Skip to main content

ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Oncol., 04 November 2024
Sec. Thoracic Oncology
This article is part of the Research Topic Recent Advancements and Developments in Targeted Drug Delivery Systems for Cancer Diagnosis and Therapy View all 3 articles

Total baseline tumor size predicts survival among patients with advanced small-cell lung cancer receiving chemotherapy plus programmed death-ligand 1 inhibitor as first-line therapy: a multicenter retrospective observational study

Anna Tanaka&#x;Anna Tanaka1†Shuhei Teranishi*&#x;Shuhei Teranishi1*†Yukihito KajitaYukihito Kajita1Tomofumi HiroseTomofumi Hirose1Ayami KanekoAyami Kaneko2Yu SairenjiYu Sairenji3Hidetoshi KawashimaHidetoshi Kawashima4Kentaro YumotoKentaro Yumoto5Toshinori TsukaharaToshinori Tsukahara6Kenji MiuraKenji Miura3Nobuaki KobayashiNobuaki Kobayashi2Masaki YamamotoMasaki Yamamoto1Ryuichi NishihiraRyuichi Nishihira4Makoto KudoMakoto Kudo1Naoki MiyazawaNaoki Miyazawa7Masanori NishikawaMasanori Nishikawa8Takeshi KanekoTakeshi Kaneko2
  • 1Respiratory Disease Center, Yokohama City University Medical Center, Yokohama, Japan
  • 2Department of Pulmonology, Yokohama City University Graduate School of Medicine, Yokohama, Japan
  • 3Department of Respiratory Medicine, Yokohama Sakae Kyosai Hospital, Yokohama, Japan
  • 4Department of Respiratory Medicine, Kanto Rosai Hospital, Kawasaki, Japan
  • 5Department of Respiratory Medicine, Yokohama Minami Kyosai Hospital, Yokohama, Japan
  • 6Department of Respiratory Medicine, Chigasaki Municipal Hospital, Chigasaki, Japan
  • 7Department of Respiratory Medicine, Yokohama Nanbu Hospital, Yokohama, Japan
  • 8Department of Respiratory Medicine, Fujisawa Municipal Hospital, Fujisawa, Japan

Introduction: Total baseline tumor size (BTS) is a prognostic factor for programmed death 1 and programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) inhibitor treatments. However, the prognostic value of total BTS for patients with small-cell lung cancer (SCLC) who receive chemotherapy plus PD-L1 inhibitor remains unknown. Thus, in this study, we aimed to determine whether total BTS is associated with prognosis in patients with SCLC who receive chemotherapy plus PD-L1 inhibitor as first-line therapy.

Methods: This study included patients with extensive-stage SCLC or post-chemoradiotherapy recurrence of limited-stage SCLC who received chemotherapy plus PD-L1 inhibitor as first-line therapy from August 2019 to December 2022. The two lesions with the largest diameter among the measurable lesions in each organ were selected from up to five organs (maximum of 10 lesions), and the sum of all diameters was defined as total BTS. The patients were divided into two groups, large or small, with total BTS using X-tile software. Median survival was analyzed using the Kaplan–Meier method, and the groups were compared using the log-rank test. Univariate and multivariate analyses examined the association between total BTS and prognosis.

Results: Fifty patients were included; 14% had large total BTS (>183.2 mm) and 86% had small total BTS (≤183.2 mm). The median observation period was 10.5 months. The large total BTS group showed significantly worse overall survival than the small total BTS group (median: 26.8 months vs. 5.7 months, P = 0.0003). The multivariate analysis indicated that large total BTS was an independent negative predictor of overall survival (hazard ratio: 7.14, 95% confidence interval: 1.89–26.96).

Discussion: Total BTS is a potentially useful prognostic factor for patients with advanced SCLC who receive chemotherapy plus PD-L1 inhibitor as first-line therapy.

1 Introduction

Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide. Small-cell lung cancer (SCLC) comprises 15% of all lung cancer cases (1). Approximately two-thirds of SCLC cases already have extensive-stage (ES) disease at diagnosis, which progresses rapidly and has a poor prognosis (2, 3). However, for several decades, the standard therapy for ES-SCLC has not progressed beyond the administration of cytotoxic anticancer agents (4, 5). Recently, the phase III IMpower133 trial showed that adding the programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) inhibitor, atezolizumab, to chemotherapy as the first-line therapy for ES-SCLC could improve the progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) of patients (6). Similarly, the phase III CASPIAN trial indicated that adding durvalumab, a PD-L1 inhibitor, to chemotherapy as the first-line therapy for ES-SCLC could improve OS (7, 8). These results have now established the combination of chemotherapy and PD-L1 inhibitor as the first-line standard therapy for patients with ES-SCLC. However, compared to non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC), the effect of PD-L1 inhibitor is limited, and the prognosis for ES-SCLC remains poor (911).

Identification of predictors of chemotherapy plus PD-L1 inhibitor efficacy in ES-SCLC constitutes a pressing concern. Representative biomarkers for predicting response to programmed death 1 (PD-1)/PD-L1 inhibitors include PD-L1 expression and tumor mutation burden (1214). However, neither of these biomarkers can identify patients with ES-SCLC who are likely to benefit from chemotherapy plus PD-L1 inhibitor (6, 15, 16). Prognostic factors that can be measured in real-world practice when patients with ES-SCLC undergo chemotherapy plus PD-L1 inhibitor include Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status (ECOG PS) (1719), brain metastases (18, 20), liver metastases (17, 19, 20), bone metastases (18, 19), peripheral blood neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) (17, 21), and peripheral blood platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) (22). However, none of these factors have been conclusively validated.

