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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Public Health
Sec. Digital Public Health
Volume 12 - 2024 | doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2024.1519623
This article is part of the Research Topic Extracting Insights from Digital Public Health Data using Artificial Intelligence, Volume III View all 8 articles

The global burden of otitis media in 204 countries and territories from 1992 to 2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

Provisionally accepted
Guan-Jiang Huang Guan-Jiang Huang *Bao-Rui Lin Bao-Rui Lin Pei-Shan Li Pei-Shan Li Na Tang Na Tang Zhi-Jun Fan Zhi-Jun Fan Biao-Qing Lu Biao-Qing Lu *
  • Department of Otorhinolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery, Zhongshan Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Affiliated to Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Zhongshan, China

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

    Objectives: This study aims to analyze the global burden of otitis media and predict future trends using data from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 (GBD 2021).A cross-sectional analysis of GBD 2021 results was conducted.Methods: Age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR), age-standardized prevalence rates (ASPR), and age-standardized disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rates (ASDR) were calculated. Trend analysis was conducted using estimated annual percentage change (EAPC), Joinpoint regression, age-period-cohort, and decomposition analyses.Future projections were generated using Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) models and ARIMA models.The global incidence of otitis media rose from 322.1 million cases in 1992 to 391.3 million in 2021, with ASIR increasing slightly from 5345.09 to 5529.1 per 100,000 (EAPC: 0.11%). Despite this increase, the ASPR decreased from 1786.56 to 1593.74 (EAPC: -0.43%). DALYs increased from 2.16 million to 2.48 million; however, ASDR declined from 37.68 to 32.54 per 100,000 (EAPC: -0.51%). Notably, low and low-middle SDI regions showed significant disparities, with higher ASIRs (up to 5315.08 for males) but declining trends in ASPR. Regionally, East Asia exhibited the most substantial decline in ASPR (-1.14%) and ASDR (-1.22%), while Central Sub-Saharan Africa demonstrated stable ASDR. Future projections indicate a rising ASIR and declining ASPR and ASDR through 2036.The global burden of otitis media shows significant regional disparities, with stable incidence but declining prevalence and DALYs rate. Public health interventions have been effective in higher SDI regions, but targeted efforts are needed in low and low-middle SDI regions to further reduce the burden of otitis media.

    Keywords: Otitis Media, Global Burden of Disease (GBD), Incidence, Prevalence, prediction

    Received: 30 Oct 2024; Accepted: 31 Dec 2024.

    Copyright: © 2024 Huang, Lin, Li, Tang, Fan and Lu. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

    * Correspondence:
    Guan-Jiang Huang, Department of Otorhinolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery, Zhongshan Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Affiliated to Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Zhongshan, China
    Biao-Qing Lu, Department of Otorhinolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery, Zhongshan Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Affiliated to Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Zhongshan, China

    Disclaimer: All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.