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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Pediatr., 29 October 2024
Sec. Neonatology
This article is part of the Research Topic Bronchopulmonary Dysplasia: Latest Advances-Volume II View all 5 articles

Predictive modeling of bronchopulmonary dysplasia in premature infants: the impact of new diagnostic standards

\r\nLijun Tang&#x;Lijun TangWeibin Wu&#x;Weibin WuWeimin HuangWeimin HuangGuangliang Bi
\r\nGuangliang Bi*
  • Department of Neonatology, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China

Aim: To provide a risk prediction for bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) in premature infants under the new diagnostic criteria and establish a prediction model.

Methods: In this study, we retrospectively collected case data on preterm infants admitted to the NICU from August 2015 to August 2018. A lasso analysis was performed to identify the risk factors associated with the development of BPD. A nomogram predictive model was constructed in accordance with the new diagnostic criteria for BPD.

Result: A total of 276 preterm infants were included in the study.The incidence of BPD under the 2018 diagnostic criteria was 11.2%. Mortality was significantly higher in the BPD group than the non-BPD group under the 2018 diagnostic criteria (P < 0.05). Fourteen possible variables were selected by the Lasso method, with a penalty coefficient λ=0.0154. The factors that eventually entered the logistic regression model included birth weight [BW, OR = 0.9945, 95% CI: 0.9904–0.9979], resuscitation way (OR = 4.8249, 95% CI: 1.3990–19.4752), intrauterine distress (OR = 8.0586, 95% CI: 1.7810–39.5696), score for SNAPPE-II (OR = 1.0880, 95% CI: 1.0210–1.1639), hematocrit (OR = 1.1554, 95% CI: 1.0469–1.2751) and apnea (OR = 7.6916, 95% CI: 1.4180–52.1236). The C-index after adjusting for fitting deviation was 0.894.

Conclusion: This study made a preliminary exploration of the risk model for early prediction of BPD and indicated good discrimination and calibration in premature infants.

Introduction

In preterm infants, bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) impairs lung development due to various prenatal and postnatal factors (13). As the pathophysiology and clinical manifestations of BPD change, perceptions and definitions of the condition evolve over time (4). The widely used criteria for clinical diagnosis and research on BPD in the past was the 2001 National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD) definition. However, with changes in the characteristics of premature infants surviving in the NICU and ongoing advancements in respiratory support technologies, the 2001 NICHD definition no longer meets the current needs of clinical treatment and research. For example, some infants receiving respiratory support with high flow nasal cannula cannot be classified using the 2001 NICHD definition and may even be misclassified. Additionally, the 2001 NICHD definition categorizes infants at postmenstrual age (PMA) of 36 weeks with FiO2 ≥ 30% as severe BPD, regardless of whether they underwent invasive mechanical ventilation, resulting in a wide range in disease severity among these infants and significant differences in clinical outcomes. Importantly, 2001 NICHD definition does not include infants who died early due to respiratory system diseases, even though these infants are more likely to develop BPD or severe BPD.

In 2018, NICHD redefined BPD, incorporatin imaging-confirmed lung consolidation and refining methods of respiratory support, including non-invasive ventilation, now widely accepted in clinical practice. They also categorized oxygen inhalation concentrations and modes of oxygen delivery. Additionally, they highlighted the connection between mechanical ventilation and severe BPD (sBPD) and collected diagnoses of death due to respiratory failure between 14 days and 36 weeks gestational age(GA) to avoid omitting deaths, ensuring epidemiological data integrity of BPD (5).Furthermore, the 2018 NICHD definition have shifted the assessment time frame from postnatal day 28 to PMA36w, reducing false-positive diagnoses under the old criteria and better meeting the needs of clinical practice and research.