In NSCLC, head and neck cancer, and melanoma, the total baseline tumor size (total BTS), which is the sum of the diameters of measurable lesions before treatment begins, is reportedly a significant prognostic factor in patients receiving therapy, including PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors (2326). However, the association between total BTS and prognosis in patients with SCLC treated with chemotherapy and PD-L1 inhibitor has not yet been reported.

The aim of this retrospective, multicenter, observational study was to determine whether total BTS is associated with prognosis, particularly OS, the most critical endpoint in cancer treatment, in patients with SCLC who receive chemotherapy plus PD-L1 inhibitor as first-line therapy.

2 Materials and methods

2.1 Patients and data collection

This retrospective, multicenter, observational study was carried out in collaboration with five medical facilities in Kanagawa Prefecture, Japan. The study adhered to the principles of the Declaration of Helsinki and was approved by the Yokohama City University Ethics Board (approval number: B191200044). The waiver of informed consent was obtained for the study’s retrospective design. The study population included patients with SCLC who received chemotherapy plus PD-L1 inhibitor as the first-line therapy from August 2019 to December 2022. The patient eligibility criteria were as follows: (a) diagnosis of SCLC based on analysis of tissue or cell specimens; (b) diagnosis of ES-SCLC or post-chemoradiotherapy recurrence of limited-stage SCLC; and (c) use of carboplatin plus etoposide plus durvalumab, cisplatin plus etoposide plus durvalumab, or carboplatin plus etoposide plus atezolizumab as first-line therapy, between August 2019 and December 2022. We excluded patients who had tumors with a mixture of histological types other than small-cell carcinoma. We collected information on age, sex, history of smoking, ECOG PS, stage, presence of brain/liver/bone metastases, blood test data, and tumor size for each patient. A cutoff age of 65 years was used for analysis (6, 7). ECOG PS was categorized as good (score: 0–1) or poor (score: 2–4) (6, 7).

2.2 Hematological parameters

We collected data on absolute neutrophil count, absolute lymphocyte count (ALC), and platelet count (PLT) from blood tests on the day before or the day of starting first-line therapy. We defined NLR as the ratio of absolute neutrophil count to ALC and PLR as the ratio of PLT to ALC (27).

2.3 Evaluation of total BTS

BTS was measured using computed tomography of the chest, abdomen, and pelvis and magnetic resonance imaging of the brain before the start of first-line therapy. Measurable lesions were defined by the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumor (RECIST) version 1.1 (28), according to which non-lymph node lesions must have a long diameter of at least 10 mm, while lymph nodes must have a short diameter of at least 15 mm. The two lesions with the largest diameter among the measurable lesions in each organ were selected in up to five organs (a maximum of 10 lesions), and the sum of all diameters was defined as the total BTS (26).

2.4 Evaluation of treatment response

The tumor response was determined using the RECIST version 1.1. The objective response rate (ORR) was determined as the percentage of patients who achieved either a complete or partial response, and the disease control rate (DCR) was determined as the percentage of patients who achieved either a complete or partial response or stable disease. PFS was calculated as the time from the start of first-line therapy to disease progression, death, or the final follow-up (censored). OS was calculated as the time from the start of first-line therapy to death or the final follow-up (censored). Post-progression survival (PPS), which exhibits a stronger correlation with OS than PFS when chemotherapy is combined with a PD-L1 inhibitor as first-line therapy in patients with ES-SCLC, was also examined (29, 30). PPS was defined as the duration from the point of disease progression following first-line therapy until death or the last follow-up (censored). For PPS analysis, only patients whose first-line therapy resulted in PD were included. The follow-up period ended on August 6, 2023.

2.5 Statistical analysis

We identified cutoff values for NLR, PLR, and total BTS for OS, the most critical endpoint in cancer treatment, using X-tile 3.6.1 software (Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA). The X-tile 3.6.1 software sets cutoff values based on Kaplan–Meier log-rank chi-square values; it can demonstrate the robustness of the relationship between biomarkers and outcomes (31). Survival analysis for OS, PFS, and PPS was performed using the Kaplan–Meier method and assessed using the log-rank test. Moreover, the hazard ratio (HR) and its corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI) were determined by employing the Cox proportional hazards model. Univariate analysis was performed to determine the independent prognostic value of total BTS for OS, PFS, and PPS, and multivariate analysis was performed using only those factors for which P <0.05 was obtained in univariate analyses. Spearman’s rank correlation analysis and linear regression analysis were used to evaluate the correlation between PFS-OS and PPS-OS. Fisher’s exact test was used to compare categorical factors. Mann–Whitney U-test was used to compare the numerical data. Statistical significance was set at P <0.05, and all tests were two-sided. Statistical analyses were conducted using GraphPad Prism version 10 (GraphPad Software, San Diego, CA, USA) and EZR version 1.63 (Saitama Medical Centre, Jichi Medical University, Saitama, Japan) (32).

