To create a prognostic prediction radiomics model for soft tissue sarcoma (STS) of the extremities and trunk treated with neoadjuvant radiotherapy.
This study included 62 patients with STS of the extremities and trunk who underwent magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) before neoadjuvant radiotherapy. After tumour segmentation and preprocessing, 851 radiomics features were extracted. The radiomics score was constructed according to the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method. Survival analysis (disease-free survival; DFS) was performed using the log-rank test and Cox’s proportional hazards regression model. The nomogram model was established based on the log-rank test and Cox regression model. Harrell’s concordance index (C-index), calibration curve and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis were used to evaluate the prognostic factors. The clinical utility of the model was assessed by decision curve analysis (DCA).
The univariate survival analysis showed that tumour location (p = 0.032), clinical stage (p = 0.022), tumour size (p = 0.005) and the radiomics score were correlated with DFS (p < 0.05). The multivariate analysis showed that tumour location, tumour size, and the radiomics score were independent prognostic factors for DFS (p < 0.05). The combined clinical-radiomics model based on the multivariate analysis showed the best predictive ability for DFS (C-index: 0.781; Area Under Curve: 0.791). DCA revealed that the use of the radiomics score-based nomogram was associated with better benefit gains relative to the prediction of 2-year DFS events than other models in the threshold probability range between 0.12 and 0.38.
The radiomics score from pretreatment MRI is an independent prognostic factor for DFS in patients with STS of the extremities and trunk. The radiomics score-based nomogram could improve prognostic stratification ability and thus contribute to individualized therapy for STS patients.