- 1Department of Thoracic Surgery, the Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China
- 2Department of Cardiology, the Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China
Introduction: The delays in cancer therapies have the potential to impact disease progression by allowing the unchecked growth and spread of cancer cells. However, the understanding of the association between treatment waiting time and survival outcomes in patients with esophageal cancer (EC) is limited. This study aims to assess the impact of waiting time on survival outcomes among EC patients in Hebei province, which is recognized as one of the high-risk areas for EC in China.
Methods: A total of 9,977 non-metastatic EC patients who underwent surgical treatment were identified between 2000 and 2020. The survival outcomes of overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were determined using the Kaplan-Meier methodology. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis was employed to evaluate the impact of treatment delays on OS and CSS.
Results: The average delay time for initiating EC surgical treatment after diagnosis was 1.31 months (95%CI=1.29–1.34). Patients with a long delay (≥ 3 months) in treatment, comprising 9977 EC patients, exhibited significantly lower rates of 3-, 5-, and 10-year OS and CSS compared to those without any delay in treatment initiation. A long delay in EC treatment independently associated with an elevated risk of all-cause and cancer-cause mortality among various patient subgroups, including males, older individuals, single individuals, low-income patients, residents of nonmetropolitan counties, as well as those diagnosed with poorly differentiated and stage IV EC.
Discussion: The long delay of treatment initiation impacts the outcomes of OS and CSS in EC patients. Optimizing treatment timing may enhance life expectancy for individuals diagnosed with EC.
Introduction
Cancer presents a significant public health challenge and plays a pivotal role in the global burden of diseases (1–3). According to the latest data from the Global Cancer Observatory (GLOBOCAN) 2020 database, the impact of cancer on human health is staggering. Approximately 10 million deaths occur worldwide each year due to cancer, which equates to one death every six seconds (4). The incidence of EC ranks eighth globally, while it stands as the sixth leading cause of cancer-related mortality worldwide (5). According to a recent study, the leading causes of cancer deaths in China in 2022 were lung cancer (733,300 deaths), followed by liver cancer (316,500 deaths), stomach cancer (260,400 deaths), colorectal cancer (240,000 deaths), and esophageal cancer (187,500 deaths). These five types of cancers accounted for 67.50% of total cancer deaths in China (6). In 2021, there were approximately 24,318 new cases of esophageal cancer and 18,226 deaths reported in Hebei Province (7).
For cancers that can be screened, efforts have been directed towards the early identification of cancer cases, leading to a higher percentage of patients being diagnosed at an early stage when surgical intervention offers a potential cure. The increasing number of patients diagnosed with malignant cancer will consequently be provided with greater access to medical interventions (8, 9). Unfortunately, the growing complexity of multimodality cancer care led to a significant time gap of several weeks between diagnosis and treatment (10–15). Continuous evidence from systematic reviews and meta-analyses indicate that variations in the effects of extended waiting periods between diagnosis and treatment on clinical outcomes were detected among individuals diagnosed with different forms of cancer (16–18). Several studies demonstrated that the relationship of treatment delays with an increased overall risk of mortality in patients diagnosed with various types of cancers, including but not limited to lung cancer (10, 11), colorectal cancer (12), endometrial cancer (13), liver cancer (14) and female-specific malignancies (15). The available evidence suggested an increase in wait times for EC treatment over the past decade, as well as disparities among different racial populations in the United States (19, 20). Nevertheless, the impact of treatment waiting time on survival outcomes in Chinese patients with EC remains uncertain.
The objective of this study is to investigate whether the duration from diagnosis to surgical treatment has an impact on the OS and CSS among Chinese patients with EC in Hebei, a region identified as one of the high-risk areas for EC. Furthermore, we aimed to assess the association between the time from diagnosis to treatment and the risk of all-cause and cancer-specific mortality.
Materials and methods
Ethics statement
Ethical approval in this study was obtained from the Institutional Review Board (IRB) of the Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University (IRB2023-101923). Written informed consent was obtained from all the subjects. The study strictly followed the ethical principles delineated in the 1964 Helsinki Declaration along with its subsequent amendments or comparable ethical guidelines.
Study population
Data on patients were collected from 92 hospitals across 6 cities in Hebei Province, China. The distribution of participating hospitals is shown in Figure 1. The study included patients diagnosed with “Esophagus” according to ICD-O-3/WHO 2008, exhibiting a “Malignant” behavior code for the primary neoplasm, diagnosed between 2000 and 2020, and surgery performed in each case. Cases based solely on a death certificate or autopsy report, lacking waiting time of surgery and other clinical information or follow-up data were excluded. The implementation of various strategies for EC treatment is feasible; however, surgical intervention remains the pivotal first-line modality. Therefore, our study exclusively included patients who underwent surgical resection. Additionally, all patients included in our analysis underwent cancer-directed surgery, as opposed to considering alternative therapies such as radiotherapy or chemotherapy prior to the surgical procedure.
Figure 1. The distribution of participanting hospitals and patiens in Hebei. (ArcGIS 10.2 for Desktop software, Environmental Systems Research Institute Inc., USA, https://www.esri.com).
