Yan Zhang ^1* Jian Cao ¹ Zhen Yuan ¹ Hao Zuo ¹ Jiacong Yao ² Xiaodie Tu ² Xinhua Gu ¹

• ¹ Suzhou Municipal Hospital, Suzhou, China
• ² Other, Hangzhou, China

Background: Increasing evidence reveals the involvement of mitochondria and macrophage polarisation in tumourigenesis and progression. This study aimed to establish mitochondria and macrophage polarisation-associated molecular signatures to predict prognosis in gastric cancer (GC) by single-cell and transcriptional data. Methods: Initially, candidate genes associated with mitochondria and macrophage polarisation were identified by differential expression analysis and weighted gene coexpression network analysis. Subsequently, candidate genes were incorporated in univariate Cox analysis and LASSO to acquire prognostic genes in GC, and risk model was created. Furthermore, independent prognostic indicators were screened by combining risk score with clinical characteristics, and a nomogram was created to forecast survival in GC patients. Further, in single-cell data analysis, cell clusters and cell subpopulations were yielded, followed by the completion of pseudo-time analysis. Furthermore, a more comprehensive immunological analysis was executed to uncover the relationship between GC and immunological characteristics. Ultimately, expression level of prognostic genes was validated through public datasets and qRT-PCR.Results: A risk model including six prognostic genes (GPX3, GJA1, VCAN, RGS2, LOX, and CTHRC1) associated with mitochondria and macrophage polarisation was developed, which was efficient in forecasting the survival of GC patients. The GC patients were categorized into high-/low-risk subgroups in accordance with median risk score, with the high-risk subgroup having lower survival rates. Afterwards, a nomogram incorporating risk score and age was generated, and it had significant predictive value for predicting GC survival with higher predictive accuracy than risk model. Immunological analyses revealed showed higher levels of M2 macrophage infiltration in high-risk subgroup and the strongest positive correlation between risk score and M2 macrophages. Besides, further analyses demonstrated a better outcome for immunotherapy in low-risk patients. In single-cell and pseudo-time analyses, stromal cells were identified as key cells, and a relatively complete developmental trajectory existed for stromal C1 in three subclasses. Ultimately, expression analysis revealed that the expression trend of RGS2, GJA1, GPX3, and VCAN was consistent with the results of the TCGA-GC dataset.Our findings demonstrated that a novel prognostic model constructed in accordance with six prognostic genes might facilitate the improvement of personalised prognosis and treatment of GC patients.