Skip to main content

ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Oncol., 04 January 2023
Sec. Cancer Imaging and Image-directed Interventions

Development and validation of A CT-based radiomics nomogram for prediction of synchronous distant metastasis in clear cell renal cell carcinoma

Updated
  • 1School of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, China
  • 2Department of Radiology, Shandong Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, China
  • 3Department of Nuclear Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University & Shandong Provincial Qianfoshan Hospital, Jinan, China
  • 4School of Medicine, Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, China
  • 5GE Healthcare, PDx GMS Advanced Analytics, Shanghai, China

Background: Early identification of synchronous distant metastasis (SDM) in patients with clear cell Renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) can certify the reasonable diagnostic examinations.

Methods: This retrospective study recruited 463 ccRCC patients who were divided into two cohorts (training and internal validation) at a 7:3 ratio. Besides, 115 patients from other hospital were assigned external validation cohort. A radiomics signature was developed based on features by means of the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method. Demographics, laboratory variables and CT findings were combined to develop clinical factors model. Integrating radiomics signature and clinical factors model, a radiomics nomogram was developed.

Results: Ten features were used to build radiomics signature, which yielded an area under the curve (AUC) 0.882 in the external validation cohort. By incorporating the clinical independent predictors, the clinical model was developed with AUC of 0.920 in the external validation cohort. Radiomics nomogram (external validation, 0.925) had better performance than clinical factors model or radiomics signature. Decision curve analysis demonstrated the superiority of the radiomics nomogram in terms of clinical usefulness.

Conclusions: The CT-based nomogram could help in predicting SDM status in patients with ccRCC, which might provide assistance for clinicians in making diagnostic examinations.

Introduction

Renal cell carcinoma (RCC) represents the seventh most prevalent malignant tumors, leading to around 140,000 deaths every year (1). Clear cell RCC (ccRCC) is the major histological subtype, accounting for about 80% of all cases (2). Owing to the widespread use of advantage radiologic diagnostic techniques, as well as the popularization in regular checkups, most incidentally detected renal lesions are small low-grade tumors. Nevertheless, 20%-30% of ccRCC patients have distant metastases at the time of diagnosis (synchronous distant metastasis, SDM) (3). Surgery is no longer suitable for metastatic ccRCC due to widespread metastatic disease; thus, systemic therapy is applicable in this setting (4, 5). ccRCC with SDM has poor prognosis, with median survival of 16 months and a five-year survival rate of 3.6% (3). Early identification of SDM can certify the reasonable, personalized, and efficient treatment strategies were timely performed and ultimately improve patient survival (6). Hence, it was of great value to estimate the possibility of combined distant metastasis, by which we can fully make individualized examination and treatment plans.

Several clinicopathological parameters have been identified to establish the nomogram for predicting SDM of ccRCC patients (7, 8): T stage, pathological differentiation grade, lymph node status, tumor size, and the invasion beyond the capsule. One of the most meaningful risk factors is the tumor size of the primary tumor. However, even small ccRCC have the potential to present SDM (9, 10), which is mean that relying too heavily on tumor size can lead to underestimate the true incidence of SDM. Many advanced imaging manners can contribute to the detection of SDM. However, using multitudinous imaging methods to check all potential metastatic sites for every ccRCC patient will heighten the extra economic and physical burden. On the other hand, some metastatic lesions may be small or share the overlapping imaging characteristics with other tumors, which can lead to the risk of missed diagnosis or misdiagnosis even though imaging examinations were performed (1114).

Radiomics is a promising technique using computerized quantitative imaging analysis to extract an enormous quantity of image-related features, such as intensity, geometry, and texture, from medical images (15, 16). Radiomics features extracted from computed tomography (CT), and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) have been successfully applied in predict SDM in ccRCC patients (17, 18). However, these models were developed with limited samples or without external validation, making their clinical usefulness very limited. Moreover, clinical risk factors, which could improve predictive accuracy, have been overlooked.

In this multicenter study, we aim to develop and validate a CT-based radiomics nomogram, incorporating radiomics signature and clinical risk factors, for preoperative prediction of SDM in patients with ccRCC, based on a large collection of patient data from two different institutions.

Materials and methods

Patients

The study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki (as revised in 2013). This retrospective study was approved by the Institutional Review Board of Shandong Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University and individual consent for this retrospective analysis was waived. The study population flowchart is illustrated in Figure 1.

FIGURE 1
www.frontiersin.org

Figure 1 Recruitment pathway for patients in this study. ccRCC, clear cell renal cell carcinoma.