Information includes demographic characteristics: sex, age at diagnosis, marital status at diagnosis, household income, living areas, year of diagnosis, waiting time from diagnosis to treatment, and survival months; tumor-related information: primary tumor site, differentiation, grade, radiotherapy, chemotherapy and histology.
Definition of variables
We defined treatment delays as the number of days between the initial medical consultation for symptoms of EC and the initiation of surgical treatment. Referring to previous studies (23, 24) and considering that EC patients in high-risk areas may experience longer delays, we classified treatment delays into four groups: no delay (0 month), brief delay (1 month), moderate delay (2 months), and long delay (≥3 months). Marital status was divided into couple and single categories, which included separated, divorced, widowed, and never married individuals. Median household income per year was categorized into three groups, low level (≤50000 yuan), middle level (50000-70000 yuan) and high level (≥70000 yuan). The living areas were classified into metropolitan counties and nonmetropolitan counties. The primary site of EC was categorized as the upper third, middle third, lower third, and other sites. The histology of EC was classified into squamous cell neoplasms, adenocarcinoma, cystic/mucinous and serous neoplasms, and other group neoplasms.
Definition of outcomes
In terms of the clinical outcome, the primary and secondary endpoints were determined as OS and CSS, respectively. OS is a well-established endpoint in oncology trials, as it provides an overall picture of the survival of the patients in the study. It is a measure of the length of time from the initiation of treatment to the time of death from any cause. On the other hand, CSS is a more specific measure of the effectiveness of the treatment, as it only takes into account the survival of patients with the cancer type being studied. This endpoint is particularly important in cases where the treatment being investigated may have an impact on overall survival.
Statistical analysis
The chi-square test was utilized to compare the variations among different levels of each factor. The Kaplan-Meier method was employed to analyze the 3-, 5- and 10-year OS and CSS rates, as well as the median survival time. To assess differences between the survival curves, the log-rank test was conducted. Univariate and multivariable survival analyses were performed using Cox proportional hazard regression models to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and their corresponding 95% confidential intervals (CIs). A multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression model was constructed by incorporating risk factors that showed a significance level below 0.10 in univariate analysis. The sensitivity and specificity were evaluated by employing the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, specifically quantifying the area under the curve (AUC). AUC values greater than 0.6 are considered high level fits.
The analyses were conducted using R software version 4.3.1. All statistical tests followed a two-sided approach, and a significance level of P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.
Results
Characteristics of patients
During the study period, a total of 13,475 patients diagnosed with EC and undergoing surgery were included in the medical system. Among them, data on waiting time from diagnosis to surgical treatment was missing for 156 patients, while other important information was missing for 3,342 patients. Specifically, a total of 2,489 individuals did not have follow-up data regarding OS or OSS outcomes. Additionally, there were 156 cases with missing sex and age information and 697 instances where essential clinical details-such as cancer site, differentiation grade, pathological stage, and histology-were not provided. The study ultimately included a total of 9,977 patients with an average age of 64.2 (64.0-64.4) during the period from 2000 to 2020. By the end of 2020, a total of 6929 (69.4%) patients had passed away, among whom 5163 (51.3%) died due to EC. The characteristics of all EC patients stratified by waiting time from diagnosis to treatment are presented in Table 1. Among all the patients, 46.0% experienced a brief delay prior to receiving EC treatment, while 23.8% encountered a moderate delay and 10.1% endured a long delay.
Table 1. Demographic and clinical characteristics of the 9977 esophageal cancer patients categorized by waiting time from diagnosis to treatment.
The female patients accounted for 16.8% (n=1,679), while the largest group consisted of males, with a total of 83.2% (n=8,298). Among male and female EC patients, only approximately one-fifth did not experience treatment delays, with percentages of 19.9% and 20.5%, respectively. The delay in cancer treatment is consistently observed among EC cancer patients who are single at diagnose, reside in nonmetropolitan areas, and have low household income.
Survival outcomes and univariate analysis
The OS rates at 3, 5, and 10 years for all patients were 51.6% (50.6%-52.6%), 40.6% (39.6%-41.6%), and 27.4% (26.4%-28.4%), respectively. The median OS time for the investigated cases of EC was 40 months (95% CI=38.2-41.7). The CSS rates at 3, 5, and 10 years for all patients were found to be 57.7%(56.8%-58.8%), 48.8%(47.8%-49.9%) and 38.8%(37.6%-40.0%), respectively. The median CSS time for the investigated EC cases was determined to be approximately 56.0 months (95% CI=51.8-60.1). The demographic and clinical characteristics were used to categorize the subgroup of OS and CSS rate, as well as their median survival time (Table 2 and Supplementary Table 1).
Patients with EC surgery who experienced a long delay between diagnosis and treatment exhibited the lowest OS and CSS, with median survival times of 36.0 months (95% CI=32.0-39.9) and 51.0 months (95% CI=41.4-60.5), respectively. The survival rates for overall and cancer-specific outcomes at 120 months, as depicted in Figure 2, are based on the duration between diagnosis and treatment initiation.
