- 1School of Public Health, Gansu University of Chinese Medicine, Lanzhou, China
- 2Wenling Meteorological Bureau, Wenling, China
- 3School of Health Management, Gansu University of Chinese Medicine, Lanzhou, China
- 4Key Laboratory of Dunhuang Medicine, Ministry of Education, Lanzhou, China
- 5Clinical College of Chinese Medicine, Gansu University of Chinese Medicine, Lanzhou, China
Background: Lanzhou is the largest heavy industrial city in northwest China and it is a typical geographical valley-like city. However, there are few studies on the relationship between air pollutants and COPD, and their respective sample sizes are small, resulting in inconsistent results. The aim of this study is to analyze the effects of air pollutants on COPD hospitalizations in Lanzhou, China.
Methods: An ecological time series study with distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) was used for analysis. Daily COPD hospitalization data in Lanzhou from 1 January 2015 to 31 December 2019 were collected from 25 hospitals, as well as air pollutant data and meteorological data.
Results: A total of 18,275 COPD hospitalizations were enrolled. For 10 μg/m3 increase in PM2.5, PM10, SO2, NO2, and 1 mg/m3 increase in CO at lag 07 day, the RR95%CI of COPD hospitalizations were 1.048 (1.030, 1.067), 1.008 (1.004, 1.013), 1.091 (1.048, 1.135), 1.043 (1.018, 1.068), and 1.160 (1.084, 1.242), respectively. The exposure–response curves between air pollutants (except O3-8h) and COPD hospitalizations were approximately linear with no thresholds. Female, and the harmful effect of PM on aged <65 years, the effect of gaseous pollutant on those aged ≥65 years, were stronger, particularly in the cold season. Exposure to air pollutants (except O3-8h) might increase the risk of COPD hospitalizations. O3-8h has a weak and unstable effect on COPD.
Conclusion: Exposure to air pollutants (except O3-8h) increases the risk of COPD hospitalizations. O3-8h has a weak and unstable effect on COPD hospital admissions. The harmful effect of gaseous pollutants (except O3-8h) on COPD-hospitalized patients was stronger than that of PM.
Introduction
WHO data showed that 99% of the global population breathes air that exceeds WHO guideline limits and contains high levels of pollutants, with low-and middle-income countries (LMICs) suffering from the highest exposures. In addition, exposure to air pollutants will have many adverse effects on health, such as the increase in morbidity and mortality of some diseases, including chronic non-communicable diseases (NCDs) and infectious diseases in various systems of the human body (1–3). The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study showed that air pollution is the leading level 2 risk factor for GBD among all environmental and occupational risks and the fourth leading cause of global attributable death for humans (4). China’s rapid economic development over the past few decades has resulted in a significant increase in air pollutant emissions, and despite continuous improvement in air quality as a result of a series of strict control policies, such as the Action Plan for Air Pollution Prevention and Control and the Three-year Action Plan for Winning the Blue Sky Battle, air pollution remains an important public health threat in China. In 2019, air pollution caused approximately 1.85 million premature deaths in China (4).
The GBD study also showed that NCDs had the largest risk-attributable burden in 2017, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is one of the top five leading causes of risk-attributable burden, with 633,000 deaths (5). In 2019, 212.3 million prevalent cases of COPD were reported globally, with COPD accounting for 3.3 million deaths (6), and with more than three-fourths of cases in LMICs. Research also shows that the morbidity and mortality due to chronic respiratory disease continue to increase, and the increase is driven primarily by the growth of COPD (7). Therefore, COPD is an increasingly important cause of morbidity, disability, and mortality worldwide; it remains a major public health problem, especially in LMICs (8). Current research focuses on the impact of air pollution on COPD. For example, most recent estimates suggest that 50% of the total attributable risk of COPD may be related to air pollution (9), while a study in Lahore city, Pakistan, showed that PM2.5 contributes 31.41% attributable proportion (AP) to COPD in adults (10). A cohort study based on the UK Biobank of 265,506 adults showed that air pollutants were associated with the incidence and progression trajectory of COPD (11). A study based on the pooled cohort from existing cohorts in Sweden, Denmark, Germany, the Netherlands, Austria, France, and Italy found significant positive associations between PM2.5, NO2, and COPD hospital admissions (12). A study (13) conducted in Jinan, China, showed that the daily COPD hospital admissions increased by 2.36% (95%CI: 0.13–4.65%) and 2.39% (95%CI: 0.19–4.65%) for every 10 μg/m3 increase in NO2 and SO2 concentrations, respectively. However, no statistically significant associations were found between COPD and PM2.5, PM10, CO, and O3.