Data for surgically and pathologically confirmed ccRCC cases were acquired by searching through the institutional database and medical record system. The inclusion and exclusion criteria of the patients are presented in Supplementary S1. Four hundred sixty-three patients from Shandong Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University diagnosed between January 2012 to December 2020, including 127 SDM ccRCC patients and 336 without SDM ccRCC patients, were randomly assigned to either the training cohort and internal validation cohort in a 7:3 ratio, using a stratified random split in patient level. External validation cohort consisted of 115 patients from Shandong Medical Imaging Research Institute between January 2015 to December 2019, including 29 SDM ccRCC patients and 86 without SDM ccRCC patients. A total of 58 SDM were confirmed by pathology, and the other SDM were diagnosed by radiologic features, that is, there was an increase in volume or number of suspected metastases during follow-up. SDM was defined as the distant metastatic lesion existing at the time of initial diagnosis before nephrectomy.

Demographic and clinical characteristics, including age, gender, weight, coronary heart disease, diabetes, hypertension, history of smoking, hemoglobin, red blood cell distribution width (RDW), neutrophil count, lymphocyte count, platelet count, creatinine, calcium, albumin, fibrinogen were derived from medical records. Besides, we also calculated neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), RDW-to-lymphocyte ratio (RLR), and albumin-to-fibrinogen ratio (AFR).

CT image acquisition and radiologic evaluation

The details of image acquisition parameters are shown in Supplementary S2. Each CT study was analyzed by a radiology resident (Reader 1, BK) and a radiologist (Reader 2, XMW) with 5 and 20 years of experience in abdominal imaging, respectively. Aware of the diagnosis of ccRCC but blinded to the radiological reports and pathologic details, the two researchers construed the following CT features by consensus: the maximum diameter of tumor on the axial CT image; tumor polarity (superior/middle/inferior); tumor side (left/right); tumor margin (well defined/poorly defined); tumor shape (round/lobulated/irregular); enhancement degree (lower than cortex/higher than or similar to cortex); and necrosis (absence/presence). The maximum diameter of the tumor was measured by the two radiologists, and the average value was applied to the evaluation. For those qualitative parameters, in the event of disagreement, the two readers jointly reviewed the findings to reach a consensus for further analysis.

Development of clinical factor model

Univariate regression analysis was applied to the clinical factors, including clinical data (age, gender, weight, coronary heart disease, diabetes, hypertension, history of smoking), laboratory variables (hemoglobin, PLR, NLR, RLR, AFR, calcium, and creatinine), and CT features to find the factor that significantly affected the event occurrence probability. Then a multiple logistic regression analysis with a step-wise backwards elimination was subsequently applied to build the clinical factors model in the training cohort. Odds ratios (OR) as estimates of relative risk with 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated for each risk factor.

Segmentation of tumor images and radiomics feature extraction

In order to remove the potential differences of CT images acquired from different CT scanners, normalization was performed on all original CT images using the gray-scale discretization method before extracting the radiomics features.

Corticomedullary phase and nephrographic phase images at 5.0-mm thickness were retrieved for radiomics feature extraction. The three-dimensional region of interest (ROI) were manually segmented along the tumor contour on each transverse section, avoiding covering the paratumoral renal parenchyma and perinephric fat, by using RadCloud (Huiying platform Medical Technology Co., Ltd.), which was an available platform reliably used in previous studies. Finally, 1409 radiomics feature were extracted, detailed in Supplementary S3.

Inter- and intra-class correlation coefficients (ICCs) were calculated to estimate the inter-observer reliability and intra-observer reproducibility of features extraction. Fifty cases of CT images containing 17 SDM ccRCCs and 33 without SDM ccRCCs were randomly chosen; region-of-interest segmentation was drawn by one radiology resident (Reader 1, BK) and one radiologist (Reader 2, XMW) independently; both were aware of the diagnosis of ccRCC but were blinded to the SDM status. Reader 1 then repeated the contouring procedure 8 weeks after the initial analysis to assess the agreement of feature extraction. The remaining image segmentation was performed by Reader 1.

Development of radiomics signature and radiomics nomogram

Only were the radiomics chosen to be kept when meeting a criterion of inter- and intra-observer ICCs greater than 0.75, then the minimum redundancy maximum relevancy method was performed to eliminate the redundant and irrelated features and kept 30 features. The remaining features were enrolled into the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression model to choose the optimized subset of features from the training cohort to construct the final model. A radiomics model was created by summing the selected feature values weighted by their respective coefficients, and the corresponding radiomics score was calculated for each patient.

