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SYSTEMATIC REVIEW article

Front. Oncol., 11 December 2024
Sec. Gastrointestinal Cancers: Hepato Pancreatic Biliary Cancers
This article is part of the Research Topic The Growing Role of Immunotherapy and Combination Strategies in Pancreatic and Hepatobiliary Cancers View all 7 articles

Prognostic role of systemic inflammation response index (SIRI) in patients with pancreatic cancer: a meta-analysis

Huifen ShenHuifen Shen1Fei Zuo*Fei Zuo2*
  • 1Department of Neurology, Huzhou Central Hospital, Affiliated Central Hospital of Huzhou University, Huzhou, Zhejiang, China
  • 2Department of Gastroenterology, Huzhou Central Hospital, Affiliated Central Hospital of Huzhou University, Huzhou, Zhejiang, China

Background: The significance of the systemic inflammation response index (SIRI) in predicting the prognosis of patients with pancreatic cancer (PC) has been extensively explored; however, findings remain controversial. As such, this meta-analysis was performed to more precisely determine the utility of the SIRI in predicting PC prognosis.

Methods: A comprehensive literature search of the PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, and Cochrane Library databases for relevant studies, published up to June 25, 2024, was performed. The primary and secondary endpoints were overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS), respectively. The prognostic utility of the SIRI in predicting PC prognosis was estimated by calculating pooled hazard ratios (HRs) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

Results: Seven studies comprising 1160 patients were included in the present meta-analysis. Pooled findings revealed that elevated SIRI was as a prominent prognostic marker of OS (HR 2.40 [95% CI 1.88–3.05]; p<0.001) and PFS (HR 1.95 [95% CI 1.19–3.21]; p=0.008) in patients diagnosed with PC. According to subgroup analysis, the SIRI remained an outstanding prognostic marker for OS, irrespective of region, sample size, study center, study design, TNM stage, cancer type, cut-off value, treatment, or survival analysis type (all p<0.05). Moreover, based on subgroup analysis, the SIRI demonstrated significant utility in predicting PFS, irrespective of region and threshold value (p<0.05).

Conclusion: Results of the present meta-analysis revealed that an increased SIRI significantly predicted OS and PFS in patients diagnosed with PC. Considering its cost-effectiveness and availability, the SIRI may be a promising biomarker for predicting prognosis in patients with PC.

Introduction

Pancreatic cancer (PC) ranks among the most common cancers of the digestive system and is characterized by poor prognosis and limited oncological treatment options (1). The global burden of PC has more than doubled in the past 25 years, ranking it as the seventh major cause of cancer-associated mortality globally (2). According to statistics from GLOBOCAN, 495,773 new cases of PC were diagnosed, with 466,003 related deaths reported worldwide in 2020 (2). Once detected, PC is usually in an advanced stage and cannot be surgically resected in approximately 80% of cases (3). There is only a 20% surgical resection rate in cases of PC that develop local or distant metastases, and metastasis and recurrence often occur even after surgical treatment (4). PC is highly malignant, difficult to diagnose early, and difficult to treat once it has already progressed (5). Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is the most prevalent of PC subtypes, and is the deadliest malignancy, with a five-year survival rate < 8% (6). Consequently, the identification of novel and effective markers for individuals diagnosed with PC is urgently needed.

In recent years, inflammatory and immune responses have been suggested to play crucial roles in cancer progression and development (7). Many hematological parameters have been identified as significant prognostic markers for various cancers, such as lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (8), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (9), C-reactive protein-to-albumin ratio (10), controlling nutritional status score (CONUT) (11), and fibrinogen-to-albumin ratio (12). The systemic inflammation response index (SIRI) is calculated using neutrophil, lymphocyte, and monocyte counts (13). First proposed in 2016, the SIRI is calculated as neutrophil count × monocyte count/lymphocyte count (13). Recently, the SIRI was demonstrated to be highly significant in predicting the prognosis of various solid tumors, including non-small cell lung (14), breast (15), gastric (16), rectal (17), and hepatoblastoma (18) cancers. The SIRI has been widely analyzed for its prognostic significance in patients diagnosed with PC, although findings remain inconsistent (13, 1924). As such, we performed a comprehensive literature review and meta-analysis to more precisely define the prognostic utility of the SIRI in patients diagnosed with PC.

