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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article
Front. Oncol.
Sec. Gynecological Oncology
Volume 15 - 2025 |
doi: 10.3389/fonc.2025.1525867
This article is part of the Research Topic Prognostic Biomarkers and Gene Signatures in Endometrial, Ovarian, and Cervical Cancer View all 5 articles
Development and Validation of a Nomogram to Predict Recurrence in Epithelial Ovarian Cancer Using Complete Blood Count and Lipid Profiles
Provisionally accepted- 1 Department of Gynecology, First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
- 2 Department of Urology, First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, Chongqing Municipality, China
Objective: Ovarian cancer is one of the most lethal gynecological malignancies. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic significance of complete blood count (CBC) and lipid profile in patients with optimally debulked epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) and develop a nomogram model to predict recurrence-free survival (RFS).Methods: This retrospective study analyzed patients diagnosed with EOC between January 2018 and June 2022.Results: A total of 307 patients were randomly divided into training and validation sets in a ratio of 7:3. Grade, International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stage, platelet-tolymphocyte ratio, red blood cell distribution width-coefficient of variation, triglycerides, and human epididymal protein 4 were identified as independent prognostic factors. The novel nomogram displayed good a predictive performance, with a concordance index (C-index) of 0.787 in the training group and 0.807 in the validation group. The areas under the curve for 1-, 3-, and 5-year RFS were 0.770, 0.881, and 0.904, respectively, in the training group, and 0.667, 0.906, and 0.886, respectively, in the validation group. The calibration curves exhibited good concordance between the predicted survival probabilities and actual observations. Time-dependent C-index curves, integrated discrimination improvement, net reclassification index, and decision curve analysis showed that the nomogram outperformed FIGO staging.This study established and validated a nomogram combining CBC and lipid profiles to predict RFS in patients with optimally debulked EOC, which is expected to aid gynecologists in individualized prognosis assessment and clinical management.
Keywords: nomogram, epithelial ovarian cancer, Recurrence, complete blood count, lipid profile
Received: 10 Nov 2024; Accepted: 15 Jan 2025.
Copyright: © 2025 Tang, He, Huang, Chen, Chen, Liu, Tian and Wang. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
* Correspondence:
Yingyu Tian, Department of Gynecology, First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
Hui Wang, Department of Gynecology, First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China
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