To develop and evaluate the performance of a magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based radiomics nomogram for prediction of response of patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC).
A total of 70 patients with clinical T2-4aN0M0 MIBC were enrolled in this retrospective study. For each patient, 1316 radiomics features were extracted from T2-weighted images (T2WI), diffusion-weighted images (DWI), and apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) maps. The variance threshold algorithm and the Student’s t-test or the Mann–Whitney U test were applied to select optimal features. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to eliminate irrelevant features, and the retained features were incorporated into the final single-modality radiomics model. Combined radiomic models were generated by combining single-modality radiomics models. A radiomics nomogram, incorporating radiomics signatures and independent clinical risk factors, was developed to determine whether the performance of the model in predicting tumor response to NAC could be further improved.
Based on pathological T stage post-surgery, 36 (51%) patients were classified as good responders (GR) and 34 (49%) patients as non-good responders (non-GR). In addition, 3 single-modality radiomics models and 4 combined radiomics models were established. Among all radiomics models, the combined radiomics model based on T2WI_Score, DWI_Score, and ADC_Score yielded the highest area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) (0.967, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.930–0.995). A radiomics nomogram, integrating the clinical T stage and 3 single-modality radiomics models, yielded a higher AUC (0.973, 95%CI: 0.934–0.998) than other combined radiomics models.
The proposed MRI-based radiomics nomogram has the potential to be used as a non-invasive tool for the quantitatively prediction of tumor response to NAC in patients with MIBC.