Materials and methods

Study guideline

The current literature review and meta-analysis was performed in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (i.e., “PRISMA”) guidelines (25).

Search strategy

A comprehensive search of the PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, and Cochrane Library databases for potentially eligible studies, published up to June 25, 2024, was performed using the following search terms: “systemic inflammation response index” or “systemic inflammatory response index” or “SIRI” and “pancreatic cancer” or “pancreatic carcinoma” or “pancreatic tumor” or “pancreatic adenocarcinoma” or “pancreatic neoplasm”. Eligible studies were restricted to those published in English. Additionally, the reference lists of the retrieved studies were manually searched for other potentially eligible studies that fulfilled the inclusion criteria.

Inclusion and exclusion criteria

Studies fulfilling the following criteria were included: PC diagnosed by histological or cytological examination; reported the relationship between the SIRI and any survival of PC cases; relevant data including hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI); identification of the threshold SIRI; and available full-text published in English. This meta-analysis utilized the pretreatment measured SIRI, excluding SIRI values assessed at various timepoints such as post-operative or pre/post neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

Case reports, meeting abstracts, letters, comments, and reviews, and studies with duplicate patients and animal studies were excluded.

Data collection and quality evaluation

Two researchers (HS and FZ) extracted data from the included studies, and disputes were resolved through consensus discussion. The following information was obtained from each included study: first author; publication year; country; sample size; age; sex; study duration; study center; study design; tumor stage; cancer type; threshold SIRI; threshold determination approach; survival outcomes; survival analysis types; survival endpoints; follow-up; and HRs with corresponding 95% CIs. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were the primary and secondary endpoints, respectively. Quality assessment was performed using the Newcastle–Ottawa Scale (NOS) (26). The NOS assesses study quality from 3 perspectives: selection, outcome, and comparability. The total NOS score ranges from 0 to 9, with scores ≥ 6 indicating high quality.

Statistical analysis

The utility/significance of the SIRI for predicting PC prognosis was estimated by calculating combined HRs and corresponding 95% CIs. Heterogeneity among the studies was evaluated using Cochran’s test and the Higgins I2 statistic. Results with p ≥ 0.10 and I2 ≤ 50% represented no obvious heterogeneity and a fixed-effects model was used to analyze data; otherwise, a random-effects model was adopted. Subgroup analyses according to different factors were performed to detect the sources of heterogeneity for further investigation. Stability of the results was evaluated using sensitivity analysis, in which each study was excluded one-at-a-time (i.e., “leave-one-out” method). Funnel plots were constructed and Begg’s and Egger’s tests were used to evaluate publication bias. Statistical analysis was performed using Stata Release 12.0 (StataCorp LLC, College Station, TX, USA). Differences with p < 0.05 were considered to be statistically significant.

Results

Search results

The initial literature search retrieved 399 studies, of which 298 were retained after duplicates were removed (Figure 1). After title and abstract review, 247 studies were excluded due to irrelevance and animal studies, and the full texts of 51 studies were further examined. Forty-four studies were excluded for the following reasons: irrelevance to the SIRI (n=38); meeting abstracts (n=2); lack of survival data (n=1); non-English publication (n=1); letters (n=1); and studies with duplicate patients (n=1). Ultimately, 7 studies comprising 1160 patients (13, 1924) were included in the present meta-analysis (Figure 1; Table 1).

Figure 1
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Figure 1. PRISMA flowchart explaining the article selection.

Table 1
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Table 1. Basic characteristics of included studies in this meta-analysis. .