The pathogenesis of BPD is highly intricate, and currently, there are no effective treatment measures available (68). Therefore, identifying early risk factors and implementing effective measures to reduce BPD severity and incidence is crucial. While BPD has been extensively extensively researched overseas, most studies have utilized the old BPD diagnostic criteria and focused primarily on the European population (912). There are distinct variances between the new diagnostic criteria for BPD and the former criteria, which could lead to the identification of novel risk factors. This study aimed to identify relevant risk factors and construct corresponding predictive models based on the new BPD diagnostic criteria through a retrospective analysis, striving for the early identification of high-risk individuals and laying the groundwork for the timely implementation of preventative measures for BPD.

Methods

Participants

In order to avoid the potential confounding effects caused by the differences between the old and new BPD diagnostic criteria, we only included cases before 2018 and conducted diagnoses and grouping based on the new BPD diagnostic criteria.The current retrospective cohort study included preterm infants whose GA < 32 weeks in Nanfang Hospital from August 2015 to August 2018. The study excluded individuals meeting the following criteria: ① Patients who discontinued treatment or changed hospitals due to economic reasons. ② Patients who, despite still requiring oxygen at 36 weeks GA, were discharged earlier at their families’ insistence, thereby impeding the collection of follow-up oxygen use data. ③ Patients who passed away between 14 days and 36 weeks GA due to conditions such as necrotizing enterocolitis, severe intraventricular hemorrhage, sepsis, or other causes unrelated to respiratory failure.

Definitions

According to the 2018 NICHD definition (5) for BPD, preterm infants with GA of <32 weeks at a corrected GA of 36 weeks had imaging evidence of substantial lung disease, and needed different degrees of respiratory support and corresponding levels of FiO2 to maintain arterial oxygen saturation between 0.90 and 0.95 for at least 3 consecutive days. Then according to the different respiratory support mode of FiO2 into I, II, III level (Table 1).

Table 1
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Table 1. NICHD suggested refinements to the definition of BPD.

Clinical data collection

General clinical data included: ① Neonatal characteristics: birth weight (BW), GA, mode of birth (spontaneous delivery, cesarean section), Apgar score at birth, intrauterine distress/asphyxia, resuscitation mode used in the delivery room (respiratory tract cleaning, pressurized oxygen with airbag mask, endotracheal intubation, adrenaline injection, external chest compression); relevant items of scores for neonatal acute physiology-perinatal extension-II (SNAPPE-II). ② Maternal pregnancy data: multiple pregnancy, prenatal use of glucocorticoids, pregnancy-induced diabetes,smoking, ethanol intake and chorioamnionitis; ③ Neonatal complications: neonatal respiratory distress syndrome (NRDS), pulmonary infection, pulmonary hypertension (PH), pulmonary hemorrhage, electrolyte disorder, abnormal coagulation function, hypoproteinemia, hypothyroidism, metabolic bone disease, anemia, shock, cholestasis, sepsis, intracranial infection, intracranial hemorrhage, apnea; ④ Neonatal treatment: aminophylline, caffeine, hydrocortisone, dexamethasone, alveolar surfactant; infusion of various blood products (erythrocyte suspension, plasma, platelets, albumin, gamma globulin); total time of non-invasive auxiliary ventilation, mechanical ventilation, oxygen use; ⑤ Laboratory results: blood routine, coagulation function, procalcitonin, arterial blood gas analysis within 24 h after birth.Intrauterine distress (13), SNAPPE-II (14), pulmonary hypertension (15), apnea (16) were diagnosed based on the specified criteria.

Data analysis

Statistical Product Service Solutions 20.0 software and R Language Definition 4.0.2 statistical software were used to process all data included in the study. The data were expressed as the mean ± standard deviation (SD), and the comparison between the two groups was done by t-test or corrected t-test. The data of skew distribution were described by median and interquartile interval (IQR), and the comparison between the two groups was done by the Mann-Whitney U-test. The counting data were described by the number of cases and percentage n (%). If the frequency was ≥5, Pearson Chi-square test was used; If 1 ≤ frequency <5, the continuity corrected 2 test was used; If the frequency was less than 1, Fisher exact probability method was used. P < 0.05 indicated a significance.

