To investigate the value of whole-tumor texture analysis of apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) map in predicting the early recurrence of patients with locally advanced cervical squamous cell cancer (LACSC) treated with concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) and establish a combined prediction model including clinical variables and first-order texture features.
In total, 219 patients (training: n = 153; testing: n = 66) with stage IIB-IVA LACSC treated by CCRT between January 2014 and December 2019 were retrospectively enrolled in this study. Clinical variables and 22 first-order texture features extracted from ADC map were collected. The Mann-Whitney U test or independent sample t test, chi-square test or Fisher’s exact were used to analyze statistically significant parameters, logistic regression analysis was used for multivariate analysis, and receiver operating characteristic analysis was used to compare the diagnostic performance.
In the clinical variables, T stage and lymph node metastasis (LNM) were independent risk factors, and the areas under the curve (AUCs) of the clinical model were 0.697 and 0.667 in the training and testing cohorts, the sensitivity and specificity were 48.8% and 85.5% in the training cohort, and 84.1% and 51.1% in the testing cohort, respectively. In the first-order texture features, mean absolute deviation (MAD) was the independent protective factor, with an AUC of 0.756 in the training cohort and 0.783 in the testing cohort. The sensitivity and specificity were 95.3% and 52.7% in the training cohort and 94.7% and 53.2% in the testing cohort, respectively. The combined model (MAD, T stage, and LNM) was established, it exhibited the highest AUC of 0.804 in the training cohort and 0.821 in the testing cohort, which was significantly higher than the AUC of the clinical prediction model. The sensitivity and specificity were 67.4% and 85.5% in the training cohort and 94.7% and 70.2% in the testing cohort, respectively.
The first-order texture features of the ADC map could be used along with clinical predictive biomarkers to predict early recurrence in patients with LACSC treated by CCRT.