Figure 2. Kaplan-Meier curves representing the overall survival and cancer-specific survival of the investigated EC patients, categorized based on treatment delay (left figure: overall survival; right figure: cancer-specific survival).
The survival rates of EC in male patients, low-income patients, patients aged ≥75 and single patients were significantly lower with a 10-year OS rate of only 27%, 22.6%, 24.4%, 6.21%, and 25.6%. The 10-year OS rates of patients with lower third esophageal tumors (28.6%) and patients diagnosed with adenocarcinoma (44.0%) exhibited superior outcomes compared to those observed in other patients. The 10-year OS rate of poor/undifferentiated patients was significantly lower compared to that of other patients. The patients in stage I exhibited the longest median survival time (97.0 months), whereas those in stage IV demonstrated the shortest median survival time (14.0 months). The CSS rate showed the similar findings. The univariate analysis presented in Table 3 and Supplementary Table 2 > also corroborated these results.
Table 3. Univariate and multivariate analyses demonstrating the association between time from diagnosis to treatment and both overall survival and cause-specific survival in patients with esophageal cancer.
Multivariable analysis
The results from the Cox analyses further confirmed that sex, age, year of diagnosis race, primary site, differentiation, stage, marital status, household income, living areas and histology were significantly associated with an increased risk of all-cause and cancer-specific mortality. A long delay (≥3 months) from diagnosis to treatment was linked to a higher risk of all-cause (adjusted HR=1.12; 95%CI=1.02-1.23, p=0.001) and cancer-specific mortality (adjusted HR=1.21; 95%CI=1.08-1.36, p<0.001) compared to no delay. Patients with undifferentiated and stage IV EC demonstrated a 1.39-fold (95% CI=1.14-1.69) and 4.39-fold (95% CI=3.92-4.91) increase in the risk of all-cause mortality, respectively, when compared to those diagnosed with highly differentiated and stage I EC. Similarly, patients with undifferentiated and stage IV EC exhibited a 1.59-fold (95% CI=1.25-2.02) and 6.46-fold (95% CI=5.68-7.36) increase in the risk of cause-specific mortality, respectively, when compared to their counterparts diagnosed with highly differentiated and stage I EC (Table 3 and Supplementary Tables 2, 3).
Subgroup analysis
We conducted subgroup analysis stratified by the demographic and clinical covariates. The observed trends suggest that most subgroups exhibit similar effects on treatment delay and OS, with patients experiencing prolonged delays being at a higher risk of mortality. The adverse impact of long delay of treatment on the survival (≥3 months) of patients with EC was consistently observed across various subgroups, including male patients (HR=1.11; 95%CI=1.00-1.23, p<0.001) and patients aged ≥75 (HR=1.20; 95%CI=1.00-1.45, p=0.010). Other risk factors associated with poor survival in cases of long treatment delay included poor differentiated (HR=1.22; 95%CI =1.06-1.41, p=0.005), stage IV EC (HR=1.61, 95%CI =1.04-2.49, p=0.001), single marital status (HR=12.5, 95%Cl=10.7-14.6, p=0.028), low level household income (HR=1.75; 95%Cl=1.26-2.43, p=0.006) and residence in nonmetropolitan counties (HR=1.43; 95%Cl=1.08-1.89, p=0.054) (Table 4).
Table 4. Subgroup analyses for the association of the association between demographic factors, clinical characteristics, and overall survival in patients with esophageal cancer.
The detrimental impact of long treatment delay on the CSS was consistently observed across various subgroups, including male individuals (HR=1.18; 95%Cl=1.04-1.33, p<0.001), patients aged 65-74 (HR=1.31; 95%CI=1.08-1.59, p=0.012) and ≥75 (HR=1.33; 95%CI=1.03-1.73, p=0.057), single marital status (HR=1.38; 95%CI=1.14-1.66, p=0.004), low income (HR=1.94; 95%CI=1.32-2.86, p=0.002), residence in nonmetropolitan counties (HR=1.36; 95%CI=1.00-1.87, p=0.035), those with lower third of EC cases (HR=1.21; 95%CI=1.06-1.39, p=0.002), poor differentiated EC (HR=1.34; 95%CI=1.13-1.58, p<0.001), stage IV EC cases (HR=1.63; 95%CI=1.00-2.64, p=0.001), adenocarcinoma subtype of EC (HR=1.20; 95%CI=1.04-1.38, p<0.001) and patients who underwent surgery both before and after radiation therapy (HR=1.25; 95%CI=1.01-1.54, p=0.034) (Supplementary Table 4).
Assessment of Cox proportional hazard regression models
The AUC values of the three different follow-up duration are presented in Figure 3. The AUC values in the cohort were observed to be high: AUCOS =0.711(95%CI=0.701-0.721) and AUCCSS =0.698(95%CI=0.687-0.709). All model assessment results confirmed that our Cox models fit well.
Figure 3. The AUC values in the cohort stratified by survival outcomes (left figure: overall survival; right figure: cancer-specific survival).