Results

The incidence and mortality of BPD

For the 276 preterm infants included in the study, BPD was defined based on the 2018 criteria outlined in Table 2. According to these criteria, 31 premature infants were ultimately diagnosed with BPD, resulting in an incidence of 11.2%. Among these cases, there were 17 instances of grade I with no reported mortality, 5 cases of grade II also with no mortality, 7 cases of grade III with a mortality of 14.3%, and 2 cases of grade IIIA with a 100% mortality. The mortality in the BPD group was significantly higher when compared to the non-BPD group (P < 0.05). In addition, there were 3 cases of abandonment or death: One case with a GA of 30 ± 2 weeks and a BW of 450 g succumbed to respiratory failure after an extended period of treatment. The other two cases, with GA of 26 weeks and 27+1 weeks, and BW of 900 g and 1,050 g, respectively, required prolonged mechanical ventilation. Unfortunately, in both cases, the family members eventually opted to discontinue treatment.

Table 2
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Table 2. Analysis of morbidity with different BPD classification [n (%)].

Comparison of clinical characteristics between two groups

Continuous variables including BW, GA, and 5-min Apgar score, hospital stays, and SNAPPE-II score were compared between groups (Table 3). The results showed that the BPD group exhibited lower BW, GA, and 5-min Apgar score compared to the non-BPD group, but had longer hospital stays and a higher SNAPPE-II score (all P < 0.05). Additionally, categorical variables showed that the BPD group had a higher incidence of small for gestational age (SGA), intrauterine distress, endotracheal intubation resuscitation, severe preeclampsia, patent ductus arteriosus (PDA), PH, retinopathy of prematurity (ROP), pulmonary infection, pulmonary hemorrhage, shock, anemia, electrolyte disorder, abnormal coagulation, hypoproteinemia, cholestasis, and apnea compared to the non-BPD group (all P < 0.05; Table 3).

Table 3
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Table 3. Comparison of clinical characteristics between BPD and non-BPD group.

Comparison of laboratory and therapeutic measures between two groups

The blood results of premature infants within 24 h of birth were used in this study to reflect the most realistic situation of premature infants at birth. In this study, 10 laboratory test indexes including white blood cell count (WBC), neutrophil(NEU), lymphocyte (LYM), hemoglobin (HGB), hematocrit% (HCT%), platelet (PLT), creatinine (Cr), albumin (ALB), procalcitonin (PCT), lactic acid (Lac), prothrombin time (PT), activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), and fibrinogen (Fib) within 24 h were evaluated. Among them, PLT in the BPD group was significantly lower than that in the non-BPD group, and HCT, Cr and Lac in the BPD group were significantly higher than those in the non-BPD group (all P < 0.05; Table 4).

Table 4
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Table 4. Comparison of laboratory results and treatment between BPD and non-BPD groups.

The oxygen therapy was compared between two groups (Table 4). In the BPD group, the total time of oxygen use, non-positive pressure ventilation, non-invasive auxiliary ventilation, and the duration of mechanical ventilation were increased compared to the non-BPD group (all P < 0.05).

Drug administration between the two study groups was meticulously assessed and the findings were detailed in Table 4. Notably, a comparison revealed a statistically significant increase in the usage of pulmonary surfactants (PS) such as Kelisu, Curosurf, and their combination, as well as hydrocortisone and dexamethasone in the BPD group compared to the non-BPD group (P < 0.05). Additionally, it was observed that the incidence of BPD in the aminophylline-treated group was notably lower than in the non-aminophylline-treated group (P < 0.05). Nonetheless, the analysis did not uncover any significant correlation between the administration of various types of PS and the development of BPD (P > 0.05).