3 Results

3.1 Patient characteristics

The patient demographics are presented in Table 1, including data from 50 individuals. The median age was 72 years; two-thirds were male, and the vast majority had a history of smoking. More than three-quarters of patients had ECOG PS of 0–1. None of the patients had ECOG PS of 4. Two patients (4.0%) showed post-chemoradiotherapy recurrence of limited-stage SCLC, whereas the remainder had ES-SCLC. Brain and liver metastases were each observed in approximately one-third of patients, while bone metastases were observed in almost half of the patients. None of the patients with brain or bone metastases received palliative radiotherapy prior to starting first-line therapy. Superior vena cava syndrome was observed in 6% of cases; however, none of these patients had received palliative radiotherapy before initiating first-line therapy. Additionally, no patients underwent prophylactic cranial irradiation after first-line therapy.

Table 1
www.frontiersin.org

Table 1. Patient characteristics.

3.2 Cutoff values for the NLR, PLR, and total BTS

Optimal cutoff values for the NLR, PLR, and total BTS for OS were calculated using X-tile software; these were 6.3, 173.9, and 183.2, respectively. The values are indicated by black/white circles on the X-axes in the images in Figures 1A–C. The count of cases for the groups below and above the optimal cutoff value is shown in the histograms in Figures 1D–F. Most patients had low NLR and total BTS but high PLR. Patients were categorized into two groups based on the optimal cutoff values for NLR, PLR, and total BTS, and their OS was analyzed using the Kaplan–Meier method (Figures 1G–I). More patients in the large total BTS group had poor ECOG PS and liver metastases compared to those in the small total BTS group (Table 1).

Figure 1
www.frontiersin.org

Figure 1. Cutoff values for NLR, PLR, and total BTS. X-tile software analyses were used to calculate the cutoff values. The optimal cutoff values for NLR, PLR, and total BTS for overall survival are indicated by black/white circles on the X-axes (A–C); these values were 6.3 (D), 173.9 (E), and 183.2 (F), respectively. Kaplan–Meier survival curves for overall survival of patients divided into two groups according to the optimal cutoff values are shown (G–I). BTS, baseline tumor size; NLR, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio; PLR, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio.

3.3 OS, PFS, and PPS for all patients and groups based on total BTS

The median observation period was 10.5 months (interquartile range: 7.4–20.9). At the data cutoff, 38 patients (76.0%) had reached PD, while 23 patients (46.0%) had died. The median OS of all patients was 20.5 months (95% CI: 11.4–36.7) (Figure 2A). The median OS of patients with small total BTS was 26.8 months (95% CI: 13.5–not reached), whereas that of patients with large total BTS was 5.7 months (95% CI: 1.7–15.9) (Figure 2B). A statistically significant difference in OS was noted between the two groups (P = 0.0003). The median PFS of all patients was 4.9 months (95% CI: 4.5–5.6) (Figure 2C). The median PFS of patients with small total BTS was 4.9 months (95% CI: 4.4–5.8), whereas that of patients with large total BTS was 5.6 months (95% CI: 1.7–5.9) (Figure 2D). There was no statistically significant difference in PFS between the two groups (P = 0.45). The PPS analysis included 38 patients whose first-line therapy reached PD (33 in the small total BTS group and five in the large total BTS group). The median PPS of all patients was 12.6 months (95% CI: 6.5–21.6) (Figure 2E). The median PPS of patients with small total BTS was 14.8 months (95% CI: 6.5–32.3), whereas that of patients with large total BTS was 6.9 months (95% CI: 0–10.4) (Figure 2F). A statistically significant difference in PPS was observed between the two groups (P = 0.009).

Figure 2
www.frontiersin.org

Figure 2. OS, PFS, and PPS for all patients and subgroups by total BTS. (A) Kaplan–Meier survival curves of the OS for all patients. (B) Kaplan–Meier survival curves of the OS of patients with small total BTS and that of those with large total BTS. (C) Kaplan–Meier survival curves of the PFS for all patients. (D) Kaplan–Meier survival curves of the PFS of patients with small total BTS and that of patients with large total BTS. (E) Kaplan–Meier survival curves of the PPS for all patients. (F) Kaplan–Meier survival curves of the PPS of patients with small total BTS and that of patients with a large total BTS. BTS, baseline tumor size; CI, confidential interval; NR, not reached; OS, overall survival; PFS, progression-free survival; PPS, post-progression survival.

3.3.1 Univariate and multivariate analyses of factors related to OS

Table 2 shows the outcomes of univariate and multivariate analyses of factors related to OS. In the univariate Cox proportional hazard analysis, factors with P <0.05 were ECOG PS, NLR, and total BTS. Multivariate analysis showed that high NLR (HR: 15.35, 95% CI: 4.09–57.63, P <0.0001) and large total BTS (HR: 7.14, 95% CI: 1.89–26.96, P = 0.004) were significantly related to reduced OS. The association between total BTS and OS was analyzed in subgroups by baseline patient background. We identified a consistent trend for large total BTS to predict poor OS (Figure 3).

Table 2
www.frontiersin.org

Table 2. Results of univariate and multivariate analyses of factors affecting overall survival (n = 50).

Figure 3
www.frontiersin.org

Figure 3. Subgroup analysis of the association between the total BTS and OS. BTS, baseline tumor size; CI, confidential interval; ECOG PS, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status; HR, hazard ratio; NLR, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio; OS, overall survival; PLR, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio.

3.3.2 Univariate analysis of factors related to PFS

Data from the univariate analyses of factors related to PFS are presented in Table 3. Univariate Cox proportional hazards analysis identified no factors with P <0.05. Therefore, multivariate analysis was not performed.

Table 3
www.frontiersin.org

Table 3. Univariate analysis of factors affecting progression-free survival (n = 50).

