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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Plant Sci.
Sec. Functional Plant Ecology
Volume 15 - 2024 | doi: 10.3389/fpls.2024.1470653

Comprehensive prediction of potential spatiotemporal distribution patterns, priority planting regions, and introduction adaptability of Elymus sibiricus in the Chinese region

Provisionally accepted
Huan-Huan Lu Huan-Huan Lu *Yu-Ying Zheng Yu-Ying Zheng Yong-Sen Qiu Yong-Sen Qiu Liu-Ban Tang Liu-Ban Tang Yan-Cui Zhao Yan-Cui Zhao Wengang Xie Wengang Xie *
  • Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu Province, China

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

    The natural grassland in China is facing increasingly serious degradation. Elymus sibiricus L., as an important native alpine grass, is widely used in the restoration and improvement of natural grassland. In this study, the geographical distribution and environmental data of E. sibiricus in China were collected, and the potential spatio-temporal distribution pattern, planting pattern and introduction adaptability of E. sibiricus were comprehensively predicted by using ensembled ecological niche model and Marxan model. The results show that: (1) The potential spatial distribution of E. sibiricus mainly spans 33°~42°N and 95°~118°E. It was widely distributed in Qilian Mountains (northeast of Qinghai-Tibet Plateau), Taihang Mountains (junction of Loess Plateau and Inner Mongolia Plateau) and Tianshan Mountains; (2) With the passage of time, the suitable distribution regions of E. sibiricus generally showed a collapse trend, but its main distribution regions did not show obvious change, and the suitable regions (centroid) generally migrated to the southwest of China by 2.93 km; (3) The spatial distribution of E. sibiricus in the current period was significantly affected by the annual range of monthly near-surface relative humidity, mean annual air temperature, annual range of monthly potential evapotranspiration, mean monthly potential evapotranspiration, annual range of monthly climate moisture index, elevation, exchangeable Ca2+, available P, mean monthly near-surface relative humidity, exchangeable H+ and annual precipitation amount, respectively; (4) The potential planting area of E. sibiricus cover 2.059×105 km2, which was mainly distributed in Qilian Mountains (northeast of Qinghai-Tibet Plateau), Taihang Mountains (southeast of Inner Mongolia Plateau), the middle part of Tianshan Mountains and the southeast of Altai Mountains; (5) The introduction adaptability regions of six E. sibiricus germplasm (LM01~ LM06) were all distributed in the high elevation regions of western China. The study aims to provide an effective theoretical basis for the collection, preservation and utilization of E. sibiricus germplasm resources in China.

    Keywords: Elymus Sibiricus L., functional plant ecology, Global Warming, Ensemble Ecological Niche Models, Potential spatio-temporal distribution pattern, Priority planting region prediction, Adaptability evaluation of introduction

    Received: 25 Jul 2024; Accepted: 13 Dec 2024.

    Copyright: © 2024 Lu, Zheng, Qiu, Tang, Zhao and Xie. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

    * Correspondence:
    Huan-Huan Lu, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, Gansu Province, China
    Wengang Xie, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, Gansu Province, China

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