Furthermore, the administration of blood products including erythrocyte suspension, plasma, platelets (PLT), gamma globulin, and albumin was rigorously evaluated in both study groups. Table 4 illustrated that the infusion frequency of erythrocyte suspension was significantly higher in the BPD group compared to the non-BPD group (P < 0.05). However, there were no discernible differences in the utilization of other blood products between the groups (P > 0.05). Moreover, a targeted examination focusing specifically on premature infants aged 7 days was undertaken. The results revealed a marked increase in the transfusions of erythrocyte suspension and albumin in premature infants within the BPD group in comparison to the non-BPD group (P < 0.05). Noteworthy, there were no significant distinctions in the utilization rates of plasma, platelets, and gamma globulin between the study groups (P > 0.05).

Establishment of an early risk prediction model for BPD

The study outcomes demonstrated a clear distinction between patients with BPD and those without BPD, as shown in Figure 1. This study involved a large number of variables, and there may also be linear or causal relationships between variables. In order to eliminate the problem of overfitting in regression models caused by these situations, the study first used Lasso regression for analysis. Utilizing the lasso method for variable screening, the optimal penalty coefficient λ for the model was determined to be 0.0154 through cross-validation and the original 36 variables were reduced to 14 possible risk factors: mechanical ventilation time, early preventive drugs, BW, resuscitation mode, 5 min-Apgar score, intrauterine distress, SNAPPE-II score, neonatal necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC), creatinine (Cr), early use of hydrocortisone, frequency of ALB, HCT, frequency of PLT and apnea,as shown in Figure 1.

Figure 1
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Figure 1. Variable selection and penalty coefficient determination in lasso regression model. (A) In Lasso model, the best penalty coefficient was selected by 10 fold alternating verification method and minimization standard. The average binomial deviation and logarithm were plotted. Two dotted lines on the left and right were the minimum log(λ) and maximum log(λ) within 1 times standard error, respectively. (B) Penalty diagram of 36 variable coefficients. With the changes of penalty coefficient λ, the variable system was compressed, and then most of the variable coefficients were compressed to 0. At the minimum log(λ), 14 variables with non-zero coefficients were selected.

Regression coefficient, odds ratio (OR) value, 95% confidence interval (CI), and p-value are presented in Table 5. The results revealed that only BW, resuscitation mode, intrauterine distress, SNAPPE-II score, HCT, and apnea were significant factors included in the regression equation (p < 0.05). The corresponding logistic regression equation is as follows: Z = −5.7524–0.0055 × BW + 1.5738 × Recovery mode + 2.0867 × Intrauterine distress + 0.0844 × SNAPPE-II + 0.1444 × HCT + 2.0401 × Apnea.

Table 5
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Table 5. Early prediction of risk factors for BPD.

To facilitate the clinical application of these results, we developed a nomogram that incorporates the six statistically significant variables. This tool serves as a user-friendly interface for rapidly estimating the risk factors for BPD in preterm infants on the 7th day of hospitalization. The input variables of the nomogram directly correspond to the aforementioned six predictors, and its output consists of individual score scales for each input, a cumulative score, as well as the associated risk probability of BPD occurrence.

Illustratively, Figure 2 demonstrated the functionality of the nomogram in a hypothetical clinical scenario. Consider a preterm infant with a birth weight of 1000g, who underwent resuscitation via endotracheal intubation in the delivery room, exhibited intrauterine distress, and presented with a HCT of 0.450, a SNAPPE-II score of 25 within 24 h of admission, and occasional apnea seven days post-admission. For this infant, the nomogram assigns individual scores of 67, 19, 19, 25, 17, and 18 points, respectively, to the six predictors. The cumulative score of 165 translates to a BPD risk exceeding 90%, thereby underscoring the high likelihood of BPD in this particular infant. This personalized risk assessment underscores the clinical utility of our predictive model in identifying preterm infants at increased risk for BPD.

Figure 2
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Figure 2. Prediction nomogram for BPD risk. To utilize this nomogram, begin by locating the particular value for each patient on the respective variable axis. Drawing a line upwards from this point will determine the corresponding points for each variable. Afterwards, add up the total points and identify the same score on the "Total Points axis". A vertical line drawn downwards from this point will indicate the probability of BPD. BW, birth weigh; HCT, hematocrit.