3.3.3 Univariate and multivariate analyses of factors related to PPS

Table 4 shows the outcomes of univariate and multivariate analyses concerning factors related to PPS. In the univariate Cox proportional hazard analysis, factors demonstrating a significance level of P <0.05 were the ECOG PS, NLR, and total BTS. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis identified no factors with a significance level of P <0.05.

Table 4
www.frontiersin.org

Table 4. Results of univariate and multivariate analyses of factors affecting post-progression survival (n = 38).

3.4 Correlations between PFS-OS and PPS-OS

The correlations between PFS-OS and PPS-OS are presented in Figures 4A, B, respectively. According to the Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient and linear regression analysis, PPS was strongly correlated with OS (r = 0.96, R2 = 0.93, P <0.0001), whereas PFS was only moderately correlated with OS (r = 0.39, R2 = 0.15, P = 0.006).

Figure 4
www.frontiersin.org

Figure 4. Correlations between the PFS-OS and the PPS-OS. (A) Correlation between the PFS and OS. (B) Correlation between the PPS and OS. OS, overall survival; PFS, progression-free survival; PPS, post-progression survival.

3.5 Treatment response with first-line therapy

Table 5 shows the treatment response with first-line therapy. The ORR and DCR for all patients were 66.0% and 92.0%, respectively. The difference in the ORR between the large and small total BTS groups was statistically significant, with the former having a lower ORR of 28.6% compared to the latter’s 72.1% (P = 0.03). The difference in the DCR between the two groups was not statistically significant, as their respective values were 95.3% and 71.4% (P = 0.09).

Table 5
www.frontiersin.org

Table 5. Best overall response with first-line therapy stratified by total BTS.

3.6 Adverse events with first-line therapy

Table 6 shows the adverse events with first-line therapy. More than 70% of the patients in the small total BTS and large total BTS groups developed grade 3 or 4 neutropenia. An immune-related adverse event, type 1 diabetes, was observed in only two patients (4.7%) in the small total BTS group, while pneumonitis was observed in one patient (2.3%) in the small total BTS group and one (14.3%) in the large total BTS group.

Table 6
www.frontiersin.org

Table 6. Adverse events with first-line therapy stratified by total BTS.

4 Discussion

The results of this study indicated that large total BTS and high NLR were independent negative predictors of OS in patients with ES-SCLC or post-chemoradiotherapy recurrence of limited-stage SCLC treated with chemotherapy plus PD-L1 inhibitor as first-line therapy. To our knowledge, no previous study has demonstrated that BTS is an independent predictor of OS in patients with SCLC undergoing chemotherapy plus PD-L1 inhibitor as first-line therapy.

The association between BTS and prognosis in the treatment with PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors has not been previously reported in SCLC, but several reports have shown this relationship in other carcinomas and NSCLC. In a mouse model, subcutaneous inoculation of mice with melanoma cell lines followed by administration of PD-1 inhibitor has been shown to shrink small-size but not large-size tumors (33). Large BTS was an independent negative predictor of OS in patients with melanoma who received PD-1 inhibitor monotherapy (26) and of PFS and OS in patients with NSCLC who received PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors monotherapy (24). In contrast, several studies have reported an association between BTS and prognosis in chemotherapy. In a mouse model, subcutaneous inoculation of mice with melanoma cell lines followed by highly potent cytotoxic chemotherapy reduced the size of small as well as large tumors (33). No association between BTS and PFS/OS was observed in patients with NSCLC who received platinum-based chemotherapy (24). Based on these reports, BTS is considered a characteristic prognostic factor for PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors treatment. The negative effect of large BTS on the efficacy of PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors has been reported as possibly being eliminated by adding chemotherapy, but this has not been conclusively validated (24). Our study suggested that BTS may be a prognostic factor in patients with SCLC who received chemotherapy plus PD-L1 inhibitor as first-line therapy. The ORR in the large total BTS group in this study was low, suggesting that lack of tumor shrinkage may have been one of the factors that hindered the efficacy of PD-L1 inhibitor. In recent years, a propensity score-matched multicenter retrospective analysis has reported that the addition of thoracic radiotherapy to chemotherapy and PD-L1 inhibitors improves ORR and OS in patients with ES-SCLC (34). As shown in our study, patients with a large total BTS have a poor prognosis, and adding thoracic radiotherapy to chemotherapy and PD-L1 inhibitors may improve the ORR and prolong OS. Thus, further research and reports are anticipated to explore these findings and their implications for clinical practice.

Several mechanisms by which large total BTS could be a poor prognostic factor in PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors treatment have been reported. Suzuki et al. observed increased expression of genes related to NF-κB and Notch signaling pathways in patients with large total BTS based on immune-related gene expression profiling analysis of tumor tissue from patients with NSCLC before PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors treatment (24). These signaling pathways do not inhibit the infiltration of anti-tumor immune cells into the tumor microenvironment. However, they may induce the infiltration of immunosuppressive M2-type macrophages and the formation of abnormal blood vessels, thereby rendering the tumors PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors treatment-resistant (3537). Alexander et al. reported that the ratio of circulating exhausted-phenotype-CD8 T-cell reactivation to pretreatment total BTS correlated with clinical outcome, based on peripheral blood immune profiling analysis of patients with melanoma before and after PD-1 inhibitor treatment. Lower values of this ratio were associated with shorter OS, implying a shorter OS in patients with larger pretreatment total BTS (38). Whether a similar mechanism is involved in patients with SCLC remains unknown; thus, further basic research is required in the future.

