The addition of cyclin-dependent kinase 4/6 inhibitors (CDK4/6i) to endocrine therapy impressively improved the outcome of patients with hormone receptor-positive metastatic breast cancer. Despite their great efficacy, not all patients respond to treatment and many of them develop acquired resistance. The aim of this retrospective study was to assess the role of [18F]-FDG PET/CT in predicting PFS and OS in breast cancer patients treated with CDK4/6i.
114 patients who performed an [18F]-FDG PET/CT scan before (PET1) and 2-6 months (PET2) after starting treatment were retrospectively enrolled. Metabolic response was evaluated by EORTC, PERCIST and Deauville Score and correlated to PFS and OS.
In patients who did not progress at PET2 (n = 90), PFS rates were not significantly different between classes of response by EORTC and PERCIST. Conversely, patients showing a Deauville score ≤3 had a longer PFS (median PFS 42 vs 21.0 months; p = 0.008). A higher total metabolic tumor volume at PET1 (TMTV1) was also associated with a shorter PFS (median 18 vs 42 months; p = 0.0026). TMTV1 and Deauville score were the only independent prognostic factors for PFS at multivariate analysis and their combination stratified the population in four definite classes of relapse risk. Conversely, the above parameters did not affect OS which was only influenced by a progressive metabolic disease at PET2 (3-years survival rate 29.8 vs 84.9%; p<0.0001).
TMTV and metabolic response by Deauville score were significant prognostic factors for PFS in patients with breast cancer treated with CDK4/6i. Their determination could help physicians to select patients who may need a closer follow up.