Discussion
This study investigated the impact of delayed EC treatment on OS and CSS, while controlling for individual and clinical characteristics among Chinese EC surgical patients from 2000 to 2020. The 3-, 5-, and 10-year OS rates for patients who experienced a long delay in EC treatment (≥3 months) were found to be 49.8%, 39.8%, and 21.4% respectively, while the CSS rates were determined as 55.1%, 47.8%, and 37.9%. A prolonged delay in EC treatment was independently associated with significantly higher all-cause and cancer-cause mortality among patients. The investigation into the impact of treatment delays on the long-term survival of patients with the most prevalent EC could assist physicians in developing more evidence-based interventions for this specific population.
The accumulation of substantial evidence indicates that a delay in the initiation of cancer treatment can lead to unfavorable outcomes (16–18). A comprehensive meta-analysis revealed that even a mere four-week delay in cancer treatment is associated with an elevated risk of mortality across various types of cancer, including surgical, systemic treatment, and radiotherapy indications. The findings consistently indicate a mortality risk ranging from 1.06 to 1.08 for every four-week delay in surgeries. Estimates for systemic treatment varied between hazard ratios of 1.01 and as high as 1.28, while the estimates for radiotherapy were reported as follows: radical radiotherapy for head and neck cancer (HR=1.09; 95%CI=1.05-1.14), adjuvant radiotherapy after breast conserving surgery (HR=0.98; 95%CI=0.88-1.09), and cervix cancer adjuvant radiotherapy (HR=1.23; 95%CI=1.00-1.50) (16). Similarity, a large cohort study indicated that there is a consistent association between delayed initiation of treatment and increased 5-year and 10-year predicted mortality rates across various cancers, including nonmetastatic breast, prostate, non-small cell lung, and colon cancers. This study also provided evidence suggesting that shorter time-to-treatment initiation is linked to reduced mortality rates for all examined cancer types, implying an indirect relationship between treatment deferral and mortality (21). The findings of another extensive cohort study suggested a significant prolongation in the time to treatment initiation, which is associated with an absolute increase in mortality risk ranging from 1.2% to 3.2% per week in curative settings such as early-stage breast, lung, renal, and pancreatic cancers (22). Recently conducted multi-cancer analyses revealed that, upon adjusting for confounding factors, a prolonged duration from diagnosis to treatment initiation (<6 months) was associated with adverse effects on the survival outcomes of patients diagnosed with early-stage female cancers, including non-small cell lung cancer, breast cancer, thyroid cancer, colorectal cancer, and cervical cancer (15). The relationship between the delay in EC treatment and survival outcomes has been seldom investigated. However, the impact of delayed EC treatment on survival outcomes remains understudied despite its high incidence, mortality rate, and overall poor prognosis (6).
The findings of a study conducted on 315 cases of EC in the Netherlands revealed that there were no significant differences in disease-free survival (p = 0.884) or OS (p = 0.374) between patients with waiting times of less than 8 weeks and those with waiting times of 8 weeks or more, regardless of whether they received neoadjuvant therapy followed by surgery or primary surgery with curative intent (23). Another study conducted in the Netherlands, involving 3839 cases of EC, also indicated that an extended waiting period from diagnosis to treatment for patients undergoing curative intent does not adversely impact OS (24). The former studies yielded similar findings (25, 26). In fact, a similar finding was observed in our study. We discovered that there was no significant association between surgery delay and mortality risk when the duration of surgical treatment delay was less than two months. These results may provide valuable insights for clinical practice regarding EC surgery treatment. Further analysis by Grotenhuis et al. found that a prolonged hospital delay (between endoscopic diagnosis and surgery) was associated with poorer short-term patient outcomes, characterized by higher overall morbidity and mortality rates. However, this delay did not have a detrimental effect on long-term outcomes, specifically OS (27). Our findings suggest that a delay of ≥3 months in starting EC treatment is independently associated with significantly higher rates of all-cause and cancer-specific mortality among patients. Notably, our study population was divided into four subgroups based on delay in treatment [no delay (0 month), brief delay (1 month), moderate delay (2 months), and long delay (≥3 months)], and longer delays were associated with worse OS and CSS. Specifically, 9,977 patients with EC who experienced wait-time intervals exceeding 90 days had significantly lower OS and CSS rates compared to those who received treatment within 30 days. Therefore, the use of different cutoffs for wait-time intervals may have contributed to the observed differences in OS and CSS rates. The findings of this study thus indicated that timely treatment within a clinically relevant waiting period may enhance survival outcomes, highlighting the importance of early intervention for patients.