In our study, consistent with previous reports, we found that PPS was more strongly correlated with OS than PFS in patients with ES-SCLC receiving first-line therapy with chemotherapy plus PD-L1 inhibitors (29, 30). This observation indicates that PFS may not significantly influence OS in this treatment context. While OS and PPS were significantly shorter in the large total BTS group than in the small total BTS group, there was no significant difference in PFS between the two groups. This finding suggests that BTS is related to both OS and PPS, highlighting its potential importance as a prognostic factor. In the univariate analysis of factors related to PPS, BTS demonstrated significance with a P-value <0.05; however, it did not emerge as an independent predictor in the multivariate analysis. This discrepancy may arise from the fact that the PPS analysis was limited to patients whose first-line therapy resulted in PD, thereby reducing the sample size available for analysis.

In this study, a high NLR value was also an independent negative predictor of OS. Previous meta-analyses have indicated that a high NLR value before PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors therapy negatively predicts PFS and OS in patients with NSCLC (39, 40). High NLR has been reported to be an independent negative predictor of PFS in patients with SCLC who received chemotherapy plus PD-L1 inhibitor as first-line treatment (17, 21). Our findings are consistent with the above reports and suggest that NLR may be a prognostic factor in patients with SCLC receiving chemotherapy plus PD-L1 inhibitor as first-line therapy. Although the biological and immunological mechanisms underlying this association are not fully understood, it has been reported that a decrease in lymphocytes involved in cancer immunity may indicate that cancer cells are in a state of immune escape (41). Moreover, neutrophils increase the secretion of inflammatory chemokines and cytokines, which may promote metastasis and tumor growth (42). Conversely, a neutrophil subset that favors anti-tumor immunity has recently been identified, while neutrophils have also been required for complete tumor eradication under PD-1 and cytotoxic T lymphocyte-associated antigen 4 inhibitors treatment (43, 44). Further studies are necessary to explore the impact of the NLR on tumor immunity.

In our study, we focused on clinically measurable factors as potential prognostic indicators. However, recent advancements in the classification of SCLC into four subtypes—based on transcription factor expression patterns and inflammation-related gene signatures—have opened new avenues for identifying patients who may derive greater benefit from PD-L1 inhibitors. The SCLC-inflammatory subtype is characterized by low expression of transcription factors, such as POU2F3, NEUROD1, and ASCL1, alongside high expression of genes associated with interferon-γ activation, human leukocyte antigen, and immune checkpoints, as well as increased immune cell infiltration. This subtype appears particularly responsive to PD-L1 inhibitors, suggesting that more targeted treatment strategies could improve outcomes for these patients (45). However, the subtyping process, which requires ribonucleic acid sequencing, poses challenges in routine clinical practice due to its complexity and resource requirements. Looking forward, integrating this subtype classification with easily measurable clinical parameters, such as BTS and NLR, may enable more accurate prognostic predictions for patients undergoing PD-L1 inhibitor therapy. This approach could help bridge the gap between advanced genomic classifications and practical clinical applications, ultimately leading to more personalized treatment strategies.

This study had some limitations. First, the sample size was relatively small. Second, the observation period was relatively short, potentially limiting the ability to capture long-term outcomes. However, despite these limitations, the identification of BTS as an independent negative predictor for OS is statistically significant. Third, there are potential limitations of the total BTS. Accurate evaluation of the total BTS is difficult in cases involving bone or pleural metastases. Moreover, in cases involving multiple small metastases falling under the category of unmeasurable disease, the total BTS may be judged to be small, although the prognosis is poor. Further optimization of the total BTS measurement method should be considered. Finally, the cutoff values for the NLR, PLR, and total BTS were calculated using X-tile software and may not have been optimal.

In conclusion, the findings of this study demonstrated that chemotherapy plus PD-L1 inhibitor in first-line therapy for patients with SCLC with large total BTS has a limited therapeutic effect. Clinicians routinely measure total BTS before chemotherapy induction and when determining treatment response. The method of measuring the total BTS is defined in the RECIST and is simple, non-invasive, and has little variation among measures. Therefore, the total BTS is easy to use in practice and may help predict prognosis when chemotherapy plus PD-L1 inhibitor is used as first-line therapy for patients with SCLC. Nevertheless, large-scale clinical trials and basic research are needed to consolidate this study’s results further.

Data availability statement

The raw data supporting the conclusions of this article will be made available by the authors, without undue reservation.

Ethics statement

The studies involving humans were approved by Yokohama City University Ethics Board. The studies were conducted in accordance with the local legislation and institutional requirements. This study was retrospective, so the informed consent requirement was waived.

Author contributions

AT: Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Investigation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing, Project administration. ST: Conceptualization, Formal analysis, Project administration, Supervision, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing. YK: Investigation, Writing – review & editing. TH: Investigation, Writing – review & editing. AK: Investigation, Writing – review & editing. YS: Investigation, Writing – review & editing. HK: Investigation, Writing – review & editing. KY: Investigation, Writing – review & editing. TT: Investigation, Writing – review & editing. KM: Investigation, Writing – review & editing. NK: Project administration, Supervision, Writing – review & editing. MY: Supervision, Writing – review & editing. RN: Investigation, Writing – review & editing, Supervision. MK: Supervision, Writing – review & editing. NM: Investigation, Supervision, Writing – review & editing. MN: Supervision, Writing – review & editing. TK: Supervision, Writing – review & editing.