Study features

All enrolled studies were published between 2016 and 2024 (Table 1). Two were performed in China (13, 19) and 1 each in Turkey (20), Portugal (21), the United Kingdom (22), South Korea (23), and Spain (24). Sample sizes ranged from 50 to 371 (median, 152). There were 5 single-center studies (13, 1921, 23) and 2 were multicenter trials (22, 24). Six studies had a retrospective design (13, 1923) and 1 was a prospective trial (24). Four studies recruited patients with TNM stages III-IV (13, 2022), 2 enrolled patients with stages I-III (19, 23), and 1 included patients with stage IV disease (24). Four studies treated patients with PC with chemotherapy (13, 21, 22, 24), and 1 each used surgery (19), chemoradiotherapy (CRT) (20), and neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) + surgery (23). Five studies included patients with PDAC (1923), and 2 included patients with PC (13, 24). The threshold SIRI was 0.69–2.35. All studies used receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis to determine threshold values. All 7 included studies reported the relationship between the SIRI and OS (13, 1924), whereas 6 presented the significance of the SIRI in predicting PFS (13, 1921, 23, 24) in PC. Three studies obtained HRs and 95% CIs using univariate regression (21, 23, 24), while 4 used multivariate regression (13, 19, 20, 22). NOS scores ranged from 7 to 9, suggesting high quality (Table 1).

SIRI and OS in PC

Seven studies involving 1160 patients (13, 1924) reported data regarding the relationship between the SIRI and OS in PC. Due to obvious heterogeneity (I2 = 69.7%, p = 0.003), a random-effects model yielded an HR of 2.40 (95% CI 1.88–3.05; p < 0.001), suggesting that an elevated SIRI was the significant prognostic marker for OS in patients with PC (Figure 2; Table 2). As demonstrated by subgroup analysis, the SIRI remained a significant predictor of OS regardless of region, sample size, study center, study design, TNM stage, cancer type, cut-off value, treatment, or survival analysis type (all p < 0.05) (Table 2).

Figure 2
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Figure 2. Forest plots of the association between SIRI and overall survival in patients with PC.

Table 2
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Table 2. Subgroup analysis of prognostic value of SIRI for OS in patients with pancreatic cancer.

SIRI and PFS of PC

Six studies comprising 1022 patients (13, 1921, 23, 24) reported SIRI values for predicting PFS in patients diagnosed with PC. Due to significant heterogeneity (I2 = 93.1%, p < 0.001), a random-effects model was used. Based on pooled data, a higher SIRI was markedly associated with dismal PFS in patients with PC (HR 1.95 [95% CI 1.19–3.21]); p = 0.008) (Figure 3; Table 3). Based on subgroup analysis, the significant prognostic value of the SIRI for PFS remained unaffected by region or cut-off value (p<0.05) (Table 3). Additionally, the SIRI still significantly predicted PFS of PC in the following subgroups: sample size ≥ 150 (p = 0.021); multicenter studies (p < 0.001); prospective studies (p < 0.001); TNM stage I-III (p = 0.002) and stage IV (p < 0.001); PDAC histology (p = 0.037); treatment of surgery/NACT+ surgery (p = 0.002) and CRT (p < 0.001); and multivariate survival analysis (p = 0.028) (Table 3).

Figure 3
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Figure 3. Forest plots of the association between SIRI and progression-free survival in patients with PC.

Table 3
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Table 3. Subgroup analysis of prognostic value of SIRI for PFS in patients with pancreatic cancer.

Sensitivity analysis

Results of sensitivity analyses using the “leave-one-out” method for OS and PFS are reported in Figure 4. One study did not demonstrate significant changes in OS or PFS in this meta-analysis, indicating that the findings were reliable (Figure 4).

Figure 4
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Figure 4. Sensitivity analysis. (A) OS; and (B) PFS.

Publication bias

Funnel plots and Egger’s and Begg’s tests were used to estimate possible publication bias. Publication bias was not detected for OS (p = 1.000 and p = 0.305 according to Begg’s and Egger’s tests, respectively) and PFS (p = 0.707 and p = 0.060 according to Begg’s and Egger’s tests, respectively) (Figure 5).

