The purpose of this retrospective study was to establish a combined model based on ultrasound (US)-radiomics and clinical factors to predict patients with stage I cervical cancer (CC) before surgery.
A total of 209 CC patients who had cervical lesions found by transvaginal sonography (TVS) from the First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University were retrospectively reviewed, patients were divided into the training set (n = 146) and internal validation set (n = 63), and 52 CC patients from Anhui Provincial Maternity and Child Health Hospital and Nanchong Central Hospital were taken as the external validation set. The clinical independent predictors were selected by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses. US-radiomics features were extracted from US images. After selecting the most significant features by univariate analysis, Spearman’s correlation analysis, and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) algorithm, six machine learning (ML) algorithms were used to build the radiomics model. Next, the ability of the clinical, US-radiomics, and clinical US-radiomics combined model was compared to diagnose stage I CC. Finally, the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) method was used to explain the contribution of each feature.
Long diameter of the cervical lesion (L) and squamous cell carcinoma-associated antigen (SCCa) were independent clinical predictors of stage I CC. The eXtreme Gradient Boosting (Xgboost) model performed the best among the six ML radiomics models, with area under the curve (AUC) values in the training, internal validation, and external validation sets being 0.778, 0.751, and 0.751, respectively. In the final three models, the combined model based on clinical features and rad-score showed good discriminative power, with AUC values in the training, internal validation, and external validation sets being 0.837, 0.828, and 0.839, respectively. The decision curve analysis validated the clinical utility of the combined nomogram. The SHAP algorithm illustrates the contribution of each feature in the combined model.
We established an interpretable combined model to predict stage I CC. This non-invasive prediction method may be used for the preoperative identification of patients with stage I CC.