Myasthenia gravis (MG) is the most common paraneoplastic syndromes of thymoma and closely related to thymus abnormalities. Timely detecting of the risk of MG would benefit clinical management and treatment decision for patients with thymoma. Herein, we developed a 3D DenseNet deep learning (DL) model based on preoperative computed tomography (CT) as a non-invasive method to detect MG in thymoma patients.
A large cohort of 230 thymoma patients in a hospital affiliated with a medical school were enrolled. 182 thymoma patients (81 with MG, 101 without MG) were used for training and model building. 48 cases from another hospital were used for external validation. A 3D-DenseNet-DL model and five radiomic models were performed to detect MG in thymoma patients. A comprehensive analysis by integrating machine learning and semantic CT image features, named 3D-DenseNet-DL-based multi-model, was also performed to establish a more effective prediction model.
By elaborately comparing the prediction efficacy, the 3D-DenseNet-DL effectively identified MG patients and was superior to other five radiomic models, with a mean area under ROC curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of 0.734, 0.724, 0.787, and 0.672, respectively. The effectiveness of the 3D-DenseNet-DL-based multi-model was further improved as evidenced by the following metrics: AUC 0.766, accuracy 0.790, sensitivity 0.739, and specificity 0.801. External verification results confirmed the feasibility of this DL-based multi-model with metrics: AUC 0.730, accuracy 0.732, sensitivity 0.700, and specificity 0.690, respectively.
Our 3D-DenseNet-DL model can effectively detect MG in patients with thymoma based on preoperative CT imaging. This model may serve as a supplement to the conventional diagnostic criteria for identifying thymoma associated MG.