Significantly, accumulating evidence suggested that the presence of a multi-level social network has an impact on the survival outcomes of cancer patients. The proportion of male EC patients accounted for the highest among all patients in our study, and male EC patients consistently exhibited poorer OS and CSS. This trend is not only observed in Hebei province but also globally (28). Some potential factors that might contribute to the higher incidence of EC among men could include differences in lifestyle habits, such as smoking and alcohol consumption, as well as differences in genetic susceptibility (29). The ethnic composition of the participants also demonstrated variations in previous studies. Recent studies have confirmed inconsistent survival patterns among patients with cancer from diverse ethnic and racial backgrounds (30, 31). Specifically, the survival rate of Black patients has been reported to be comparatively lower than that of Asian/Pacific Islanders. While the underlying mechanisms of survival are still under investigation, factors such as lifestyle and socioeconomic status are believed to play a pivotal role in determining survival outcomes (32, 33). To date, numerous scholars posit that the correlation between marital status and cancer survival is indicative of social support. Spouses play a pivotal role in motivating patients to seek regular medical care, thereby facilitating early diagnosis and treatment of diseases. Patients with cancer receive unwavering encouragement from their spouses to adhere to their treatment regimen and actively engage with other cancer survivors (34–36). A lot of studies have extensively explored the link between marital status and both breast cancer risk and survival (37–41). Consistent with the findings of our study, individuals from low-income backgrounds and residing in nonmetropolitan counties who experienced a prolonged delay in receiving cancer treatment demonstrated significantly improved survival outcomes compared to those who did not receive any treatment within a specific timeframe. Further investigation is required to explore the underlying factors contributing to the relationship between socioeconomic status and cancer outcomes, as well as its impact on clinical aspects. The current study revealed that patients in the long delay treatment group with poor differentiation and stage IV had significantly worse OS and CSS outcomes. These findings suggest that a prolonged time from diagnosis to treatment may negatively impact the prognosis of EC patients with poor differentiated and stage IV EC, highlighting the importance of minimizing wait-time intervals between diagnosis and treatment as a crucial prognostic factor. Notably, over an extended period marked by numerous advances in treatment paradigms and other related factors, we observed that EC patients who experienced prolonged delays in surgical intervention had poorer survival outcomes compared to those without such delays during the years 2000-2010, as opposed to the period from 2011-2020. This finding suggests that advancements in treatment paradigms may mitigate the adverse effects of surgical treatment delays to a certain extent.
To date, the bulk of the evidence underpinning the correlation between the time to treatment initiation and survival rates has been derived from data meticulously compiled in cancer registries across developed nations. However, this wealth of information may not be representative of the global cancer patient population, as it predominantly originates from high-income countries. Consequently, there is an urgent need for future research to delve into the middle- or low-income countries, where the consequences of delayed treatment are likely to be more severe due to the increased vulnerability of cancer patients to disease progression. Such an investigation would require a meticulous examination and comprehensive evaluation of the time taken from diagnosis to the initiation of treatment within various healthcare institutions. This scrutiny, when coupled with an in-depth understanding of the factors contributing to treatment delays, could have far-reaching implications. It could pave the way for public health administrators to make well-informed, tailored decisions on treatment deferrals in resource-constrained regions. Moreover, this knowledge could also facilitate the progress of global health missions, enabling healthcare providers to allocate resources more effectively and ensure that patients in need receive prompt and appropriate care. It could also serve as a vital tool in identifying gaps in the healthcare system and informing strategies to optimize treatment initiation times, ultimately improving survival rates and overall patient outcomes.
Related mechanistic studies remain limited, and the conclusions drawn are still controversial. Some studies indicated that delays in the timing of surgery or diagnosis may adversely affect cancer stage and even impact survival outcomes (42–44). Further research suggested that prolonged delays in initiating definitive treatment for EC may result in progression to advanced tumor stages, potentially adversely affecting patients’ prognosis and survival rates (45, 46). Mathematical models indicated that it may take over a decade from the emergence of the first cancer cell to the point at which a tumor becomes clinically detectable through conventional diagnostic methods. However, median potential doubling times for EC ranged from 4 to 5 days, with some cases exhibiting rapid doubling within a span of 2 to 20 days-making them among the fastest-growing tumor types (47). Furthermore, tumor growth follows an exponential pattern; therefore, even if the duration before discovery is relatively short, a significantly rapid growth rate at that point can still have substantial implications. Therefore, prolonged delays are likely detrimental factors affecting patient prognosis and survival outcomes (48).
The current study has certain limitations that warrant attention. Firstly, it is an observational study conducted retrospectively with potential selection bias, uneven baseline characteristics, and other confounding factors. Secondly, our data lacks information on patient characteristics such as lifestyle choices, educational background, insurance status, Charlson-Deyo comorbidity index score, mental health status or medical knowledge which could have influenced their prognosis, as our patient data was sourced from hospitals that did not collect individual-related information (22). Additionally, the present data does not provide detailed records regarding reasons for treatment delays which are crucial information for further investigation into this important topic and reducing cancer progression due to delayed treatment.
Conclusion
Our findings suggest that a delay in treatment initiation for patients with EC who require surgery, lasting three months or longer, has a detrimental impact on their survival. In Hebei province, recognized as a high-risk area for EC, undergoing surgical intervention for EC within two months may yield more favorable outcomes regarding the patient’s long-term prognosis. Further investigation and validation are needed to determine if these results can serve as evidence supporting the implementation of a more comprehensive pretreatment evaluation.