Lanzhou is one of the largest heavy industry cities in northwest China and a typical mountain valley city (14). At the same time, with the rapid development of urbanization, industrialization, and economy in Lanzhou, as well as a significant increase in car ownership and other factors, haze, sand, and dust pollution events still frequently occur in Lanzhou; moreover, the concentration of air pollutants in Lanzhou still remains higher than the national average level (15). Some studies (16, 17) have also analyzed the relationship between air pollutants and COPD in Lanzhou. However, specifically, Bao’s study (16) only analyzed the association between particulate matter (PM2.5 and PM10) and hospital outpatient visits for COPD. Furthermore, Dong’s (17) study analyzed the association between six ambient air pollutants and outpatient visits for acute exacerbation of COPD. In addition, both studies only collected COPD data from three hospitals, resulting in inadequate representation and inconsistent results. Therefore, in this study, we collected COPD hospitalization data from 25 hospitals in Lanzhou and explored the relationship between air pollution and COPD in Lanzhou by a distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM).
Materials and methods
Study area
Lanzhou is located in the interior of northwest China; it is the capital city of the Gansu Province. The city has four main districts (Chengguan, Qilihe, Xigu, Anning). The geographical location, urban area, population, and climate are reported in our previous articles (18, 19).
Data sources
In 2015, most hospitals in Lanzhou City had a complete electronic medical record system. However, in 2020, upon the emergence of the novel coronavirus epidemic, hospitalization data were abnormal. Hence, data on daily COPD hospital admissions from 1 January 2015 to 31 December 2019 were collected from 25 hospitals, which have complete electronic medical record systems. Hospitals’ locations are shown in Figure 1. Data included the following: age, gender, residential address, date of hospital admission, and principal diagnosis. Inclusion criteria include: Patients diagnosed with COPD by the attending physician, diagnosed according to the Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (GOLD) criteria, with risk factors and/or clinical symptoms, and lung function indicating persistent airflow limitation (FEV1/FVC < 0.70 after bronchodilator use). The International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision (ICD-10) codes is J44. Exclusion criteria include: (1) patients with a residential address outside of the urban districts in Lanzhou and (2) incomplete records. A total of 18,275 eligible subjects, aged 28 to 104, were included.
Data on hourly air pollution from 1 January 2015 to 31 December 2019 were collected from five national environmental monitoring stations in the city of Lanzhou, including PM2.5, PM10, SO2, NO2, CO, and O3. Figure 1 shows the locations of the five monitoring stations for air pollutants. Our previous studies reported the calculated daily 24-h mean concentrations of PM2.5, PM10, SO2, NO2, CO, and the maximum daily 8-h moving average of O3 (O38h) (18, 19).
The daily average temperature (T, °C) and daily average relative humidity (RH, %) were obtained from the China Meteorological Data Service Center.1
Statistical analysis
According to previous studies (10, 20), the association between air pollution and COPD outcomes is potentially non-linear and lagged, so time series analysis of the effects of air pollutants on COPD using the distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM), which can describe both non-linear exposure–response curves and lag–response relationships (21).
The constructed model is shown below: Log[E(Yt)] = α + βXt,l + ns(Time, df = 7/year) + ns(Temt, df = 3) + ns(RHt, df = 3) + Dow + Hol
t: the time observed (days); E(Yt): the expected mean of number of COPD hospital admissions at t day; Xt,l: cross-basis matrix obtained by series of transformations for daily mean concentration of a certain air pollutant, l: the maximum lag days; β: the coefficient of the matrix; ns: the function of natural cubic spline, the ns was used to control the non-linear confounders such as long-term and seasonal trends of the daily COPD hospital admissions, the average temperature, and the average relative humidity; Time: the time variable, df: the degree of freedom; Temt: the average temperature on day t; RHt: the average relative humidity on day t; Dow: the day of the week effect, and Hol: the public holiday effect.