Figure 5
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Figure 5. Publication bias test. (A) Begg’s test for OS, p=1.000; (B) Egger’s test for OS, p=0.305; (C) Begg’s test for PFS, p=0.707; and (D) Egger’s test for PFS, p=0.060.

Discussion

The efficiency of the SIRI in predicting PC prognosis has been extensively analyzed; however, findings have been inconsistent. For example, a high SIRI has been suggested to be a significant prognostic marker of PC in some studies (13, 19, 20, 2224). In contrast, some clinicians have failed to determine a relationship between the SIRI and PC prognosis (21). These inconsistencies prevent the clinical application of SIRI for PC prognostication.

In this meta-analysis, we aggregated data from 7 studies involving 1160 patients (13, 1924) to more clearly define the prognostic utility of the SIRI. Based on our results, a higher SIRI significantly predicted OS and PFS in patients with PC. Moreover, the role of the SIRI in predicting OS and PFS remained unaffected by geographical region and cut-off values in PC. As verified by publication bias and sensitivity analyses, our findings were stable. Collectively, a higher SIRI significantly predicted the short- and long-term prognoses of patients with PC. The SIRI may a candidate biomarker for predicting PC prognosis due to its cost-effectiveness and availability. To the best of our knowledge, this meta-analysis is the first to explore the utility of the SIRI in predicting PC prognosis.

We computed the SIRI using neutrophil, lymphocyte, and monocyte counts. Consequently, a higher SIRI may be due to higher neutrophil/monocyte counts and/or lower lymphocyte counts. Although the precise mechanisms underlying the significance of the SIRI in predicting PC prognosis remain largely unclear, they are interpreted as follows. First, it is known that neutrophils produce growth factors, chemokines and cytokines that can promote angiogenesis, such as transforming growth factor-beta, vascular endothelial growth factor, matrix metalloproteinases, and interleukin (IL)-6, IL-8, and IL-12 (27). In addition to secreting cytokines, neutrophils also produce proteases, including matrix metalloproteinases, cysteine cathepsins, and serine proteases (28, 29). Because these proteases disrupt cell connections and degrade the extracellular matrix and basement membrane proteins, tumor cells can migrate more easily (30). Second, monocytes may affect tumor occurrence by differentiating into tumor-associated macrophages (TAMs). Chemokines and cytokines in the tumor microenvironment exert a chemotactic effect on TAMs, including tumor necrosis factor-α and monocyte chemoattractant protein-1, among others (31). Furthermore, monocytes can inhibit antigen- and mitogen-induced lymphocyte proliferation, impair lymphocyte-dependent antitumor defenses, and suppress antitumor immunity (32). Third, lymphocytes, particularly tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs), are important for cell-mediated immunity against tumors (33). Lower lymphocyte counts can weaken the systemic immune system; therefore, tumor cells can evade immune surveillance, ultimately enhancing their malignant behavior (34).

Results of the present meta-analysis have important implications for clinical practice. First, variations in the follow-up duration of the included studies may have affected the prognostic role of the SIRI. Therefore, adequate follow-up is needed for the post-treatment management of PC. Second, the SIRI may vary during the treatment process for PC. In this meta-analysis, we adopted pretreatment blood test parameters to calculate the SIRI. Moreover, infections, trauma, and immune-related diseases should be excluded when the SIRI is calculated because they can affect specific immunological indices. Third, this meta-analysis included only the pretreatment SIRI. Changes in SIRI scores before and after treatment may provide prognostic value, which should be explored in future studies. Subgroup analysis indicated that an increased SIRI was significantly associated with poor OS and PFS in patients with PC who underwent surgery or NACT + surgery. However, an elevated SIRI was a significant prognostic marker for poor OS―but not PFS―in patients with PC treated with chemotherapy. Therefore, in patients with resectable PC, the SIRI remains a significant prognostic indicator of both OS and PFS.

