Ding Feng ¹ Dengao Li ^2* Yu Zhou ² Wei Wang ²

• ¹ College of Computer Science and Technology (College of Data Science), Taiyuan University of Technology, Taiyuan, China
• ² Taiyuan University of Technology, Taiyuan, China

Residential load forecasting is a challenging task due to the random fluctuations caused by complex correlations and individual differences. The existing short-term load forecasting models usually introduce external influencing factors such as climate and date. However, these additional information not only bring computational burden to the model, but also have uncertainty. To address these issues, we propose a novel multi-level feature fusion model based on graph attention temporal convolutional network (MLFGCN) for short-term residential load forecasting. The proposed MLFGCN model fully consider the potential long-term dependencies in a single load series and the correlations between multiple load series, and does not require any additional information to be added. Temporal convolutional network (TCN) with gating mechanism is introduced to learn potential long-term dependencies in the original load series. In addition, we design two graph attentive convolutional modules to capture potential multi-level dependencies in load data. Finally, the outputs of each module are fused through an information fusion layer to obtain the highly accurate forecasting results. We conduct validation experiments on two real-world datasets, which demonstrate that our proposed model is always better than the baselines.