We analyzed the relationship between air pollutants and the total COPD hospital admissions population by using DLNM, and also stratification was analyzed by gender (male and female), age (<65 years and ≥ 65 years old), and season (warm season and cold season). The cold season is from November to March (the heating season of Lanzhou City), and the warm season is from April to October (the non-heating season). Moreover, to test the robustness of the model, the lag day with the largest estimated effect in the single-pollutant model was chosen to perform the sensitivity analysis. (1) The two-pollutant models, except PM2.5 and PM10. (2) The df of the ns function of Time was changed from 6 to 10. The relative risk (RR) and corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated to estimate the effect of each 10 μg/m3 (CO, 1 mg/m3) increase for each air pollutant on COPD. The basic statistical analysis was conducted using SPSS software, version 22.0. The regression analysis of DLNM was conducted using R software version 3.6.3, with its “dlnm” package. Details of the statistical analysis are reported in our previous articles (18, 19).
Results
Statistical description
Tables 1, 2 show the descriptive statistics on COPD hospital admissions and the air pollutants in Lanzhou City during 2015–2019. A total of 18,275 COPD hospital admissions were collected, including 11,850 males and 6,425 females, 3,516 cases aged <65 years, and 14,759 cases aged ≥65 years. The average daily hospitalization of COPD in the cold season was 11.1 ± 6.9 cases/day, which was much higher than in the warm season (9.0 ± 5.8 cases/day). Meanwhile, the average concentrations of PM2.5, PM10, SO2, NO2, and CO in cold seasons were also higher than in the warm seasons (all p-values<0.0001). Whereas, there was no statistical difference in the average concentrations of O3-8h between the cold and warm seasons (p = 0.894).
The Spearman rank correlation (rs) between daily COPD admissions, air pollutants, and meteorological factors is shown in Table 3. Daily COPD admissions were significantly positively correlated with daily PM, SO2, NO2, and CO concentrations, but significantly negatively correlated with T and RH. Except for SO2 and O3-8h, there were significant correlations among air pollutant concentrations, with the highest rs between PM2.5 and PM10 (0.876) being the highest. Air pollutants other than O3-8h were negatively and significantly correlated with T, as well as RH.
Table 3. The coefficient of spearman rank correlation (rs) between daily COPD admissions, air pollutants and meteorological data in Lanzhou, 2015–2019.
Effects of air pollutants on COPD admissions analyzed by DLNM
Figure 2 and Supplementary Table S1 show the lag-response plots of the association between air pollutants and COPD hospital admissions. In addition to O3-8h, all air pollutants had a significant positive correlation with COPD hospital admissions. The greatest effect of air pollutants on COPD admissions was found at lag07. For 10 μg/m3 increase in PM2.5, PM10, SO2, NO2, and 1 mg/m3 increase in CO at lag 7 day, the RR95%CI of COPD admissions were 1.048 (1.030, 1.067), 1.008 (1.004, 1.013), 1.091 (1.048, 1.135), 1.043 (1.018, 1.068), and 1.160 (1.084, 1.242). However, for 10 μg/m3 increase in O3-8h, the RR95%CI was 0.983 (0.970, 0.996) at lag 7, and 1.023 (1.001, 1.045) at lag 5. This was obvious that air pollutants (except O3-8h) may had an adverse effect on COPD hospital admissions, and the adverse effect of PM2.5 was higher than that of PM10, with CO having the strongest harmful effect.
Figure 2. RRs (95% CI) of COPD hospital admissions associated with air pollutants (per 10 μg/m3 increase and 1 mg/m3 increase in CO) at various lags.
Figure 3 shows the exposure–response curves of the effects of air pollutants on COPD hospital admissions. Based on the results of Figure 2 and Supplementary Table S1, we focused on COPD admissions related to air pollutants at lag 7 day (O3-8h at lag 5 day). The six exposure–response curves were approximately linear, with the curves of PM2.5, PM10, SO2, NO2, and CO showing a significant positive relationship and no thresholds, but the exposure–response curve of O3-8h was not statistically significant.
Figure 3. Exposure-response curves between air pollutants and COPD hospital admissions at lag07 (O3-8h at lag 05 day).
Stratified analysis
Figure 4 shows the RRs (95% CI) of COPD admissions associated with air pollutants stratified by age. In those aged <65 years, only PM2.5, PM10, NO2, and CO were significantly and positively associated with COPD hospital admissions. In those aged ≥65 years, COPD hospital admissions were negatively correlated with O3-8h but positively with other air pollutants. Simultaneously, the harmful effect of particulate matter on those aged <65 years was slightly higher than those aged ≥65 years; however, the effect of the gaseous pollutants on those aged <65 years was slightly lower than those aged ≥65 years.
