Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have reshaped the treatment landscape of small cell lung cancer (SCLC), but only a minority of patients benefit from this therapy. Therefore, it is critical to identify potential risk factors that could predict the efficacy of ICI treatment in SCLC patients and identify patient subgroups who may benefit the most from ICI therapy.
Our study included a total of 183 SCLC patients who had received at least one dose of ICI treatment. We utilized both logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard regression to evaluate whether various patient clinical factors and serum biomarkers could serve as predictors of patient response to treatment and overall survival (OS) during ICI therapy.
Logistic regression showed that patients with a history of surgery (p=0.003, OR 9.06, 95% CI: (2.17, 37.9)) and no metastasis (p=0.008, OR 7.82, 95% CI: (1.73, 35.4)) exhibited a higher odds of response to ICI treatment. Cox regression analyses demonstrated that pretreatment blood albumin (p=0.003, HR 1.72, 95% CI: (1.21, 2.45)) and derived neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (dNLR) (p=0.003, HR 1.71, 95% CI: (1.20–2.44)) were independent predictors for OS in SCLC patients. By establishing a pre-treatment prognostic scoring system based on baseline albumin and dNLR, we found that patients with high albumin and low dNLR exhibited a significantly better prognosis than those with low albumin and high dNLR in both the full (P<.0001, HR 0.33, 95% CI: 0.20–0.55) and the metastatic cohort (P<.0001, HR 0.28, 95% CI: 0.15–0.51). The better prognostic group also had younger age, higher BMI and lower systemic inflammatory biomarker values than the unfavorable group (P<.0001).
Our data reveals the significant role of metastasis status and treatment history in predicting the initial response of SCLC patients to ICI treatment. However, baseline serum albumin and dNLR provide a more precise prognostic prediction for patient OS. The scoring system based on albumin and dNLR enhances the ability to stratify patient prognosis and holds the potential to guide clinical decision-making for SCLC patients undergoing ICI therapy.