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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article
Front. Med.
Sec. Gastroenterology
Volume 12 - 2025 | doi: 10.3389/fmed.2025.1533544
The Burden and Trends of Gastric Cancer from 1990 to 2021 in China and Globally: A Cross-Sectional Study
Provisionally accepted
Yulai Yin 1*
Xiaoyu Zhang 2*- 1 Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China
- 2 Cangzhou Central Hospital, Cangzhou, Hebei, China
This study aimed to systematically analyze the trends in gastric cancer burden in China and globally from 1990 to 2021 using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database, and to forecast future trends from 2022 to 2036. The findings provide a scientific basis for developing targeted gastric cancer prevention and control policies.Methods Age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR) and age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) for gastric cancer from 1990 to 2021 were extracted from the GBD database. These data were complemented by GLOBOCAN 2022 statistics to analyze the spatiotemporal characteristics of gastric cancer burden across time, sex, and regions. An autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model was employed to predict trends from 2022 to 2036.
Keywords: gastric cancer, disease burden, Incidence, Prevalence, socio-demographic index
Received: 24 Nov 2024; Accepted: 25 Feb 2025.
Copyright: © 2025 Yin and Zhang. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
* Correspondence:
Yulai Yin, Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China
Xiaoyu Zhang, Cangzhou Central Hospital, Cangzhou, 061001, Hebei, China
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