Data availability statement
The raw data supporting the conclusions of this article will be made available by the authors, without undue reservation.
Ethics statement
The studies involving humans were approved by Ethical approval in this study was obtained from the Institutional Review Board (IRB) of the Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University (IRB2023-101923). The studies were conducted in accordance with the local legislation and institutional requirements. Written informed consent for participation in this study was provided by the participants’ legal guardians/next of kin.
Author contributions
XCu: Conceptualization, Data curation, Investigation, Software, Supervision, Validation, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing. CS: Data curation, Formal analysis, Methodology, Project administration, Writing – original draft. XCh: Data curation, Formal analysis, Methodology, Visualization, Writing – review & editing. QZ: Project administration, Resources, Validation, Visualization, Writing – review & editing. JZ: Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Software, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – review & editing.
Funding
The author(s) declare that no financial support was received for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.
Conflict of interest
The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.
Publisher’s note
All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.
Supplementary material
The Supplementary Material for this article can be found online at: https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fonc.2024.1463517/full#supplementary-material
References
1. Sung H, Ferlay J, Siegel RL, Laversanne M, Soerjomataram I, Jemal A, et al. Global cancer statistics 2020: GLOBOCAN estimates of incidence and mortality worldwide for 36 cancers in 185 countries. CA Cancer J Clin. (2021) 71:209–49. doi: 10.3322/caac.21660
2. Global Burden of Disease 2019 Cancer Collaboration. Cancer incidence, mortality, years of life lost, years lived with disability, and disability-adjusted life years for 29 cancer groups from 2010 to 2019: A systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2019. JAMA Oncol. (2022) 8:420–44. doi: 10.1001/jamaoncol.2021.6987
3. Lin L, Li Z, Yan L, Liu Y, Yang H, Li H. Global, regional, and national cancer incidence and death for 29 cancer groups in 2019 and trends analysis of the global cancer burden, 1990-2019. J Hematol Oncol. (2021) 14:197. doi: 10.1186/s13045-021-01213-z
4. WHO. Global health estimates: leading causes of death. Cause-specific mortality, 2000–2019 . Available online at: https://www.who.int/data/gho/data/themes/mortality-and-global-health-estimates/ghe-leading-causesof-death (Accessed Feb 8, 2023).
5. Collaborators GBDOC. The global, regional, and national burden of oEC and its attributable risk factors in 195 countriesand territories, 1990-2017: a systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2017. Lancet Gastroenterol Hepatol. (2020) 5:582–97. doi: 10.1016/S2468-1253(20)30007-8
6. Zheng RS, Chen R, Han BF, Wang SM, Li L, Sun KX, et al. Cancer incidence and mortality in China, 2022. Zhonghua Zhong Liu Za Zhi. (2024) 46:221–31. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn112152-20240119-00035
7. He Y, Wu Y, Song G, Li Y, Liang D, Jin J, et al. Incidence and mortality rate of esophageal cancer has decreased during past 40 years in Hebei Province, China. Chin J Cancer Res. (2015) 27:562–71. doi: 10.3978/j.issn.1000-9604.2015.10.06
8. Azap RA, Diaz A, Hyer JM, Tsilimigras DI, Mirdad RS, Ejaz A, et al. Impact of race/ethnicity and county-level vulnerability on receipt of surgery among older medicare beneficiaries with the diagnosis of early pancreatic cancer. Ann Surg Oncol. (2021) 28:6309–16. doi: 10.1245/s10434-021-09911-1
9. Potter AL, Rosenstein AL, Kiang MV, Shah SA, Gaissert HA, Chang DC, et al. Association of computed tomography screening with lung cancer stage shift and survival in the United States: quasi-experimental study. BMJ. (2022) 376:e069008. doi: 10.1136/bmj-2021-069008
10. Romine PE, Sun Q, Fedorenko C, Li L, Tang M, Eaton KD, et al. Impact of diagnostic delays on lung cancer survival outcomes: A population study of the US SEER-medicare database. JCO Oncol Pract. (2022) 18:e877–85. doi: 10.1200/OP.21.00485
11. Nadpara P, Madhavan SS, Tworek C. Guideline-concordant timely lung cancer care and prognosis among elderly patients in the United States: A population-based study. Cancer Epidemiol. (2015) 39:1136–44. doi: 10.1016/j.canep.2015.06.005