Funding

The author(s) declare that no financial support was received for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.

Acknowledgments

We would like to thank Editage (www.editage.com) for the English language editing.

Conflict of interest

The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.

Publisher’s note

All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.

Abbreviations

ALC, absolute lymphocyte count; BTS, baseline tumor size; CI, confidence interval; DCR, disease control rate; ECOG PS, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status; ES, extensive-stage; HR, hazard ratio; NLR, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio; NSCLC, non-small-cell lung cancer; ORR, objective response rate; OS, overall survival; PD-1, programmed cell death-1; PD-L1, programmed death-ligand 1; PFS, progression-free survival; PLR, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio; PLT, platelet count; PPS, post-progression survival; RECIST, Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumor; SCLC, small-cell lung cancer.

References

1. Siegel RL, Miller KD, Jemal A. Cancer statistics, 2019. CA Cancer J Clin. (2019) 69:7–34. doi: 10.3322/caac.21551

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

2. Bernhardt EB, Jalal SI. Small cell lung cancer. Cancer Treat Res. (2016) 170:301–22. doi: 10.1007/978-3-319-40389-2_14

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

3. Oronsky B, Abrouk N, Caroen S, Lybeck M, Guo X, Wang X, et al. A 2022 update on extensive stage small-cell lung cancer (SCLC). J Cancer. (2022) 13:2945–53. doi: 10.7150/jca.75622

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

4. Farago AF, Keane FK. Current standards for clinical management of small cell lung cancer. Transl Lung Cancer Res. (2018) 7:69–79. doi: 10.21037/tlcr.2018.01.16

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

5. Schabath MB, Nguyen A, Wilson P, Sommerer KR, Thompson ZJ, Chiappori AA. Temporal trends from 1986 to 2008 in overall survival of small cell lung cancer patients. Lung Cancer. (2014) 86:14–21. doi: 10.1016/j.lungcan.2014.07.014

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

6. Horn L, Mansfield AS, Szczęsna A, Havel L, Krzakowski M, Hochmair MJ, et al. First-line atezolizumab plus chemotherapy in extensive-stage small-cell lung cancer. N Engl J Med. (2018) 379:2220–9. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa1809064

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

7. Paz-Ares L, Dvorkin M, Chen Y, Reinmuth N, Hotta K, Trukhin D, et al. Durvalumab plus platinum-etoposide versus platinum-etoposide in first-line treatment of extensive-stage small-cell lung cancer (CASPIAN): a randomised, controlled, open-label, phase 3 trial. Lancet. (2019) 394:1929–39. doi: 10.1016/s0140-6736(19)32222-6

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

8. Goldman JW, Dvorkin M, Chen Y, Reinmuth N, Hotta K, Trukhin D, et al. Durvalumab, with or without tremelimumab, plus platinum-etoposide versus platinum-etoposide alone in first-line treatment of extensive-stage small-cell lung cancer (CASPIAN): updated results from a randomised, controlled, open-label, phase 3 trial. Lancet Oncol. (2021) 22:51–65. doi: 10.1016/s1470-2045(20)30539-8

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

9. Nishio M, Barlesi F, West H, Ball S, Bordoni R, Cobo M, et al. Atezolizumab plus chemotherapy for first-line treatment of nonsquamous NSCLC: results from the randomized phase 3 IMpower132 trial. J Thorac Oncol. (2021) 16:653–64. doi: 10.1016/j.jtho.2020.11.025

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

10. West H, McCleod M, Hussein M, Morabito A, Rittmeyer A, Conter HJ, et al. Atezolizumab in combination with carboplatin plus nab-paclitaxel chemotherapy compared with chemotherapy alone as first-line treatment for metastatic non-squamous non-small-cell lung cancer (IMpower130): a multicentre, randomised, open-label, phase 3 trial. Lancet Oncol. (2019) 20:924–37. doi: 10.1016/s1470-2045(19)30167-6

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

11. Socinski MA, Jotte RM, Cappuzzo F, Orlandi F, Stroyakovskiy D, Nogami N, et al. Atezolizumab for first-line treatment of metastatic nonsquamous NSCLC. N Engl J Med. (2018) 378:2288–301. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa1716948

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

12. Antonia SJ, López-Martin JA, Bendell J, Ott PA, Taylor M, Eder JP, et al. Nivolumab alone and nivolumab plus ipilimumab in recurrent small-cell lung cancer (CheckMate 032): a multicentre, open-label, phase 1/2 trial. Lancet Oncol. (2016) 17:883–95. doi: 10.1016/s1470-2045(16)30098-5

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

13. Rizvi NA, Hellmann MD, Snyder A, Kvistborg P, Makarov V, Havel JJ, et al. Cancer immunology. Mutational landscape determines sensitivity to PD-1 blockade in non-small cell lung cancer. Science. (2015) 348:124–8. doi: 10.1126/science.aaa1348

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

14. Yarchoan M, Hopkins A, Jaffee EM. Tumor mutational burden and response rate to PD-1 inhibition. N Engl J Med. (2017) 377:2500–1. doi: 10.1056/NEJMc1713444

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

15. Liu SV, Reck M, Mansfield AS, Mok T, Scherpereel A, Reinmuth N, et al. Updated overall survival and PD-L1 subgroup analysis of patients with extensive-stage small-cell lung cancer treated with atezolizumab, carboplatin, and etoposide (IMpower133). J Clin Oncol. (2021) 39:619–30. doi: 10.1200/jco.20.01055