To provide a more individualized predictive model, a nomogram combining the final radiomics model and clinical factors model was built in the training cohort. The calibration of the nomogram was evaluated with a calibration curve. The Hosmer–Lemeshow test was conducted to assess the goodness-of-fit of the nomogram. A radiomics nomogram score for each patient was obtained in the testing and external validation cohorts.

Assessment of the performance of different models

The predictive accuracy of the clinical factors model, radiomics model, and radiomics nomogram for predicting SDM were quantified by the area under the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve (AUC). Decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to calculate the net benefits for a range of threshold probabilities in the whole cohort to assess the clinical usefulness of the nomogram.

Statistical analysis

Statistical analysis were performed using R statistical software (version 3.6.3, https://www.r-project.org). Group differences of the clinical factors were figured out by means of chi-square test or Fisher exact test for categorical variables and Mann-Whitney U test for continuous variables, where appropriate. The clinical factors model was constructed using the backward step-wise multivariate logistic regression with Akaike information criterion (AIC) as criterion. The LASSO logistic regression was performed using the “glmnet” package; the ROC curves were plotted using the “pROC” package; the nomogram and calibration curves were performed using the “rms” package; and the DCA was performed using “rmda” package.

Results

Clinical factors of the patients and construction of the clinical factor model

The patients’ demographic baseline characteristics are summarized in Table 1. There are 325 ccRCC patients in the training cohort (216 men and 109 women; mean age, 55.3 ± 11.1 years), 138 patients in the internal validation cohort (95 men and 43 women; mean age, 55.4 ± 10.4 years) and 115 patients in the external validation cohort (84 men and 31 women; mean age, 53.9 ± 10.9 years). The rates of SDM ccRCCs were 27.4% (89 of 325), 27.5% (38 of 138), and 25.2% (29 of 115) in the training, internal validation, and external validation cohorts, respectively, whereas no statistically significant difference was found among the three cohorts (P=0.891). The confirmation approaches of SDM and sites of metastases are shown in Table 2.

TABLE 1
www.frontiersin.org

Table 1 Comparison of patient clinicoradiological characteristics of with and without SDM ccRCC.

TABLE 2
www.frontiersin.org

Table 2 Confirmation approaches of SDM and sites of metastases.

The results of multiple logistic regression analysis are listed in Table 3. According to the backward step-wise multivariate logistic regression, age, sex, maximum diameter, shape, margin, calcium, hemoglobin, and AFR were incorporated into the development of the clinical factor model. The clinical score (Cli-score) was calculated with the following formula:

TABLE 3
www.frontiersin.org

Table 3 Multivariate logistic regression analysis of clinicoradiological characteristics.

Cliscore=0.029  *  age  +  1.359  *  sex + maximum  *  0.036  +  shape  *  0.456+ margin * 1.102 + calcium * 0.957 + hemoglobin *  0.944 + AFR *  2.442-8.159

ROC curves of clinical factors model are displayed in Figure 2, which yielded an AUC of 0.924 (95% CI: 0.890, 0.959) in the training cohort, 0.896 (95% CI: 0.826, 0.966) in the internal validation cohort, and 0.920 (95% CI: 0.850, 0.990) in the external validation cohort.

FIGURE 2
www.frontiersin.org

Figure 2 Radiomics feature selection by using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression. (A) Selection of the tuning parameter (λ) in the LASSO model via 10-fold cross-validation based on minimum criteria. Binomial deviances from the LASSO regression cross-validation model are plotted as a function of log(λ). The y-axis shows binomial deviances and the lower x-axis the log(λ). Numbers along the upper x-axis indicate the average number of predictors. Red dots indicate average deviance values for each model with a given λ, and vertical bars through the red dots indicate the upper and lower values of the deviances. The vertical black lines define the optimal values of λ, where the model provides its best fit to the data. An optimal λ value of 0.007 with log(λ) =-4.962 was selected. (B) The coefficients have been plotted vs. log(λ). (C) The 10 features with nonzero coefficients are shown in the plot.

