis allowed us to evaluate the spatiotemporal variability of people's sense of seasons regarding various objects in the landscape, including those related to tourism, under climate and societal changes.

    Keywords: autocorrelation coefficient, people's interests, Phenology, tourism, 12-month seasonality

    Received: 10 Jun 2024; Accepted: 18 Nov 2024.

    Copyright: © 2024 Nagai, Nakagawa, Morimoto and Kotani. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

    * Correspondence: Shin Nagai, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokohama, Japan

    Disclaimer: All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.