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

16. Iams WT, Porter J, Horn L. Immunotherapeutic approaches for small-cell lung cancer. Nat Rev Clin Oncol. (2020) 17:300–12. doi: 10.1038/s41571-019-0316-z

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

17. Xie J, Chen M, Han H, Xu K, Qiu G, Lin X, et al. Clinical impact of first-line PD-1 or PD-L1 inhibitors combined with chemotherapy in extensive-stage small cell lung cancer patients: a real-world multicenter propensity score-matched study. Thorac Cancer. (2023) 14:1327–38. doi: 10.1111/1759-7714.14874

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

18. Lee S, Shim HS, Ahn BC, Lim SM, Kim HR, Cho BC, et al. Efficacy and safety of atezolizumab, in combination with etoposide and carboplatin regimen, in the first-line treatment of extensive-stage small-cell lung cancer: a single-center experience. Cancer Immunol Immunother. (2022) 71:1093–101. doi: 10.1007/s00262-021-03052-w

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

19. Li L, Pi C, Yan X, Lu J, Yang X, Wang C, et al. Prognostic value of the pretreatment lung immune prognostic index in advanced small cell lung cancer patients treated with first-line PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors plus chemotherapy. Front Oncol. (2021) 11:697865. doi: 10.3389/fonc.2021.697865

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

20. Li LL, Yu CF, Xie HT, Chen Z, Jia BH, Xie FY, et al. Biomarkers and factors in small cell lung cancer patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors: a meta-analysis. Cancer Med. (2023) 12:11211–33. doi: 10.1002/cam4.5800

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

21. Wang Y, Mathai J, Alamgeer M, Parakh S, Paul E, Mitchell P, et al. Real-world analysis of clinical characteristics and survival outcomes in patients with extensive-stage SCLC treated with first-line chemoimmunotherapy. JTO Clin Res Rep. (2023) 4:100544. doi: 10.1016/j.jtocrr.2023.100544

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

22. Kutlu Y, Aydin SG, Bilici A, Oven BB, Olmez OF, Acikgoz O, et al. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio as prognostic markers in patients with extensive-stage small cell lung cancer treated with atezolizumab in combination with chemotherapy. Med (Baltimore). (2023) 102:e33432. doi: 10.1097/md.0000000000033432

Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

23. Katsurada M, Nagano T, Tachihara M, Kiriu T, Furukawa K, Koyama K, et al. Baseline tumor size as a predictive and prognostic factor of immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy for non-small cell lung cancer. Anticancer Res. (2019) 39:815–25. doi: 10.21873/anticanres.13180

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

24. Suzuki S, Haratani K, Hayashi H, Chiba Y, Tanizaki J, Kato R, et al. Association of tumour burden with the efficacy of programmed cell death-1/programmed cell death ligand-1 inhibitors for treatment-naïve advanced non-small-cell lung cancer. Eur J Cancer. (2022) 161:44–54. doi: 10.1016/j.ejca.2021.11.011

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

25. Inoue H, Yokota T, Hamauchi S, Onozawa Y, Kawakami T, Shirasu H, et al. Pre-treatment tumor size impacts on response to nivolumab in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma. Auris Nasus Larynx. (2020) 47:650–7. doi: 10.1016/j.anl.2020.01.003

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

26. Joseph RW, Elassaiss-Schaap J, Kefford R, Hwu WJ, Wolchok JD, Joshua AM, et al. Baseline tumor size is an independent prognostic factor for overall survival in patients with melanoma treated with pembrolizumab. Clin Cancer Res. (2018) 24:4960–7. doi: 10.1158/1078-0432.Ccr-17-2386

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

27. Qi WX, Xiang Y, Zhao S, Chen J. Assessment of systematic inflammatory and nutritional indexes in extensive-stage small-cell lung cancer treated with first-line chemotherapy and atezolizumab. Cancer Immunol Immunother. (2021) 70:3199–206. doi: 10.1007/s00262-021-02926-3

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

28. Eisenhauer EA, Therasse P, Bogaerts J, Schwartz LH, Sargent D, Ford R, et al. New response evaluation criteria in solid tumours: revised RECIST guideline (version 1.1). Eur J Cancer. (2009) 45:228–47. doi: 10.1016/j.ejca.2008.10.026

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

29. Masubuchi K, Imai H, Wasamoto S, Tsuda T, Minemura H, Nagai Y, et al. Post-progression survival after atezolizumab plus carboplatin and etoposide as first-line chemotherapy in small cell lung cancer has a significant impact on overall survival. Thorac Cancer. (2022) 13:2776–85. doi: 10.1111/1759-7714.14621

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

30. Morimoto K, Yamada T, Takeda T, Shiotsu S, Date K, Harada T, et al. Prospective observational study evaluating the prognostic value of the g8 screening tool for extensive-stage small cell lung cancer patients who received programmed death-ligand 1 inhibitor plus platinum-etoposide chemotherapy. Drugs Aging. (2023) 40:563–71. doi: 10.1007/s40266-023-01034-4

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

31. Camp RL, Dolled-Filhart M, Rimm DL. X-tile: a new bio-informatics tool for biomarker assessment and outcome-based cut-point optimization. Clin Cancer Res. (2004) 10:7252–9. doi: 10.1158/1078-0432.Ccr-04-0713

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

32. Kanda Y. Investigation of the freely available easy-to-use software 'EZR' for medical statistics. Bone Marrow Transplant. (2013) 48:452–8. doi: 10.1038/bmt.2012.244