Radiomics feature extraction, selection, and radiomics signature establishment

Among 2818 radiomics features extracted from corticomedullary phase and nephrographic phase CT images, 1704 features showed high stability, and then were reduced to 30 features by minimum redundancy maximum relevancy. In the final feature selection with the LASSO method (Figures 3A, B), 10 most valuable features were kept, and displayed in Figure 3C. Violin plots showed that the difference of the 10 radiomics features between the SDM ccRCC and without SDM ccRCC groups (Supplementary Figure S1). The radiomics score (Rad-score) was attained with the following formula:

FIGURE 3
www.frontiersin.org

Figure 3 Radiomics nomogram and calibration curves. (A) The radiomics nomogram, combining Cli-score and Rad-score, developed in the training set. Calibration curves for the radiomics nomogram in the training (B), internal validation (C), and external validation (D) cohorts. Calibration curves indicate the goodness-of-fit of the nomogram. The 45° gray line represents the ideal prediction, and the pink line represents the predictive performance of the nomogram. The closer the pink line approaches the ideal prediction line, the better the predictive efficacy of the nomogram is.

Radscore=1.051 * original_shape_Maximum3DDiameter_A+ -0.268 * wavelet_LHH-gldm_DependenceEntropy_A + 0.183 * wavelet_LLH_firstorder_Variance_V + 0.156 * wavelet_LHL_firstorder_Mean_A + -0.148 * wavelet_HLH_gldm_DependenceEntropy_A + 0.343 * squareroot_firstorder_Maximum_V + -0.309 *wavelet_LHH_gldm_DependenceVariance_V + -0.002 * square_firstorder_Variance_A + -0.115 * wavelet_LLH_firstorder_RobustMeanAbsoluteDeviation_V + 0.391 *squareroot_gldm_SmallDependenceLowGrayLevelEmphasis_A + -1.335

Rad-score [median (interquartile range)] differed significantly between the SDM ccRCC and without SDM ccRCC groups in the training cohort [0.1 (-0.9, 1.5) vs. −2.2 (−2.8, −1.2), respectively, P < 0.001]; this finding was verified in the internal validation cohort [−0.6 (−1.4, 1.0) vs. −2.4 (−3.0, −1.5), respectively, P < 0.001] and external validation cohort [0.4 (−0.5, 1.8) vs. −1.8 (−2.3, −1.1), respectively, P < 0.001].

ROC curves of radiomics signature are displayed in Figure 2. The radiomics signature yielded an AUC of 0.871 (95% CI: 0.828, 0.914) in the training cohort, 0.869 (95% CI: 0.806, 0.933) in the internal validation cohort, and 0.882 (95% CI: 0.796, 0.967) in the external validation cohort, showing favorable predictive efficacy.

The radiomics nomogram establishment and assessment of the performance of different models

By incorporating the Cli-score and Rad-score, a radiomics nomogram was developed in the training cohort (Figure 4A). The calibration curve of the radiomics nomogram demonstrated good agreement between the predicted and expected probabilities for SDM ccRCC (Figure 4). The P values of Hosmer–Lemeshow test were 0.471, 0.183, and 0.340 in training, internal validation, and external validation cohorts, respectively.

FIGURE 4
www.frontiersin.org

Figure 4 The distribution of Nomo-score with regard to SDM status in the training (A), internal validation (B) and external validation (C) cohorts.

ROC curves of radiomics nomogram are displayed in Figure 2. The AUC, sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of the radiomics nomogram, respectively, were 0.929 (95% CI: 0.896, 0.961), 82.0%, 91.9%, and 89.2% in the training cohort, 0.916 (95%CI: 0.857, 0.975), 84.2%, 88.0%, and 87.0% in the internal validation cohort, 0.925 (95%CI: 0.855,0.994), 86.2%, 94.2%, and 92.2% in the external validation cohort. The distribution of Nomo-score with regard to SDM status in the training, internal validation and external validation cohorts is presented in Figure 5.

FIGURE 5
www.frontiersin.org

Figure 5 Diagnostic performance of the clinical factors model, radiomics signature, and radiomics nomogram was assessed and compared through ROC curves in the training (A), internal validation (B) and external validation (C) cohorts. ROC = receiver operating characteristics; AUC = area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.

The diagnostic performance of every model is demonstrated in Table 4. A slightly higher AUC was observed for the radiomics nomogram after integrating Cli-score both in the internal validation cohort (0.916 vs. 0.869) and in the external validation cohort (0.925 vs. 0.882). Nevertheless, incorporation of the Cli-score into the radiomics nomogram did not show significantly improved prediction efficiency (P =0.181 and 0.133, respectively).

TABLE 4
www.frontiersin.org

Table 4 Results of radiomics nomogram, radiomics signature, and the clinical factors model predictive ability for distinguishing between SDM ccRCC and without SDM ccRCC.

The DCA of the three model were presented in Figure 6. It showed that the radiomics nomogram and clinical factor model had a higher overall net benefit in differentiating SDM ccRCC from without SDM ccRCC than the radiomics signature across the full range of reasonable threshold probabilities.