12. Pruitt SL, Harzke AJ, Davidson NO, Schootman M. Do diagnostic and treatment delays for colorectal cancer increase risk of death? Cancer Causes Control. (2013) 24:961–77. doi: 10.1007/s10552-013-0172-6
13. AlHilli MM, Elson P, Rybicki L, Khorana AA, Rose PG. Time to surgery and its impact on survival in patients with endometrial cancer: a national cancer database study. Gynecol Oncol. (2019) 153:511–6. doi: 10.1016/j.ygyno.2019.03.244
14. Tsai WC, Kung PT, Wang YH, Kuo WY, Li YH. Infuence of the time interval from diagnosis to treatment on survival for early-stage liver cancer. PloS One. (2018) 13:e0199532. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0199532
15. Min Y, Liu Z, Huang R, Li R, Jin J, Wei Z, et al. Survival outcomes following treatment delays among patients with early-stage female cancers: a nationwide study. J Transl Med. (2022) 20:560. doi: 10.1186/s12967-022-03719-7
16. Hanna TP, King WD, Thibodeau S, Jalink M, Paulin GA, Harvey-Jones E, et al. Mortality due to cancer treatment delay: systematic review and meta-analysis. BMJ. (2020) 371:m4087. doi: 10.1136/bmj.m4087
17. Brand NR, Qu LG, Chao A, Ilbawi AM. Delays and barriers to cancer care in low- and middle-income countries: a systematic review. Oncologist. (2019) 24:e1371–80. doi: 10.1634/theoncologist.2019-0057
18. Neal RD, Tharmanathan P, France B, Din NU, Cotton S, Fallon-Ferguson J, et al. Is increased time to diagnosis and treatment in symptomatic cancer associated with poorer outcomes? Systematic review. Br J Cancer. (2015) 112:S92–107. doi: 10.1038/bjc.2015.48
19. Bilimoria KY, Ko CY, Tomlinson JS, Stewart AK, Talamonti MS, Hynes DL, et al. Wait times for cancer surgery in the United States: trends and predictors of delays. Ann Surg. (2011) 253:779–85. doi: 10.1097/SLA.0b013e318211cc0f
20. Adams SV, Bansal A, Burnett-Hartman AN, Cohen SA, Karnopp A, Warren-Mears V, et al. Cancer treatment delays in american Indians and alaska natives enrolled in medicare. J Health Care Poor Underserved. (2017) 28:350–61. doi: 10.1353/hpu.2017.0027
21. Cone EB, Marchese M, Paciotti M, Nguyen DD, Nabi J, Cole AP, et al. Assessment of time-to-treatment initiation and survival in a cohort of patients with common cancers. JAMA Netw Open. (2020) 3:e2030072. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2020.30072
22. Khorana AA, Tullio K, Elson P, Pennell NA, Grobmyer SR, Kalady MF, et al. Time to initial cancer treatment in the United States and association with survival over time: An observational study. PloS One. (2019) 14:e0213209. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0213209
23. Visser E, Leeftink AG, van Rossum PS, Siesling S, van Hillegersberg R, Ruurda JP. Waiting Time from Diagnosis to Treatment has no Impact on Survival in Patients with Esophageal Cancer. Ann Surg Oncol. (2016) 23:2679–89. doi: 10.1245/s10434-016-5191-6
24. Visser E, van Rossum PS, Leeftink AG, Siesling S, van Hillegersberg R, Ruurda JP. Impact of diagnosis-to-treatment waiting time on survival in esophageal cancer patients-A population-based study in The Netherlands. Eur J Surg Oncol. (2017) 43:461–70. doi: 10.1016/j.ejso.2016.10.017
25. Kotz BS, Croft S, Ferry DR. Do delays between diagnosis and surgery in resectable oesophageal cancer affect survival? A study based on West Midlands cancer registration data. Br J Cancer. (2006) 95:835–40. doi: 10.1038/sj.bjc.6603333
26. Hanna NM, Nguyen P, Chung W, Groome PA. Time to treatment of esophageal cancer in Ontario: A population-level cross-sectional study. JTCVS Open. (2022) 12:430–49. doi: 10.1016/j.xjon.2022.08.004
27. Grotenhuis BA, van Hagen P, Wijnhoven BP, Spaander MC, Tilanus HW, van Lanschot JJ. Delay in diagnostic workup and treatment of esophageal cancer. J Gastrointest Surg. (2010) 14:476–83. doi: 10.1007/s11605-009-1109-y
28. DiSiena M, Perelman A, Birk J, Rezaizadeh H. Esophageal cancer: an updated review. South Med J. (2021) 114:161–8. doi: 10.14423/SMJ.0000000000001226
29. Qin X, Jia G, Zhou X, Yang Z. Diet and esophageal cancer risk: an umbrella review of systematic reviews and meta-analyses of observational studies. Adv Nutr. (2022) 13:2207–16. doi: 10.1093/advances/nmac087
30. Siegel RL, Miller KD, Fuchs HE, Jemal A. Cancer statistics, 2022. CA Cancer J Clin. (2022) 72:7–33. doi: 10.3322/caac.21708
31. Zhang C, Zhang C, Wang Q, Li Z, Lin J, Wang H. Differences in stage of cancer at diagnosis, treatment, and survival by race and ethnicity among leading cancer types. JAMA Netw Open. (2020) 3:e202950. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2020.2950
