AUTHOR=Kiagias Dimitrios , Russo Giulia , Sgroi Giuseppe , Pappalardo Francesco , Juárez Miguel A. TITLE=Bayesian Augmented Clinical Trials in TB Therapeutic Vaccination JOURNAL=Frontiers in Medical Technology VOLUME=3 YEAR=2021 URL=https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/medical-technology/articles/10.3389/fmedt.2021.719380 DOI=10.3389/fmedt.2021.719380 ISSN=2673-3129 ABSTRACT=

We propose a Bayesian hierarchical method for combining in silico and in vivo data onto an augmented clinical trial with binary end points. The joint posterior distribution from the in silico experiment is treated as a prior, weighted by a measure of compatibility of the shared characteristics with the in vivo data. We also formalise the contribution and impact of in silico information in the augmented trial. We illustrate our approach to inference with in silico data from the UISS-TB simulator, a bespoke simulator of virtual patients with tuberculosis infection, and synthetic physical patients from a clinical trial.