Notably, SIRI cut-off values varied among the included studies, ranging from 0.69 to 2.35, with a median value of 1.8; as such, 1.8 was adopted as the cut-off value in the subgroup analysis. The carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA 19-9) is a glycoprotein found on the cell surface of the pancreatic ductal cells (35). A wide range of benign diseases, such as cholestasis, and malignant diseases, mainly PDAC, overexpress CA19-9 (36). Preoperative serum levels of CA 19-9 are associated with both occult metastasis detection during surgery and worse disease-free survival (DFS), even in resectable PDAC (37). For patients with PDAC, CA 19-9 is considered to be the main biological parameter to assess its biological resectability (38). Whether the combination of SIRI and CA19-9 could enhance the prognostic efficiency for PDAC patients is needed to be investigated in future studies.

Recently, SIRI is widely suggested with prognostic significance for different cancer types by meta-analysis (3943). As reported by Zhang et al. (39), a higher SIRI estimated poor OS and PFS in hepatocellular carcinoma cases in a meta-analysis of 10 studies. Ren et al. (41) conducted a meta-analysis of 6 studies and found that a higher SIRI value was consistently related to poor OS and DFS in patients with gastric cancer. In addition, another meta-analysis enrolling 3187 patients reported that the SIRI independently predicted OS in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (42). In a recent meta-analysis involving 2997 cases, a higher SIRI was markedly related to poor OS but not poor DFS in breast cancer (40). Our meta-analysis is consistent with results regarding the prognostic utility of the SIRI in other cancer types.

However, the present study had several limitations, the first of which was the small sample size, with only 7 studies included. Second, most included studies were retrospective in design, which may have introduced selection bias due to the inherent nature of such designs. Third, the threshold SIRI was not uniform among the included studies, which may have contributed to heterogeneity. Fourth, it is important to note that many non-specific biological processes may affect the cell counts necessary to calculate SIRI (pathology, cancer, infection, inflammation, etc.). Given these limitations, large-scale prospective studies should be conducted for further validation.

Conclusions

In summary, results of the present meta-analysis demonstrated that an elevated SIRI significantly predicted OS and PFS in patients diagnosed with PC. Considering its cost-effectiveness and availability, the SIRI may be a promising prognostic biomarker in this patient population.

Data availability statement

The original contributions presented in the study are included in the article/supplementary material. Further inquiries can be directed to the corresponding author/s.

Author contributions

HS: Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Software, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft. FZ: Conceptualization, Data curation, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Software, Validation, Visualization, Writing – review & editing.

Funding

The author(s) declare that no financial support was received for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.

Acknowledgments

We would like to thank Editage (www.editage.com) for English language editing.

Conflict of interest

The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.

Publisher’s note

All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.

Abbreviations

SIRI, systemic inflammation response index; PC, pancreatic cancer; OS, overall survival; PFS, progression-free survival; HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; PDAC, pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma; CONUT, controlling nutritional status score; PRISMA, Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses; NOS, Newcastle-Ottawa Scale; CRT, chemoradiotherapy; ROC, receiver operating characteristic.

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Keywords: SIRI, pancreatic cancer, prognosis, evidence-based medicine, biomarker

Citation: Shen H and Zuo F (2024) Prognostic role of systemic inflammation response index (SIRI) in patients with pancreatic cancer: a meta-analysis. Front. Oncol. 14:1465279. doi: 10.3389/fonc.2024.1465279

Received: 16 July 2024; Accepted: 26 November 2024;
Published: 11 December 2024.

Edited by:

Arsen Osipov, Cedars Sinai Medical Center, United States

Reviewed by:

Zhaohui Tang, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, China
Matthew Ebia, Cedars Sinai Medical Center, United States

Copyright © 2024 Shen and Zuo. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

*Correspondence: Fei Zuo, emZuaWdodDIwMjNAMTYzLmNvbQ==

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