Figure 4. RRs (95% CI) of COPD hospital admissions associated with air pollutants (per 10 μg/m3 increase and 1 mg/m3 increase in CO) at various lags stratified by age in single pollutant model.
Figure 5 shows a gender-stratified analysis of the effects of air pollutants on COPD. As shown in the figure, all air pollutants had an impact on COPD hospital admissions of different genders. In addition to O3-8h, there was a weakly negative correlation between O3-8h and COPD hospital admissions of different genders, and other pollutants were positively correlated with COPD of different genders. That is, air pollutants (except O3-8h) have adverse effects on COPD of different genders, and the impact on females was slightly higher than that on males.
Figure 5. RRs (95% CI) of COPD hospital admissions associated with air pollutants (per 10 μg/m3 increase and 1 mg/m3 increase in CO) at various lags stratified by gender in single pollutant model.
Stratified analyses according to season (Figure 6; Supplementary Tables S2, S3) revealed that air pollutants (except O3-8h) had statistically adverse effects on COPD hospital admissions during the cold season (heating period), while no statistical effects were observed in the warm season. COPD had a significant positive correlation with O3-8h at lag 3–4 days, but a negative correlation with O3-8h at lag 6–7 days during the cold season, and there was no correlation in the warm season. In conclusion, the influence of air pollutants on COPD in cold seasons was greater than that in warm seasons.
Figure 6. RRs (95% CIs) of COPD hospital admissions with an increase of 10μg/m3 in air pollutants (1 mg/m3 in CO) by season in single pollutant model.
Sensitivity analysis
After further adjustment of the df for calendar time (6–10 df per year) (Figure 7; Supplementary Table S4), the estimated effects of air pollutants (except O3-8h) on COPD hospital admissions changed slightly but the effects were still significant. Two-pollutant models (Figure 8; Supplementary Table S5) showed that, for PM, although the estimated effects changed after the introduction of other air pollutants, the change was small, and the impact on COPD hospital admissions was still significant. For SO2 and NO2, after further adjustment of other air pollutants (except PM2.5 and CO), the relationships between SO2, NO2, and COPD hospital admissions were consistent with the main model, but the estimated effects changed slightly. For CO, the effects on COPD hospital admissions were still significant after the introduction of other air pollutants (except PM2.5 and SO2). The main model (single-pollutant model) was statistically significant, whereas some two-pollutant models were insignificant; this may be related to the co-linearity between different air pollutants (22), such as the high rs (Table 3) between PM2.5 and SO2 (rs = 0.649), PM2.5 and CO (rs = 0.698), and SO2 and CO (rs = 0.777). For O3-8h, after further adjustment of other air pollutants, the weakly positive correlation between O3-8h and COPD hospital admissions was insignificant. Overall, the above results suggested that DLNM was robust, and the results between COPD hospital admissions and air pollutants (except O3-8h) were stable.
Figure 7. Sensitivity analysis of association between COPD hospital admissions and air pollutants: controlling for different degrees of freedom (df) for time.
Figure 8. RR (95% CIs) of COPD hospital admissions with an increase of 10μg/m3 in air pollutants (1 mg/m3 in CO) from single-pollutant and two-pollutant models.
Discussion
COPD is a global health emergency that affects people from all countries, socioeconomic classes, and age groups, although it disproportionately affects poor and disadvantaged people (7). In this ecological study, we used the COPD hospital admissions data from 25 hospitals and the air pollutants concentration monitoring data in Lanzhou City, and we used the DNLM method to analyze the impact of air pollutants on COPD. We found a statistically significant, stable, and negative connection between air pollution (except O3-8h) and the risk of COPD inpatients, where lag effects were identified. For 10 μg/m3 increase in PM2.5, PM10, SO2, NO2, and 1 mg/m3 increase in CO at lag 7 day, the RR95%CI of COPD admissions were 1.048 (1.030, 1.067), 1.008 (1.004, 1.013), 1.091 (1.048, 1.135), 1.043 (1.018, 1.068), and 1.160 (1.084, 1.242), respectively. We also found that the exposure–response curves for pollutants were linear and without obvious thresholds. Moreover, particulate matter had more adverse effects on females and those aged <65 years, while gaseous pollutants (except O3-8h) had more adverse effects on females and those aged ≥65 years. Furthermore, the adverse effects of air pollutants in the cold season were greater than those in the warm seasons. Our results establish the hypothesis that air pollutants are a risk factor for COPD and provide baseline data for COPD prevention and air pollution control in Lanzhou.