Distinction and calibration of model

For the regression model described above, it was necessary to evaluate its discrimination and calibration. The degree of discrimination was calculated by the AUC value through the Receiver Operating Characteristic(ROC) curve (c-index). As shown in Figure 3, the c-index  was found to be 0.911 (95% CI: 0.862–0.960). The bootstrap method was used for 1,000 resampling internal verification, and c-index = 0.894 was calculated after correcting for fitting bias. This finding indicated that the risk factor prediction model possesses robust discrimination ability. The degree of calibration was evaluated using the calibration curve, as shown in Figure 3. The dotted line approximately represents the distribution curve of the apparent predicted value of the logistic regression model in this study, while the bias-corrected curve represents the distribution curve after adjusting for bias. The ideal curve represents the perfect distribution. The results demonstrated a high degree of the coincidence between the approximate curve and the bias-corrected curve, both aligning well with the ideal curve. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of -fit test yielded a P  -value of 0.90, indicating excellent calibration of the model.

Figure 3
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Figure 3. The ROC and calibration curves of the nomogram for BPD. (A) The ROC curve of BPD events in premature infants. (B) The calibration curve of BPD events in premature infants. ROC, receiver operating characteristic; BPD, bronchopulmonary dysplasia.

Discussion

In our study, 276 premature infants aged 25 to 31+6 weeks were diagnosed with BPD according to the 2018 definition, with an incidence of 11.2%. The incidence of BPD in China was generally lower compared to other countries (17), mainly attributed to the higher medical expertise abroad, which allowed for the successful treatment of even younger and lighter premature infants, leading to higher BPD rates. The more detailed and stringent BPD criteria in the 2018 definition also played a significant role.Under the 2001 NICHD definition, patients with mild BPD may not have met the diagnostic criteria for BPD according to the 2018 NICHD definition, resulting in a noticeable reduction in the incidence. This optimization helped conserve medical resources by focusing on patients with severe BPD, enhancing the allocation of resources effectively.

In this investigation, variable selection was conducted based on a thorough review of pertinent clinical literature and enabled by access to comprehensive data on hospitalized newborns spanning the prenatal to postnatal periods (18, 19). Single factor analysis revealed statistically significant differences between groups for key variables such as BW, GA, 5-minute Apgar score, SNAPPE-II score, SGA, presence of intrauterine distress, method of recovery, severe preeclampsia, PDA, duration of ventilator support, use of PS, and frequency of red cell transfusions. Consistent with findings from both domestic and international studies, risk factors for BPD are closely linked to fetal age, weight, duration of respiratory support, presence of PDA, and episodes of asphyxia (12, 2024). These critical insights underscore the importance of vigilance towards factors that may contribute to the development of BPD in the clinical management of premature infants.

Our study utilized the logistic regression method to establish a risk prediction model, which primarily considered six variables: BW, recovery mode, intrauterine distress, SNAPPE-II score, HCT, and apnea incidence. The Lasso method was employed to mitigate overfitting of the regression models. Our study also evaluated the predictive efficacy of the model, demonstrating its strong ability to distinguish BPD risk. This research represents a preliminary exploration of an early risk prediction model for BPD, providing valuable insights for clinical management of premature infants. Heightened vigilance and early intervention may be warranted for infants with high predicted BPD risk.

Below we specifically discuss the six risk factors enrolled in the regression model.The most important risk factor for the occurrence of BPD is premature birth and low BW (25). A multicenter survey conducted in China reported a high incidence of BPD in extremely low BW infants in 2019 (26). Research conducted abroad shows that 95% of patients with BPD are born with extremely low BW (27). Additionally, BW is an important indicator for early prediction of BPD (28). In our study of 31 patients with BPD, 20 cases (64.5%) were born with extremely low BW, and 11 cases (35.5%) were born with very low BW. Of the 31 patients with BPD, 11 (35.5%) had a GA less than 28 weeks, and 10 (32.3%) had a GA between 28 and 30 weeks. We considered entering BW instead of GA into the regression equation because low BW implies poor development, and a higher GA with low BW (i.e., lower than gestation) also implies poor development. Therefore, BW is a more accurate predictor than GA.

