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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article
Front. Mar. Sci.
Sec. Marine Affairs and Policy
Volume 11 - 2024 |
doi: 10.3389/fmars.2024.1436552
Potential effects of Polar Silk Road on the global foreland evolution of China's coastal container ports
Provisionally accepted- East China Normal University, Shanghai, China
The white paper on China’s Arctic Policy, which proposed the joint construction of the Polar Silk Road (PSR), was officially published in January 2018. As a short and economically feasible sea route, the PSR will inevitably affect the carrier’s market choice behaviour, thereby affecting the foreland network structure and foreland pattern of China’s coastal container ports (CCCP). Grasping the evolution trend of CCCP foreland under the PSR will help predict the development trend of the port and shipping market in advance and enable measures to be taken to adapt to the changing market environment. This paper constructs the port foreland network evolution (PFNE) model and presents a complex network delineation method of port foreland to simulate the effects of PSR on CCCP foreland evolution in different scenarios. Results show that the PSR’s addition to the CCCP foreland network will improve shipping connectivity, increase the connection between long-distance ports, reshape the clustering groups, promote the orderliness of the network and help the development of small and medium-sized ports. China’s global maritime transport pattern will change, which is mainly reflected in the enhanced shipping links between CCCP and Asia, Europe and Africa, while the importance of the Americas for CCCP weaken. PSR has a more obvious role in promoting the establishment of maritime links between China’s northern ports and the world ports. In the discussion, we propose the development policy of CCCP under the PSR.
Keywords: Polar Silk Road, port foreland, port foreland network, Complex network theory, Scenario simulation
Received: 22 May 2024; Accepted: 29 Aug 2024.
Copyright: © 2024 Peng, Du, Zhang and Wang. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
* Correspondence:
Yan Peng, East China Normal University, Shanghai, China
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