PM
Previous studies reported a similar negative correlation between PM and COPD. Such as, an ecological study (10) in Pakistan, found that PM2.5 contributes 31.41% attributable-proportion to COPD in adults age 30+. Another nationwide ecological study in Korea (23), that used generalized additive models, found significant associations between COPD (emergency department visits or hospital admissions) and PM; the RR95%CI for COPD for every 10 μg/m3 increase in PM2.5 and PM10 were 1.013 (1.004, 1.022) and 1.014 (1.008, 1.020), respectively. A study in Poland, using DLNM as in this paper (24), also found that the proportions (95%CI) of COPD hospitalizations attributable to air pollution were 7.61% (1.27, 13.49%) for PM2.5 and 9.08% (3.10, 15.08%) for PM10. An ecological study in Guangdong, China showed that declined attributable hospital admissions for COPD may be associated with the reduction in PM concentrations. Other studies with different methods in different regions have found similar results, such as a cohort study in the UK (11) and in southern China (25), which were based on 265,506 and 580,757 adults, respectively, and found that PM exposure could affect the progression from free of chronic lung disease to incident COPD morbidity and death. A case-crossover study (26) showed that short-term PM2.5 exposure was associated with increased odds of exacerbations in Canadians with COPD, further heightening the awareness of non-infectious triggers of COPD exacerbations. A meta-analysis (27) of 37 studies showed that a 10 μg/m3 increase in PM2.5 was associated with a 1.6–3.4% increase in COPD-related emergency department visits and hospital admissions. A randomized controlled trial (28) in the United States showed that a reduction in PM2.5 caused clinically significant improvement in respiratory health for individuals with COPD. It is reported that PM2.5-induced cytokine release and oxidative stress are the main mechanisms leading to COPD. Meanwhile, the bacteria, eukaryotes, and viruses in PM may directly cause neutrophilic inflammation or break the microorganism balance, contributing to the development and exacerbation of COPD (29). On the other hand, air pollution may make COPD patients more susceptible to respiratory viral infections, especially influenza virus A (30). Mice experiments also showed that acute PM2.5 exposure increased airway inflammation (31). A human in vitro cell culture experiment (32) showed that epithelial remodeling and dendritic cell dysfunction might accelerate inflammation after PM exposure in COPD.
SO2
SO2 mainly comes from the combustion of fossil fuels or emissions from industrial activities. The rats experiment has revealed that (33) SO2 affects the airway inflammatory and immune responses of the rats and enhances the susceptibility to ovalbumin by aggravating inflammatory responses in the lungs, upregulating proinflammatory cytokine expression, and causing a Th1/Th2 imbalance, which might contribute to the increased risk of respiratory system disease. SO2 can penetrate deep into lung tissue and be converted to hydrosulfite, which interacts with sensory receptors, causing respiratory irritation, bronchoconstriction, mucus production, increasing the sensitivity of the respiratory tract to sensitizing substances, etc., and can also induce inflammation and oxidative stress in the whole body, including the lung (34). Prospective cohort data from the Australian Longitudinal Study on Women’s Health also showed that, after controlling for covariates, air pollutants (PM, SO2, NOX, and CO) modeled individually were significantly associated with the risk of COPD. When modeled together, only SO2 remained significantly associated with COPD (35). Evidence from Guangdong, China, showed that a decrease in hospital admissions for COPD is associated with a reduction in concentrations in Guangdong (36). This suggests that improving ambient air quality, a modifiable risk factor, has been shown to reduce COPD hospitalizations. In recent years, with the large-scale deployment of flue gas desulfurization at power plants, strict control of SO2 industrial emissions, as well as engine technology innovation and the use of clean fuels and other effective measures in Lanzhou City (37, 38) has been enforced. As a result of this, from 2015 to 2019, SO2 concentration in Lanzhou City showed a significant decline trend; furthermore, the average concentration was 19.96 μg/m3. Compared with some megacities and heavily polluted cities, such as Arak, Iran (54.83 μg/m3) (39), Taiyuan (69.34 μg/m3) (40), and Shenyang (55.0 μg/m3) (41), China. The level of SO2 in Lanzhou is low and meets the national air quality standard level I limit (the average annual standard for SO2 is 20 μg/m3). However, the harmful effect of SO2 on COPD was still found in this study, and the harmful effect was stronger than that of PM. It is suggested that the “low exposure, high risk” effects of SO2 on health may need to be considered in the formulation of environmental health policies, and more stringent air pollution intervention policies to protect human respiratory health should be implemented.