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

33. Haratani K, Yonesaka K, Takamura S, Maenishi O, Kato R, Takegawa N, et al. U3-1402 sensitizes HER3-expressing tumors to PD-1 blockade by immune activation. J Clin Invest. (2020) 130:374–88. doi: 10.1172/jci126598

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

34. Yao Y, Li B, Song R, Yang L, Zou B, Wang L. Efficacy and safety of thoracic radiotherapy in extensive-stage small-cell lung cancer patients receiving first-line immunotherapy plus chemotherapy: a propensity score matched multicentre retrospective analysis. Radiat Oncol. (2024) 19:25. doi: 10.1186/s13014-024-02420-x

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

35. Meurette O, Mehlen P. Notch signaling in the tumor microenvironment. Cancer Cell. (2018) 34:536–48. doi: 10.1016/j.ccell.2018.07.009

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

36. Taniguchi K, Karin M. NF-κB, inflammation, immunity and cancer: coming of age. Nat Rev Immunol. (2018) 18:309–24. doi: 10.1038/nri.2017.142

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

37. Zhu Y, Knolhoff BL, Meyer MA, Nywening TM, West BL, Luo J, et al. CSF1/CSF1R blockade reprograms tumor-infiltrating macrophages and improves response to T-cell checkpoint immunotherapy in pancreatic cancer models. Cancer Res. (2014) 74:5057–69. doi: 10.1158/0008-5472.Can-13-3723

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

38. Huang AC, Postow MA, Orlowski RJ, Mick R, Bengsch B, Manne S, et al. T-cell invigoration to tumour burden ratio associated with anti-PD-1 response. Nature. (2017) 545:60–5. doi: 10.1038/nature22079

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

39. Zhang N, Jiang J, Tang S, Sun G. Predictive value of neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio and platelet-lymphocyte ratio in non-small cell lung cancer patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors: a meta-analysis. Int Immunopharmacol. (2020) 85:106677. doi: 10.1016/j.intimp.2020.106677

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

40. Jiang T, Bai Y, Zhou F, Li W, Gao G, Su C, et al. Clinical value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in patients with non-small-cell lung cancer treated with PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors. Lung Cancer. (2019) 130:76–83. doi: 10.1016/j.lungcan.2019.02.009

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

41. Gooden MJ, de Bock GH, Leffers N, Daemen T, Nijman HW. The prognostic influence of tumour-infiltrating lymphocytes in cancer: a systematic review with meta-analysis. Br J Cancer. (2011) 105:93–103. doi: 10.1038/bjc.2011.189

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

42. Masucci MT, Minopoli M, Carriero MV. Tumor associated neutrophils. Their role in tumorigenesis, metastasis, prognosis and therapy. Front Oncol. (2019) 9:1146. doi: 10.3389/fonc.2019.01146

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

43. Hirschhorn D, Budhu S, Kraehenbuehl L, Gigoux M, Schröder D, Chow A, et al. T cell immunotherapies engage neutrophils to eliminate tumor antigen escape variants. Cell. (2023) 186:1432–47.e17. doi: 10.1016/j.cell.2023.03.007

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

44. Gungabeesoon J, Gort-Freitas NA, Kiss M, Bolli E, Messemaker M, Siwicki M, et al. A neutrophil response linked to tumor control in immunotherapy. Cell. (2023) 186:1448–64.e20. doi: 10.1016/j.cell.2023.02.032

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

45. Gay CM, Stewart CA, Park EM, Diao L, Groves SM, Heeke S, et al. Patterns of transcription factor programs and immune pathway activation define four major subtypes of SCLC with distinct therapeutic vulnerabilities. Cancer Cell. (2021) 39:346–60.e7. doi: 10.1016/j.ccell.2020.12.014

PubMed Abstract | Crossref Full Text | Google Scholar

Keywords: baseline tumor size, first-line therapy, immune checkpoint inhibitor, overall survival, programmed death-ligand 1 inhibitor, small-cell lung cancer

Citation: Tanaka A, Teranishi S, Kajita Y, Hirose T, Kaneko A, Sairenji Y, Kawashima H, Yumoto K, Tsukahara T, Miura K, Kobayashi N, Yamamoto M, Nishihira R, Kudo M, Miyazawa N, Nishikawa M and Kaneko T (2024) Total baseline tumor size predicts survival among patients with advanced small-cell lung cancer receiving chemotherapy plus programmed death-ligand 1 inhibitor as first-line therapy: a multicenter retrospective observational study. Front. Oncol. 14:1400277. doi: 10.3389/fonc.2024.1400277

Received: 13 March 2024; Accepted: 18 October 2024;
Published: 04 November 2024.

Edited by:

Ana Isabel Fraguas, Complutense University, Spain

Reviewed by:

Kenji Morimoto, Kyoto Prefectural University of Medicine, Japan
Ping-Chih Hsu, Linkou Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Taiwan

Copyright © 2024 Tanaka, Teranishi, Kajita, Hirose, Kaneko, Sairenji, Kawashima, Yumoto, Tsukahara, Miura, Kobayashi, Yamamoto, Nishihira, Kudo, Miyazawa, Nishikawa and Kaneko. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

*Correspondence: Shuhei Teranishi, dGVyYW5pc2hpLnNodS5zdUB5b2tvaGFtYS1jdS5hYy5qcA==

These authors have contributed equally to this work and share first authorship

Disclaimer: All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.