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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Med.
Sec. Gastroenterology
Volume 12 - 2025 | doi: 10.3389/fmed.2025.1492041

Nomograms of risk prediction and prognosis for the T1 -T2 stage gastric cancer with lymph node metastasis: a population-based study

Provisionally accepted
Guole Nie Guole Nie 1,2Longlong Geng Longlong Geng 1,2*Hao Zhan Hao Zhan 1,2*Shicheng Chu Shicheng Chu 1,2*Hong Jiang Hong Jiang 1,2,3*
  • 1 Department of Colorectal Hernia Surgery, Binzhou Medical University Hospital, Binzhou, China
  • 2 The First School of Clinical Medicine of Binzhou Medical University, Binzhou, China
  • 3 Department of Major Surgery, Binzhou Medical University Hospital, Binzhou, China

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

    Lymph node metastasis plays a crucial role in determining the appropriate treatment approach for patients with gastric cancer (GC), particularly those in the T1 -T2 stage.Currently available diagnostic strategies for GC with lymph nodes have limited accuracy. The present research aimed to create and validate diagnostic and prognostic nomograms specifically tailored for the T1 -T2 stage GC patients with LNM.Lymph node metastasis plays a crucial role in determining the appropriate treatment approach for patients with gastric cancer, particularly those in the T1 -T2 stage.Currently available diagnostic strategies for GC with lymph nodes have limited accuracy. The objectives of this study were to investigate the factors associated with lymph node metastasis (LNM) in patients with gastric cancer (GC) and to assess the prognosis of GC patients with LNM. Additionally, the research aimed to create and validate diagnostic and prognostic nomograms specifically tailored for GC patients with LNM.We derived clinicopathological characteristics of patients diagnosed with GC from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. We utilized univariate and multivariate logistic analyses to examine the risk factors linked with the occurrence of lymph node metastasis (LNM) in GC patients within the T1 -T2 stage. Furthermore, the prognostic factors related to the T1 -T2 stage GC patients with LNM were explored by univariate and multivariate cox analyses. Two nomograms were built by the risk factors screened above.Ultimately, our study included 5350 patients with T1 -T2 stage GC. After identifying age, T stage, tumor size, primary site, grade, and histological type as risk factors for the LNM occurrence, we successfully developed a diagnostic nomogram utilizing these variables. Age, T stage, M stage, tumor size, primary site, grade, radiation, surgery, and chemotherapy were all independent prognostic factors that related to the T1 -T2 GC patients with LNM. The results of the AUC, calibration curve and decision curve analysis (DCA) showed excellent calibration performance and clinical applicability of the two nomograms. The Kaplan-Meier (K-M) curves clearly demonstrated a notable distinction in overall survival between low-risk and high-risk groups, highlighting the prognostic significance of the nomogram.

    Keywords: gastric cancer, lymph node metastasis, nomogram, Risk factors, overall survival

    Received: 06 Sep 2024; Accepted: 03 Jan 2025.

    Copyright: © 2025 Nie, Geng, Zhan, Chu and Jiang. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

    * Correspondence:
    Longlong Geng, Department of Colorectal Hernia Surgery, Binzhou Medical University Hospital, Binzhou, China
    Hao Zhan, Department of Colorectal Hernia Surgery, Binzhou Medical University Hospital, Binzhou, China
    Shicheng Chu, Department of Colorectal Hernia Surgery, Binzhou Medical University Hospital, Binzhou, China
    Hong Jiang, Department of Colorectal Hernia Surgery, Binzhou Medical University Hospital, Binzhou, China

    Disclaimer: All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.