NO2
This study found that every 10 μg/m3 increase in NO2 corresponded to an RR (95%CI) =1.043 (1.018, 1.068) increase in COPD hospital admissions, and the harmful effect was higher than that of PM10. Like SO2, NO2 is also an oxidizing gas. It was reported that exposure to NO2 can increase the amount of proinflammatory cytokine, thus aggravating the original inflammatory response of the respiratory system (42). It means that exposure to NO2 can further worsen symptoms associated with respiratory infections, such as wheezing and difficulty breathing, forcing infected patients to be hospitalized (43). When NO2 reaches the alveoli, the nitric acid and its salts formed with the water on the surface of the alveoli can be stimulated and result in the corrosion of the lung tissue, which results in the destruction of the alveolar epithelium and capillary epithelium. The phagocytotic ability of the alveolar phagocyte are reduced, which enhances the susceptibility of lung tissue to infection (34). The Canadian Cohort Obstructive Lung Disease study (44) showed that NO2 exposure was associated with lower lung function, even at low concentrations, especially those at the extremes of dysanapsis. We also found a statistically significant negative connection between NO2 and the risk of COPD inpatients. Similar to the results in Canada (26), Warsaw, Cracow, and Tricity, Poland (24), Belluno, Italy (45), Berlin, Germany (46), European Cohorts in the European Study of Cohorts for Air Pollution Effects (ELAPSE) Project (12), a nationwide study in Korea (23). Jinan, China (13), Qingyang, and China (47), all results showed that short-or long-term NO2 exposure was associated with increased risks of daily COPD admissions.
O3
O3 can cause the muscles in the airways to constrict, trapping air in the alveoli and leading to wheezing and shortness of breath. It can also make the lungs more susceptible to infection (48). However, the results of studies on the relationship between O3 and COPD are still inconsistent. This study found that for every 10 μg/m3 increase in O3, the RR95%CI was 0.976 (0.955, 0.997) at lag 7 and 1.041 (1.005, 1.079) at lag 4. However, the exposure–response curve of the effects of O3 on COPD hospital admissions was not statistically significant. Sensitivity analyses revealed that the results between COPD hospital admissions and O3 were not stable. That is, O3 is not associated with COPD hospital admissions in this study. This is consistent with studies conducted in Berlin, Germany (46), Beijing (49), Shijiazhuang (50), and Jinan (13), China. However, there are also studies showing that exposure to O3 can increase (23, 36) or decrease (12, 26, 47) the risk of hospitalization for COPD. An early national multicity study in the United States (51) showed that exposure to O3 was negatively associated with COPD admissions on the same day (lag0), but was positively associated with COPD on lag 1. Studies have shown that variability of summer apparent temperature (51) and the use of air conditioning (51, 52) can modify the health effect of O3. A recent study on the association between long-term exposure to O3 and hospital admissions for four cardiovascular and respiratory outcomes among the Medicare population in the United States (53) suggests that NO2 and O3 confound each other’s health effects or may be confounded by an unknown or unmeasured variable, and the negative relationship between the NO2, O3, and health effects is more likely to be affected by unknown or unmeasured confounding factors, while the adverse effects of the two on health are less likely to be affected by confounding factors. So, more studies are needed to ascertain the relationship between O3 and COPD hospitalizations.
CO
This study found that every 1 mg/m3 increase in CO corresponded to an RR (95%CI) =1.222(1.108, 1.348) increase in COPD hospital admissions, and the harmful effect was stronger than that of PM. This result was similar to a cohort study in the UK (11), a nationwide study in Korea (23), and studies conducted in Ganzhou (20) and Qingyang City (47) in China. The toxicity of CO is due to its stronger affinity to hemoglobin than oxygen (34), and a review of CO-triggered health effects has shown that CO exposure changed the ability of hemoglobin to transport oxygen to peripheral tissues, induced pulmonary edema, immune cell infiltration, and lung integrity disruption, probably caused respiratory injury, and worsened the symptoms of respiratory diseases (54). A time series study based on clinical randomized controlled trials also showed that exposure to CO reduces lung function (55). In this study, the CO concentration is 1.21 ± 0.72 mg/m3, which is below the national air quality standard level I limit of 4 mg/m3. This suggests that, like SO2, even at lower concentrations, harmful effects of CO on COPD hospitalizations can be observed at the population level.