FIGURE 6
www.frontiersin.org

Figure 6 Decision curve analysis for the three models in the training (A), internal validation (B) and external validation (C) cohorts. The y-axis shows the net benefit; x-axis shows the threshold probability. The red, orange, and green line represent net benefit of the radiomics nomogram, clinical factors model, and radiomics signature, respectively.

Discussion

It is necessary to preoperatively identify the SDM status timely to certify the reasonable, personalized, and efficient treatment decision. In this retrospective study, we developed and validated a radiomics nomogram that incorporates the radiomics signature and clinical factors for individualized prediction of SDM in ccRCC patients before treatment. The proposed radiomics nomogram demonstrated favorable discrimination in both internal validation cohort (AUC, 0.916) and external validation cohort (AUC, 0.925), outperforming radiomics signature (internal validation, 0.869; external validation, 0.882) and clinical factor model (internal validation, 0.896; external validation, 0.920).

As far as we know, only few studies have been reported in the literature including radiomics-based methods for prediction of SDM ccRCC. Bai et al. (17) developed a MRI-based radiomics nomogram combining patient age, regional lymph node, pseudocapsule and Rad-score, and demonstrated the nomogram can be useful for differentiating SDM ccRCC from without SDM ccRCC, with an AUC of 0.854 (95%CI, 0.736-0.971) in the internal validation cohort and 0.816 (95%CI, 0.661-0.971) in the external validation cohort. Compared with MRI, CT has a wider range of uses for the detection, identification, and staging of ccRCC due to its high diagnostic accuracy. A study by Wen et al. (18) showed that radiomics features extracted from contrast enhanced CT images demonstrated a good performance for prediction of SDM ccRCC (AUC, 0.83 [95%CI, 0.69-0.95]). However, the weakness of their study is lack of relevant clinical factors. Therefore, we tried to develop a novel CT-based radiomics nomogram combined radiomics signature and clinical factors to predict the SDM status. In addition, our study had a larger sample size with 578 ccRCC patients while the previous studies only had modest sample size ranging from 172 to 201 patients. Our study showed a better performance compared with previous studies, with an AUC of 0.916 (95%CI, 0.857-0.975) in the internal validation cohort and 0.925 (95%CI, 0.855-0.994) in the external validation cohort.

The radiomics signature consisting of 10 radiomics features in our study was able to differentiate SDM ccRCC from without SDM ccRCC with acceptable performance in the internal validation (0.869 [95%CI, 0.806-0.933]) and external validation (0.882[95%CI, 0.796-0.967]) cohorts. In our radiomics signature, most of the features were transformed by wavelet filter, which splits imaging data into different frequency components on three axis of the tumor region (19), indicating that the wavelet features may further explore the spatial heterogeneity at multiple scales within tumor regions. Some previous studies have reported that wavelet features might better reveal tumor biology and heterogeneity (20, 21). Liang et al. found that wavelet features were of great importance to predict early recurrence of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma after partial hepatectomy (20). The shape feature, Maximum 3D Diameter, defined as the largest pairwise Euclidean distance between tumor surface mesh vertices, had the highest weights in the radiomics model. The Maximum 3D Diameter was positively correlated with SDM ccRCC, suggesting that larger tumor may be seen more commonly in SDM ccRCC, which is consistent with previous studies (22, 23). Small Dependence Low Gray Level Emphasis (SDLGLE) is defined as the joint distribution of small dependence with lower gray-level values, and the greater value indicates less homogeneous textures and a greater concentration of low gray-level values in the image (24). We assumed the greater value of SDLGLE in SDM ccRCC might be related to the combination of a larger range of necrosis components with lower gray values (25, 26).

Our study took plenty of clinical factors into account. In line with previous studies, AFR was selected as an independent predictor for without SDM ccRCC, which suggested that ccRCC patients with decreased AFR are more likely to have SDM (2729). Numerous experimental researches have convincingly supported the concept that inflammation is an imperative ingredient of tumor progression (3032). Serum albumin has protective effects such as nutrition and anti-inflammatory, and fibrinogen can promote the invasion and metastasis of tumor cells through epithelial-mesenchymal transition and induce tumor blood vessel formation, thereby participating in tumor progression (33, 34). Therefore, decreased serum albumin and elevated fibrinogen are symptoms of elevated systemic inflammation, and decreased AFR might be connected with a worse prognosis (27). According to the equation for the Cli-score developed in our study, ccRCC with decreased AFR tended to be accompanied with SDM, which was consistent with the previous studies. It should be noted that, for the other clinical features associated with inflammation, including PLR, NLR and RLR, we found they were significantly different between SDM ccRCC and without SDM ccRCC in training cohort. However, these clinical features were not independent factors after multivariate analysis and were excluded in the final model. We presume that the difference in endpoint event and the unbalance of the two groups might explain the discrepancy between study results.