We also found that intrauterine fetal distress entered the regression model, indicating that fetuses with intrauterine distress are more likely to develop BPD. This may be because intrauterine distress can cause fetal hypoxia, leading to low Apgar scores, and increased need for tracheal intubation. Low Apgar scores and tracheal intubation are closely related to the occurrence of BPD (29). Our regression equation also included the method of delivery room resuscitation. Infants who require early tracheal intubation or even the use of adrenaline or chest compressions for resuscitation have poorer lung development and birth conditions, making them more susceptible to BPD. During clinical diagnosis and treatment, it is recommended to establish and maintain functional residual capacity through interventions such as the “T-piece resuscitator” and Continuous Positive Airway Pressure (CPAP) for premature infants with spontaneous respiration, in order to avoid tracheal intubation and mechanical ventilation and reduce the incidence of BPD (30). Additionally, we found that respiratory pauses are associated with the occurrence of BPD. Repeated respiratory pauses can cause tissue hypoxia in the lungs, affecting the development of alveoli and pulmonary vessels.

One innovative aspect of this study is the introduction of a new method to predict BPD, called the Score for Neonatal Acute Physiology-II and Perinatal Extension (SNAPPE-II). This is a scoring system used for early prediction of neonatal mortality risk by evaluating the physiology of the infant and perinatal conditions within 24 h of admission (31, 32). The score includes 9 scoring items, including mean arterial pressure, lowest body temperature, ratio of arterial oxygen pressure to inspired oxygen concentration, lowest blood pH, repeated convulsions, urine output, body weight, being SGA, and Apgar score < 7 at 5 min. Each scoring item is assigned different weight values, with higher scores indicating more severe illness and higher risk of mortality. In our study, the SNAPPE-II score for the BPD group was significantly higher than that for the non-BPD group. The AUC value of SNAPPE-II for predicting the occurrence of BPD was 0.792 (95% CI: 0.707–0.876), with a cutoff value of 11, and sensitivity, specificity, and Youden's index of 80.6%, 76.0%, and 56.6%, respectively. The results showed that SNAPPE-II has a good predictive ability for BPD, and a score higher than 11 indicates a high risk of BPD occurrence. The risk of BPD occurrence is related to the GA and BW of premature infants, as indicated by the “birth weight” and “small for gestational age” items in SNAPPE-II, which are the items with higher scores in this study. The item “ratio of arterial oxygen pressure to inspired oxygen concentration” represents the early oxygenation capacity of premature infants, with better lung function in premature infants being able to maintain good arterial oxygen pressure at a lower inspired oxygen concentration. SNAPPE-II also entered the early prediction regression equation for BPD. Therefore, in clinical practice, it is feasible and effective to use SNAPPE-II either alone or in combination with other risk factors to early predict the occurrence of BPD.

In this study, we also found an interesting result: HCT is an indicator for early prediction of BPD. Previous studies have found that the level of HCT < 0.455 at 1 week after birth was also an independent risk factor for BPD, as suggested by multivariate logistic regression (33). This could be explained as follows: the HCT test measures the proportion of red blood cells, which carry oxygen throughout the body, and the HCT value determines the oxygen-carrying capacity of the blood. Therefore, preterm infants with low HCT levels from birth to the first week of life may have inadequate oxygen and nutrient supply, which may adversely impact lung growth and development (34). A meta-analysis found that anemia requiring blood transfusion is closely related to the occurrence of BPD (35). The reason for this analysis may be that the transfused blood has lower adult hemoglobin oxygen affinity, and transfusion increases free oxygen content in tissues, promoting the occurrence of cell oxygen toxicity and BPD (10).