The exposure–response curves: In this study, the exposure–response curves of the effects of air PM2.5, PM10, SO2, NO2, and CO on COPD hospital admissions showed a significant positive relationship and were approximately linear without thresholds. However, for O3-8h, the exposure–response curve was not statistically significant. The results were similar to those of most studies on the exposure–response curve (10, 20, 56). Such as, a study in Lahore City, Pakistan (10) showed that the exposure–response curves of PM2.5 on COPD mortality were approximately linear with no indication of thresholds. A study in Ganzhou, China (20) also revealed a positive linear relationship between CO exposure and COPD hospitalization risk, and they did not observe any obvious threshold concentration below which CO has no effect or negative effect on the risk of COPD hospitalization. However, other studies have shown that the exposure–response curve between air pollutants and COPD is non-linear (23, 47). For instance, a time-stratified case-crossover study in Qingyang, China, analyzed the relationship between air pollutants and acute exacerbation of COPD hospitalizations, which found that the exposure–response curves were approximately linear for PM2.5 and that the curves for PM10, SO2, and CO were complicated, but only if the statistically significant part was considered. There was an associated “V” shape for PM10, a “U” shape for NO2, and an inverted “V” for SO2, CO, and O3. This may be related to the different concentrations of pollutants in different regions. Furthermore, different study designs (including different cities, population structures, inclusion, and exclusion criteria for study subjects), social institutions, and cultures may also account for the inconsistencies (20).
Effect modifications by age
In this study, the harmful effect of PM on those aged <65 years was slightly higher than aged ≥65 years; however, the effect of gaseous pollutants on those aged <65 years was slightly lower than on those aged ≥65 years, which is inconsistent with other similar studies conducted in China (13, 20, 25, 47). A large population cohort study in southern China (25) reported that long-term PM exposure increased the risk of COPD mortality and that it seems to be more pronounced among older adult participants. An ecological study in Jinan (13) found that short-term exposure to NO2 and SO2 was associated with increased risks of daily COPD admissions, especially for the older adult. A time-stratified case-crossover study in Qingyang (47) showed that the harmful effects of PM2.5, PM10, SO2, NO2, and CO on acute exacerbation of COPD hospitalization were stronger in aged 15–64 years. While a time series study in Ganzhou (20) reported that there was no significant effect modification of age on CO exposure-associated hospitalizations for COPD. The older adult are more susceptible to the impact of air pollutants, which may be due to their normal pathological aging and weakened immune function; meanwhile, the older adult demographic usually suffers from preexisting chronic diseases and more advanced COPD (25). While people aged <65 years spend more time outdoors due to work, education, social interactions, and other reasons, which significantly increases their exposure to air pollutants (47). In addition, people aged <65 years are more likely to expose themselves to risk factors for respiratory diseases such as smoking and alcohol consumption, making them more susceptible to pollutants.
Effect modifications by gender
In this study, the adverse effects of air pollutants on female COPD hospitalization were slightly higher than that on males. These findings were supported by existing evidence (13, 20, 25, 47). However, there are a few papers with inconsistent results: One study (57) found that the adverse effects of air pollutants on males were higher than on females and one study (58) showed that the effect of air pollutants on males and females was not significantly different. This inconsistency may be related to the differences in genetic, anatomical, and physiological characteristics of the different genders. Compared with males, female lungs, and trachea are smaller, and under the same pollution conditions, female lungs and tracheal tissue experience greater pressure. Furthermore, female lung immunity may be weaker (13, 25). On the other hand, it may also be related to gender differences in occupational distribution, personal characteristics (such as lifestyle, smoking, and other hobbies), or socioeconomic status: males are more engaged in industrial or taxi driving occupations or outdoor activities, have poor awareness of occupational protection, and have unhealthy habits such as smoking and drinking, making them more susceptible to the impact of air pollutants.
Effect modifications by season
At present, there are few reports on the seasonal effects of air pollutants on COPD hospitalization. In this study, the influence of air pollutants on COPD in the cold season was greater than that in the warm season. This is consistent with Cheng’s (13) research findings in Jinan, but contrary to Song’s (20) findings (the CO exposure-associated hospitalization risk for COPD was stronger during the warm season). Our previous research also showed that the influence of air pollutants on respiratory diseases (19) and pneumonia (18) in the cold season was greater than that in warm seasons. This may be related to the higher concentration of pollutants in Lanzhou during the cold season.
