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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Plant Sci.
Sec. Sustainable and Intelligent Phytoprotection
Volume 15 - 2024 | doi: 10.3389/fpls.2024.1495442

Mapping the Priority Conservation Areas for Three Endangered Cupressaceae Plants under Climate Change in China

Provisionally accepted
  • 1 Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang Province, China
  • 2 Tongji University, Shanghai, China
  • 3 Zhongkai University of Agriculture and Engineering, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

    The establishment of conservation areas is an important strategy for endangered species conservation.In this study, we investigated the distributions of suitable habitat areas for three Level 1 endangered Cupressaceae plants (Metasequoia glyptostroboides, Glyptostrobus pensilis, and Thuja sutchuenensis) in China and used the Marxan model to delineate the priority conservation areas for each species. The results showed that M. glyptostroboides had the broadest suitable growing area under the current climate in China and is followed by G. pensilis, with an area of 91×10 4 km 2 , and T. sutchuensis had the smallest suitable habitat areas, at only 7×10 4 km 2 . Affected by climate change, the suitable ranges of these three Cupressaceae species moved largely northward at the middle and end of this century, with a latitudinal increase of 0.46-1.99°. T. sutchenensis will face extremely high extinction risk by the end of this century; 65.54% of its southern suitable habitat area will no longer be suitable for growth. Based on the effects of climate change, M. glyptostroboides priority conservation areas should be established in the Yangtze River Basin; G. pensilis priority conservation areas should be established in Guangdong, Guangxi, Fujian and Jiangxi; and T. sutchuenensis protection districts should be established at the intersection of the northeastern part of Sichuan Province and the northern part of Chongqing. This study helps to clarify the impact of climate change on endangered species.

    Keywords: Endangered Species, Species distribution model, Marxan model, Metasequoia glyptostroboides, Glyptostrobus pensilis, Thuja sutchuenensis, Global Warming

    Received: 12 Sep 2024; Accepted: 20 Nov 2024.

    Copyright: © 2024 Shen, Zhai and Lu. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

    * Correspondence: Duanqiang Zhai, Tongji University, Shanghai, China

    Disclaimer: All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.