There are several limitations to our study. First, the retrospective nature might have inevitably introduced bias in population selection. The two groups in our study population was unbalanced, which might indicate a spectrum bias and might have influenced the diagnostic performance. Besides, there was an imbalance between the training and internal validation cohort, due to the relatively small sample size. Prospective multicenter studies with considerably large datasets are needed to further validate the robustness and reproducibility of our model. Second, owing to the limitation of the small number of SDM ccRCC, there is not enough data to differentiate various site of SDM to perform a stratified analysis, which is meaningful. A large-scale prospective study is needed to predict the exact location of SDM. Third, CT acquisition parameters and reconstruction techniques were not consistent due to the retrospective and multi-institutional nature of the study. Fourth, not all SDM were diagnosed with pathologic examination. Some lesions were diagnosed with typical radiologic findings and follow-up imaging. Finally, different observers for segmentation could have affected the stability of radiomics features. Although only features with ICCs greater than 0.75 were kept for radiomics signature construction in our study, automated and accurate tumor segmentation must be developed to facilitate the efficiency of the radiomics process. In addition, it would be more interesting to develop a model to predict metachronous disease, which could be helpful in managing follow-up schedule.

In conclusion, our study presented a CT-based radiomics nomogram that showed satisfactory performance in predicting SDM among ccRCC patients, which can enable physicians to make more informed diagnostic examinations and treatment decisions.

Data availability statement

The raw data supporting the conclusions of this article will be made available by the authors, without undue reservation.

Ethics statement

Written informed consent was not obtained from the individual(s) for the publication of any potentially identifiable images or data included in this article.

Author contributions

Study conception and design: XY, LG, SZ, BK, and XW. Administrative support: XW. Provision of study materials or patients: XY, LG, CS, and BK. Collection and assembly of data: XY, LG, and SZ. Data analysis and interpretation: XY, LG, JZ, and BK. All authors contributed to the article and approved the submitted version.

Funding

The present study was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (grant no. 81871354, 81571672), Shandong Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China (grant no. ZR2021MH216), the Youth Project of Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province (grant no. ZR2021QH335) and Academic Promotion programme of Shandong First Medical University (grant no. 2019QL023).

Conflict of interest

Author JZ was employed by GE Healthcare.

The remaining authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.

Publisher’s note

All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.

Supplementary material

The Supplementary Material for this article can be found online at: https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fonc.2022.1016583/full#supplementary-material

References

1. Capitanio U, Montorsi F. Renal cancer. Lancet (2016) 387:894–906. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(15)00046-X

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

2. Wei JH, Feng ZH, Cao Y, Zhao HW, Chen ZH, Liao B, et al. Predictive value of single-nucleotide polymorphism signature for recurrence in localised renal cell carcinoma: A retrospective analysis and multicentre validation study. Lancet Oncol (2019) 20:591–600. doi: 10.1016/S1470-2045(18)30932-X

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

3. Kammerer-Jacquet SF, Brunot A, Pladys A, Bouzille G, Dagher J, Medane S, et al. Synchronous metastatic clear-cell renal cell carcinoma: A distinct morphologic, immunohistochemical, and molecular phenotype. Clin Genitourin Cancer (2017) 15:e1–7. doi: 10.1016/j.clgc.2016.06.007

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

4. de Velasco G, Bex A, Albiges L, Powles T, Rini BI, Motzer RJ, et al. Sequencing and combination of systemic therapy in metastatic renal cell carcinoma. Eur Urol Oncol (2019) 2:505–14. doi: 10.1016/j.euo.2019.06.022

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

5. Hahn AW, Klaassen Z, Agarwal N, Haaland B, Esther J, Ye XY, et al. First-line treatment of metastatic renal cell carcinoma: A systematic review and network meta-analysis. Eur Urol Oncol (2019) 2:708–15. doi: 10.1016/j.euo.2019.09.002

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

6. Nizam A, Schindelheim JA, Ornstein MC. The role of active surveillance and cytoreductive nephrectomy in metastatic renal cell carcinoma. Cancer Treat Res Commun (2020) 23:100169. doi: 10.1016/j.ctarc.2020.100169

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

7. Li Y, Chen P, Chen Z. A population-based study to predict distant metastasis in patients with renal cell carcinoma. Ann Palliat Med (2021) 10:4273–88. doi: 10.21037/apm-20-2481