The diagnosis of BPD based on both old and new criteria often occurs relatively late, namely at postnatal day 28 or postmenstrual age 36 weeks, which is unfavorable for the prevention and treatment of BPD in clinical practice. Therefore, the identification of high-risk factors and early prediction has become a hotspot in clinical research. However, current studies mostly adhere to the old diagnostic criteria, lacking analyses of the influencing factors and the establishment of prediction models based on the 2018 new diagnostic criteria.This study explored the high-risk factors for BPD before birth and during the first week after birth under the new diagnostic criteria from the NICHD. By establishing an early risk prediction model at postnatal week one, this study effectively identified infants born preterm at less than 32 weeks who are at high risk of developing BPD. This provides clinicians with an accurate and effective tool for predicting and preventing BPD, enabling personalized interventions at an early stage.In contrast to many previous studies, this research incorporated critical illness scoring commonly used in clinical practice to assess the severity of newborn conditions, in conjunction with other high-risk factors. This approach enhanced the screening process for identifying high-risk infants for BPD, offering valuable support to clinicians in their decision-making processes.

Our study also has certain limitations. First, this is a retrospective single-center study, which may have some degree of selection bias and may not be representative of all children with BPD. Moreover, BPD incidence rates vary across different regions and hospitals. Additionally, although we have collected the relevant clinical data, due to limitations, we were unable to include related biomarkers and other high-risk factors for BPD, such as the mode of mechanical ventilation and placental pathology results. We hope to conduct a prospective, multicenter study in the future, establishing different assessment points during hospitalization (such as on the 1st, 7th, and 14th days after birth). This future study would also incorporate relevant biomarkers and include post-discharge follow-ups to track readmission rates and the incidence of respiratory diseases. The aim would be to build a comprehensive and accurate predictive model. In this study, risk models for early prediction of BPD were explored, indicating BW, recovery mode, intrauterine distress, SNAPPE-II score, HCT, and apnea as risk factors for early prediction of BPD in premature infants <32 weeks. However, conducted at a single center with inadequate cases, future studies should be multi-center with follow-up at different time points to establish a comprehensive, optimal prediction model.

Data availability statement

The raw data supporting the conclusions of this article will be made available by the authors, without undue reservation.

Ethics statement

The studies involving humans were approved by Medical Ethics Committee of the Nanfang Hospital of Southern Medical University (NFEC-2022-446). The studies were conducted in accordance with the local legislation and institutional requirements. Written informed consent for participation in this study was provided by the participants’ legal guardians/next of kin.

Author contributions

LT: Formal Analysis, Data curation, Writing – original draft. WW: Writing – original draft, Formal Analysis, Data curation. WH: Writing – review & editing, Methodology, Conceptualization. GB: Project administration, Writing – review & editing, Supervision, Funding acquisition.

Funding

The author(s) declare financial support was received for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article. This study was supported by Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province (2020A1515110279 and 2022A1515012021) and received a grant by Science and Technology Projects in Guangzhou (2023A04J2300).

Conflict of interest

The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.

Publisher's note

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Keywords: bronchopulmonary dysplasia, prediction model, risk factor, nomogram, premature infant

Citation: Tang L, Wu W, Huang W and Bi G (2024) Predictive modeling of bronchopulmonary dysplasia in premature infants: the impact of new diagnostic standards. Front. Pediatr. 12:1434823. doi: 10.3389/fped.2024.1434823

Received: 19 May 2024; Accepted: 10 October 2024;
Published: 29 October 2024.

Edited by:

Jia-Yuh Chen, Chung Shan Medical University, Taiwan

Reviewed by:

Shahana Perveen, Cohen Children’s Medical Center, United States
San-Nan Yang, E-Da Hospital, Taiwan

Copyright: © 2024 Tang, Wu, Huang and Bi. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

*Correspondence: Guangliang Bi, bader515@163.com

These authors have contributed equally to this work and share first authorship

Disclaimer: All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.