In this study, the COPD hospital admissions data of 25 hospitals in Lanzhou City were used to analyze the impact of air pollutants on COPD hospitalizations. The lag effect and exposure–response curves were conducted, as well as a stratified analysis by age, gender, and season. However, the research still has some limitations. First, this is an ecological study. Although confounding factors such as temperature and humidity were adjusted during model fitting, there are still some potential factors (such as the use of air conditioners and purifiers) that may affect the relationship between air pollutants and COPD. At the same time, genetics, early-life events, respiratory infections, individual characteristics (inhalation of tobacco, drugs, and other combustible substances), and occupational exposure are also associated with COPD (7). However, these potential factors and individual characteristics cannot be obtained in an ecological study; hence, their impact on the relationship between air pollutants and COPD was not considered, which may reduce the accuracy of the conclusion. In the future, analytical epidemiological methods and molecular epidemiological methods can be applied to more accurately analyze the impact of air pollutants on COPD and explore its mechanism based on fully considering individual characteristics and potential factors. Second, this paper analyzed the effects of conventional air pollutants on COPD only in Lanzhou City. The spatial heterogeneity of air pollutants on health in multiple cities is worthy of further study. At the same time, the health effects of particulate matter components (such as copper, nickel, manganese, zinc, and other elements), different particle sizes (such as PM1 and PM4), and new pollutants (such as atmospheric microplastics) are more worthy of further study in the future.
Conclusion
In summary, this study found that daily COPD hospitalization was stably positively associated with PM2.5, PM10, SO2, NO2, and CO, and the exposure–response curves of the effects of air pollutants (except O3-8h) on COPD hospital admissions were significant positive relationship and without thresholds; that is, the risk of hospitalization for COPD increased with the increase of pollutant concentration. There were lag effects; the greatest harmful effects of air pollutants (except O3-8h) on COPD admissions were all found at lag07. The adverse effects of air pollutants (except O3-8h) on females were slightly higher than that on males. Meanwhile, the adverse effects of air pollutants (except O3-8h) on COPD in cold seasons were greater than those in warm seasons. The harmful effect of PM on those aged <65 years was slightly higher than those aged ≥65 years; however, the effect of gaseous pollutants on those aged <65 years was slightly lower than those aged ≥65 years. The harmful effect of gaseous pollutants (except O3-8h) on COPD-hospitalized patients was stronger than that of PM. O3-8h has a weak and unstable effect on COPD hospital admissions.
Data availability statement
The raw data supporting the conclusions of this article will be made available by the authors, without undue reservation.
Author contributions
LJ: Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Software, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing. SF: Data curation, Investigation, Methodology, Software, Validation, Visualization, Writing – review & editing. YN: Conceptualization, Data curation, Validation, Writing – review & editing. JH: Conceptualization, Data curation, Supervision, Writing – review & editing. HJ: Conceptualization, Data curation, Supervision, Writing – review & editing.
Funding
The author(s) declare that financial support was received for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article. This study was funded by the Natural Science Foundation of Gansu Province (No. 24JRRA561, No. 23JRRA1211), the International Cooperation Project of Gansu Province (No. 20YF3WA020 and No. DHYX20-05), and the Key Researcher Project of Gansu province (No. [2023]20). The research was also supported by the Key Laboratory of Dunhuang Medicine, Ministry of Education.
Acknowledgments
The authors would like to thank the China Meteorological Data Service Center.
Conflict of interest
The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.
Publisher’s note
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Supplementary material
The Supplementary material for this article can be found online at: https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpubh.2024.1399662/full#supplementary-material
Footnotes
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Keywords: air pollutants, COPD, ecological study, distributed lag non-linear model, Lanzhou
Citation: Jin L, Fang S, Nan Y, Hu J and Jin H (2024) The effect of air pollutants on COPD-hospitalized patients in Lanzhou, China (2015–2019). Front. Public Health. 12:1399662. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2024.1399662
Edited by:
Tianfeng He, Ningbo Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention, ChinaReviewed by:
Mirmajid Farhadi, Consultant, Khorramabad, IranShaden Haddad, Damascus University, Syria
Copyright © 2024 Jin, Fang, Nan, Hu and Jin. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
*Correspondence: Hua Jin, bHpqaDE5NzBAMTYzLmNvbQ==; Jihong Hu, aHVqaWhvbmdoYXBweUAxNjMuY29t