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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Public Health
Sec. Infectious Diseases: Epidemiology and Prevention
Volume 12 - 2024 | doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2024.1420929
This article is part of the Research Topic Emerging Infectious Diseases in Children After the COVID-19 Pandemic View all articles

Inhibition, transition, and surge: dynamic evolution of pediatric respiratory pathogen trends amid COVID-19 pandemic policy adjustments

Provisionally accepted
Xuena Xu Xuena Xu 1Zhenzhen Pan Zhenzhen Pan 1,2Heting Dong Heting Dong 1Yizhu Zhang Yizhu Zhang 1Lina Xu Lina Xu 1Pengli Wang Pengli Wang 1Yufeng Wang Yufeng Wang 1Jiaoyang Li Jiaoyang Li 1Wujun Jiang Wujun Jiang 1*Chuangli Hao Chuangli Hao 1*
  • 1 Department of Respiratory Medicine, Children’s Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, Liaoning Province, China
  • 2 Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

    Background: The implementation of a zero-COVID policy for 3 years in China during the COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted a broad spectrum of acute respiratory tract infections (ARTIs).The epidemiological characteristics of ARTI pathogens in children following the cessation of the zero-COVID policy remain unclear.Methods: Etiologically diagnostic data from 82,708 children with ARTIs at the Children's Hospital of Soochow University during 2016-2023 were analyzed for 8 pathogens (human respiratory syncytial virus [HRSV], influenza A [FluA], FluB, human parainfluenza virus [HPIV], adenovirus [ADV], human rhinovirus [HRV], bocavirus [BoV], and mycoplasma pneumoniae [MP]). The changes in respiratory infections in Suzhou, China during the first year (2020, Phase I) and the second and third years of the pandemic (2021-2022, Phase II) and the first year after the end of zero-COVID policy (2023, Phase III) versus that in the pre-pandemic years (2016-2019) were compared.Results: When compared with the average pre-pandemic levels, the pathogen-positive rate decreased by 19.27% in Phase I (OR: 0.70; 95% CI: 0.67-0.74), increased by 32.87% in Phase II (OR: 1.78; 95% CI: 1.72-1.84), and increased by 79.16% in Phase III (OR: 4.58; 95% CI: 4.37-4.79). In Phase I, the positive rates of HRSV, FluA, ADV, and MP decreased by 26.72%, 58.97%, 72.85%, and 67.87%, respectively, and the positive rates of FluB, HPIV, HRV, and BoV increased by 86.84%, 25%, 32.37%, and 16.94%, respectively. In Phase III, the positive rates of HRSV, FluA, FluB, HPIV, ADV, and HRV increased by 39.74%, 1046.15%, 118.42%, 116.57%, 131.13%, and 146.40%, respectively, while the positive rate of BoV decreased by 56.12%. MP was inhibited during the epidemic, and MP showed a delayed outbreak after the ending of the zero-COVID policy. Compared with the average pre-pandemic levels, the MP-positive rate in Phase III increased by 116.7% (OR: 2.86; 95% CI: 2.74-2.99), with the highest increase in 0-1-year-old children. The strict and large-scale implementation of the zero-COVID policy in the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic was the main driving factor for the sharp reduction in the rate of children's respiratory pathogenic infections. The termination of this policy can cause a resurgence or escalation of pathogenic infections.

    Keywords: Acute respiratory tract infections, COVID-19 pandemic, respiratory pathogens, Children, pandemic policy adjustments

    Received: 21 Apr 2024; Accepted: 12 Aug 2024.

    Copyright: © 2024 Xu, Pan, Dong, Zhang, Xu, Wang, Wang, Li, Jiang and Hao. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

    * Correspondence:
    Wujun Jiang, Department of Respiratory Medicine, Children’s Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, Liaoning Province, China
    Chuangli Hao, Department of Respiratory Medicine, Children’s Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, Liaoning Province, China

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