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

8. Li H, Samawi H, Heng DY. The use of prognostic factors in metastatic renal cell carcinoma. Urol Oncol (2015) 33:509–16. doi: 10.1016/j.urolonc.2015.08.003

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

9. Kume H, Suzuki M, Fujimura T, Fukuhara H, Enomoto Y, Nishimatsu H, et al. Distant metastasis of renal cell carcinoma with a diameter of 3 cm or less-which is aggressive cancer? J Urol (2010) 184:64–8. doi: 10.1016/j.juro.2010.03.019

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

10. Guethmundsson E, Hellborg H, Lundstam S, Erikson S, Ljungberg B. Swedish Kidney cancer quality register g. metastatic potential in renal cell carcinomas </=7 cm: Swedish kidney cancer quality register data. Eur Urol (2011) 60:975–82. doi: 10.1016/j.eururo.2011.06.029

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

11. Diaz de Leon A, Pirasteh A, Costa DN, Kapur P, Hammers H, Brugarolas J, et al. Current challenges in diagnosis and assessment of the response of locally advanced and metastatic renal cell carcinoma. Radiographics (2019) 39:998–1016. doi: 10.1148/rg.2019180178

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

12. Lyu HL, Cao JX, Wang HY, Wang ZB, Hu MG, Ma L, et al. Differentiation between pancreatic metastases from clear cell renal cell carcinoma and pancreatic neuroendocrine tumor using double-echo chemical shift imaging. Abdom Radiol (NY) (2018) 43:2712–20. doi: 10.1007/s00261-018-1539-7

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

13. Kataoka K, Ishikawa T, Ohno E, Mizutani Y, Iida T, Ishikawa E, et al. Differentiation between pancreatic metastases from renal cell carcinoma and pancreatic neuroendocrine neoplasm using endoscopic ultrasound. Pancreatology (2021) 21:1364–70. doi: 10.1016/j.pan.2021.07.001

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

14. van der Pol CB, Lee S, Tsai S, Larocque N, Alayed A, Williams P, et al. Differentiation of pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors from pancreas renal cell carcinoma metastases on CT using qualitative and quantitative features. Abdom Radiol (NY) (2019) 44:992–9. doi: 10.1007/s00261-018-01889-x

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

15. Gillies RJ, Kinahan PE, Hricak H. Radiomics: Images are more than pictures, they are data. Radiology (2016) 278:563–77. doi: 10.1148/radiol.2015151169

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

16. Lambin P, Leijenaar RTH, Deist TM, Peerlings J, de Jong EEC, van Timmeren J, et al. Radiomics: The bridge between medical imaging and personalized medicine. Nat Rev Clin Oncol (2017) 14:749–62. doi: 10.1038/nrclinonc.2017.141

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

17. Bai X, Huang Q, Zuo P, Zhang X, Yuan J, Zhang X, et al. MRI Radiomics-based nomogram for individualised prediction of synchronous distant metastasis in patients with clear cell renal cell carcinoma. Eur Radiol (2021) 31:1029–42. doi: 10.1007/s00330-020-07184-y

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

18. Wen R, Huang J, Gao RZ, Wan D, Qin H, Peng YT, et al. CT radiomics for the prediction of synchronous distant metastasis in clear cell renal cell carcinoma. J Comput Assist Tomogr (2021) 45:696–703. doi: 10.1097/RCT.0000000000001211

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

19. Liang W, Yang P, Huang R, Xu L, Wang J, Liu W, et al. A combined nomogram model to preoperatively predict histologic grade in pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors. Clin Cancer Res (2019) 25:584–94. doi: 10.1158/1078-0432.CCR-18-1305

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

20. Liang W, Xu L, Yang P, Zhang L, Wan D, Huang Q, et al. Novel nomogram for preoperative prediction of early recurrence in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma. Front Oncol (2018) 8:360. doi: 10.3389/fonc.2018.00360

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

21. Zhou Y, Zhou G, Zhang J, Xu C, Wang X, Xu P. Radiomics signature on dynamic contrast-enhanced MR images: A potential imaging biomarker for prediction of microvascular invasion in mass-forming intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma. Eur Radiol (2021) 31:6846–55. doi: 10.1007/s00330-021-07793-1

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

22. Kunkle DA, Crispen PL, Li T, Uzzo RG. Tumor size predicts synchronous metastatic renal cell carcinoma: Implications for surveillance of small renal masses. J Urol (2007) 177:1692–7. doi: 10.1016/j.juro.2007.01.029

