To develop and validate an MR radiomics-based nomogram to predict the presence of MVI in patients with solitary HCC and further evaluate the performance of predictors for MVI in subgroups (HCC ≤ 3 cm and > 3 cm).
Between May 2015 and October 2020, 201 patients with solitary HCC were analysed. Radiomic features were extracted from precontrast T1WI, arterial phase, portal venous phase, delayed phase and hepatobiliary phase images in regions of the intratumoral, peritumoral and their combining areas. The mRMR and LASSO algorithms were used to select radiomic features related to MVI. Clinicoradiological factors were selected by using backward stepwise regression with AIC. A nomogram was developed by incorporating the clinicoradiological factors and radiomics signature. In addition, the radiomic features and clinicoradiological factors related to MVI were separately evaluated in the subgroups (HCC ≤ 3 cm and > 3 cm).
Histopathological examinations confirmed MVI in 111 of the 201 patients (55.22%). The radiomics signature showed a favourable discriminatory ability for MVI in the training set (AUC, 0.896) and validation set (AUC, 0.788). The nomogram incorporating peritumoral enhancement, tumour growth type and radiomics signature showed good discrimination in the training (AUC, 0.932) and validation sets (AUC, 0.917) and achieved well-fitted calibration curves. Subgroup analysis showed that tumour growth type was a predictor for MVI in the HCC ≤ 3 cm cohort and peritumoral enhancement in the HCC > 3 cm cohort; radiomic features related to MVI varied between the HCC ≤ 3 cm and HCC > 3 cm cohort. The performance of the radiomics signature improved noticeably in both the HCC ≤ 3 cm (AUC, 0.953) and HCC > 3 cm cohorts (AUC, 0.993) compared to the original training set.
The preoperative nomogram integrating clinicoradiological risk factors and the MR radiomics signature showed favourable predictive efficiency for predicting MVI in patients with solitary HCC. The clinicoradiological factors and radiomic features related to MVI varied between subgroups (HCC ≤ 3 cm and > 3 cm). The performance of radiomics signature for MVI prediction was improved in both the subgroups.