32. Li J, Siegel DA, King JB. Stage-specific incidence rates and trends of prostate cancer by age, race, and ethnicity, United States, 2004-2014. Ann Epidemiol. (2018) 28:328–30. doi: 10.1016/j.annepidem.2018.03.001
33. Iyengar S, Hall IJ, Sabatino SA. Racial/ethnic disparities in prostate cancer incidence, distant stage diagnosis, and mortality by U.S. Census region and age group, 2012-2015. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev. (2020) 29:1357–64. doi: 10.1158/1055-9965.EPI-19-1344
34. Rottenberg Y, Litwin H, Manor O, Paltiel A, Barchana M, Paltiel O. Prediagnostic self-assessed health and extent of social networks predict survival in older individuals with cancer: a population based cohort study. J Geriatr Oncol. (2014) 5:400–7. doi: 10.1016/j.jgo.2014.08.001
35. Moreno PI, Ramirez AG, San Miguel-Majors SL, Fox RS, Castillo L, Gallion KJ, et al. Satisfaction with cancer care, self-efficacy, and health-related quality of life in Latino cancer survivors. Cancer. (2018) 124:1770–9. doi: 10.1002/cncr.31263
36. Høybye MT, Dalton SO, Christensen J, Larsen LR, Kuhn KG, Jensen JN, et al. Research in Danish cancer rehabilitation: social characteristics and late effects of cancer among participants in the FOCARE research project. Acta Oncol. (2008) 47:47–55. doi: 10.1080/02841860701418846
37. Beasley JM, Newcomb PA, Trentham-Dietz A, Hampton JM, Ceballos RM, Titus-Ernstoff L, et al. Social networks and survival after breast cancer diagnosis. J Cancer Surviv. (2010) 4:372–80. doi: 10.1007/s11764-010-0139-5
38. Kroenke CH, Michael Y, Tindle H, Gage E, Chlebowski R, Garcia L, et al. Social networks, social support and burden in relationships, and mortality after breast cancer diagnosis. Breast Cancer Res Treat. (2012) 133:375–85. doi: 10.1007/s10549-012-1962-3
39. Kroenke CH, Michael YL, Shu XO, Poole EM, Kwan ML, Nechuta S, et al. Post-diagnosis social networks, and lifestyle and treatment factors in the After Breast Cancer Pooling Project. Psychooncology. (2017) 26:544–52. doi: 10.1002/pon.4059
40. Osborne C, Ostir GV, Du X, Peek MK, Goodwin JS. The influence of marital status on the stage at diagnosis, treatment, and survival of older women with breast cancer. Breast Cancer Res Treat. (2005) 93:41–7. doi: 10.1007/s10549-005-3702-4
41. Chebli P, Lemus J, Avila C, Peña K, Mariscal B, Merlos S, et al. Multilevel determinants of financial toxicity in breast cancer care: perspectives of healthcare professionals and Latina survivors. Support Care Cancer. (2020) 28:3179–88. doi: 10.1007/s00520-019-05119-y
42. Liedberg F, Anderson H, Månsson W. Treatment delay and prognosis in invasive bladder cancer. J Urol. (2005) 174:1777–81; discussion 1781. doi: 10.1097/01.ju.0000177521.72678.61
43. Dang-Tan T, Franco EL. Diagnosis delays in childhood cancer: a review. Cancer. (2007) 110:703–13. doi: 10.1002/cncr.v110:4
44. Ponholzer F, Kroepfl V, Ng C, Maier H, Kocher F, Lucciarini P, et al. Delay to surgical treatment in lung cancer patients and its impact on survival in a video-assisted thoracoscopic lobectomy cohort. Sci Rep. (2021) 11:4914. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-84162-4
45. Martin IG, Young S, Sue-Ling H, Johnston D. Delays in the diagnosis of oesophagogastric cancer: a consecutive case series. BMJ. (1997) 314:467–70. doi: 10.1136/bmj.314.7079.467
46. Wang J, Liu F, Gao H, Wei W, Zhang X, Liang Y, et al. The symptom-to-treatment delay and stage at the time of treatment in cancer of esophagus. Jpn J Clin Oncol. (2008) 38:87–91. doi: 10.1093/jjco/hym169
47. Haustermans K, Vanuytsel L, Geboes K, Lerut T, Van Thillo J, Leysen J, et al. In vivo cell kinetic measurements in human oesophageal cancer: what can be learned from multiple biopsies? Eur J Cancer. (1994) 30A:1787–91. doi: 10.1016/0959-8049(94)00252-z
Keywords: esophageal cancer, delay, overall survival, cancer-specific survival, China
Citation: Cui X, Shi C, Chen X, Zhao Q and Zhao J (2024) Association between surgery treatment delays and survival outcomes in patients with esophageal cancer in Hebei, China. Front. Oncol. 14:1463517. doi: 10.3389/fonc.2024.1463517
Received: 12 July 2024; Accepted: 11 October 2024;
Published: 28 October 2024.
Edited by:
Mohamedraed Elshami, University Hospitals Cleveland Medical Center, United StatesReviewed by:
Kiran Lagisetty, University of Michigan, United StatesXinlei Sun, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, United States
Copyright © 2024 Cui, Shi, Chen, Zhao and Zhao. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
*Correspondence: Jidong Zhao, empkMjAxNkBoZWJtdS5lZHUuY24=