AUTHOR=Botz Jonas , Wang Danqi , Lambert Nicolas , Wagner Nicolas , Génin Marie , Thommes Edward , Madan Sumit , Coudeville Laurent , Fröhlich Holger TITLE=Modeling approaches for early warning and monitoring of pandemic situations as well as decision support JOURNAL=Frontiers in Public Health VOLUME=10 YEAR=2022 URL=https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/public-health/articles/10.3389/fpubh.2022.994949 DOI=10.3389/fpubh.2022.994949 ISSN=2296-2565 ABSTRACT=

The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the lack of preparedness of many healthcare systems against pandemic situations. In response, many population-level computational modeling approaches have been proposed for predicting outbreaks, spatiotemporally forecasting disease spread, and assessing as well as predicting the effectiveness of (non-) pharmaceutical interventions. However, in several countries, these modeling efforts have only limited impact on governmental decision-making so far. In light of this situation, the review aims to provide a critical review of existing modeling approaches and to discuss the potential for future developments.