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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Phys.
Sec. Social Physics
Volume 13 - 2025 | doi: 10.3389/fphy.2025.1556285
This article is part of the Research Topic Finance and Production Complex Systems View all articles

Resilience Measurement and Dynamic Evolution of China's Provincial Financial Infrastructure

Provisionally accepted
Gunjun Li Gunjun Li 1,2*Zhongwei Xiong Zhongwei Xiong 3Chenhuan Kou Chenhuan Kou 1*Shanshan Li Shanshan Li 3
  • 1 Hebei University of Economics and Business, Shijiazhuang, Hebei Province, China
  • 2 Center for Global Economy and Sustainable Development, Central University of Finance and Economics, China, Beijing, China
  • 3 Central University of Finance and Economics, Beijing, China

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

    Financial infrastructure provides a fundamental guarantee for the sound and efficient operation of financial markets. This paper constructs a provincial-level financial infrastructure resilience evaluation index system, measures the level of financial infrastructure resilience of 31 provinces in China from 2005 to 2020, reveals the dynamic evolution characteristics of financial infrastructure resilience in the spatial and temporal dimensions, and analyzes the barrier factors affecting the dynamic change of financial infrastructure resilience level. The results of the study show that: Provincial financial infrastructure resilience level overall upward trend, in which resilience of risk and control is in a stagnant growth state, resilience of recovery and stability, resilience of transformation and development is on the rise; The level of financial infrastructure resilience and the rate of change generally show a spatial distribution trend of "low west and high east, north-south concave", with the "wooden barrel effect" evident in the eastern region; Provincial financial infrastructure resilience is in the medium-low coupling stage, affected by the spillover effect is prone to form a "club convergence" phenomenon; The industrial structure, shadow banking risk, real estate liability risk, and fintech level are the main barrier factors to the resilience of financial infrastructure, resilience of risk and control, resilience of recovery and stability and resilience of transformation and development's barrier degree respectively show a rising, declining, stable trend of change. Therefore, the follow-up should promote the coordinated development of regional finance and form a regional financial development pattern with staggered development and distinctive features; prevent the risks of regional financial infrastructure; and enhance the resilience of risk and control and the resilience of transformation and development.

    Keywords: Financial infrastructure, resilience, Dynamic evolution, Barrier factors, Coupling coordination

    Received: 06 Jan 2025; Accepted: 29 Jan 2025.

    Copyright: © 2025 Li, Xiong, Kou and Li. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

    * Correspondence:
    Gunjun Li, Hebei University of Economics and Business, Shijiazhuang, 130012, Hebei Province, China
    Chenhuan Kou, Hebei University of Economics and Business, Shijiazhuang, 130012, Hebei Province, China

    Disclaimer: All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.