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

23. Thompson RH, Hill JR, Babayev Y, Cronin A, Kaag M, Kundu S, et al. Metastatic renal cell carcinoma risk according to tumor size. J Urol (2009) 182:41–5. doi: 10.1016/j.juro.2009.02.128

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

24. Naganawa S, Kim J, Yip SSF, Ota Y, Srinivasan A, Moritani T. Texture analysis of T2-weighted MRI predicts SDH mutation in paraganglioma. Neuroradiology (2021) 63(4):547–54. doi: 10.1007/s00234-020-02607-5

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

25. Dagher J, Delahunt B, Rioux-Leclercq N, Egevad L, Coughlin G, Dunglison N, et al. Assessment of tumour-associated necrosis provides prognostic information additional to world health Organization/International society of urological pathology grading for clear cell renal cell carcinoma. Histopathology (2019) 74:284–90. doi: 10.1111/his.13737

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

26. Sengupta S, Lohse CM, Leibovich BC, Frank I, Thompson RH, Webster WS, et al. Histologic coagulative tumor necrosis as a prognostic indicator of renal cell carcinoma aggressiveness. Cancer (2005) 104:511–20. doi: 10.1002/cncr.21206

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

27. Pichler M, Hutterer GC, Stojakovic T, Mannweiler S, Pummer K, Zigeuner R. High plasma fibrinogen level represents an independent negative prognostic factor regarding cancer-specific, metastasis-free, as well as overall survival in a European cohort of non-metastatic renal cell carcinoma patients. Br J Cancer (2013) 109:1123–9. doi: 10.1038/bjc.2013.443

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

28. Sun DW, An L, Lv GY. Albumin-fibrinogen ratio and fibrinogen-prealbumin ratio as promising prognostic markers for cancers: An updated meta-analysis. World J Surg Oncol (2020) 18:9. doi: 10.1186/s12957-020-1786-2

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

29. Zhao J, Zhao M, Jin B, Yu P, Hu X, Teng Y, et al. Tumor response and survival in patients with advanced non-Small-Cell lung cancer: The predictive value of chemotherapy-induced changes in fibrinogen. BMC Cancer (2012) 12:330. doi: 10.1186/1471-2407-12-330

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

30. Grivennikov SI, Greten FR, Karin M. Immunity, inflammation, and cancer. Cell (2010) 140:883–99. doi: 10.1016/j.cell.2010.01.025

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

31. Khandia R, Munjal A. Interplay between inflammation and cancer. Adv Protein Chem Struct Biol (2020) 119:199–245. doi: 10.1016/bs.apcsb.2019.09.004

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

32. McMillan DC. Systemic inflammation, nutritional status and survival in patients with cancer. Curr Opin Clin Nutr Metab Care (2009) 12:223–6. doi: 10.1097/MCO.0b013e32832a7902

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

33. Xu WY, Zhang HH, Xiong JP, Yang XB, Bai Y, Lin JZ, et al. Prognostic significance of the fibrinogen-to-Albumin ratio in gallbladder cancer patients. World J Gastroenterol (2018) 24:3281–92. doi: 10.3748/wjg.v24.i29.3281

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

34. Zhang Y, Xiao G. Prognostic significance of the ratio of fibrinogen and albumin in human malignancies: A meta-analysis. Cancer Manag Res (2019) 11:3381–93. doi: 10.2147/CMAR.S198419

PubMed Abstract | CrossRef Full Text | Google Scholar

Keywords: radiomics, nomogram, clear cell renal cell carcinoma, metastasis, computed tomography

Citation: Yu X, Gao L, Zhang S, Sun C, Zhang J, Kang B and Wang X (2023) Development and validation of A CT-based radiomics nomogram for prediction of synchronous distant metastasis in clear cell renal cell carcinoma. Front. Oncol. 12:1016583. doi: 10.3389/fonc.2022.1016583

Received: 11 August 2022; Accepted: 12 December 2022;
Published: 04 January 2023.

Edited by:

Bo Gao, Affiliated Hospital of Guizhou Medical University, China

Reviewed by:

Lei Xu, Zhejiang University, China
Cheng Dong, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, China
Guangjie Yang, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, China

Copyright © 2023 Yu, Gao, Zhang, Sun, Zhang, Kang and Wang. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

*Correspondence: Ximing Wang, wxming369@163.com; Bing Kang, kangbing0228@163.com; Juntao Zhang, 15853139371@163.com

These authors have contributed equally to this work and share first authorship

Disclaimer: All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.