Pathological complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) is associated with favorable outcomes in breast cancer patients. Identifying reliable predictors for pCR can assist in selecting patients who will derive the most benefit from NAC. The prognostic nutritional index (PNI) serves as an indicator of nutritional status and systemic immune competence. It has emerged as a prognostic biomarker in several malignancies; however, its predictive value for pCR in breast cancer remains uncertain. The objective of this study is to assess the predictive value of pretreatment PNI for pCR in breast cancer patients.
A total of 1170 patients who received NAC in two centers were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were divided into three cohorts: a training cohort (n=545), an internal validation cohort (n=233), and an external validation cohort (n=392). Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to assess the predictive value of PNI and other clinicopathological factors. A stepwise logistic regression model for pCR based on the smallest Akaike information criterion was utilized to develop a nomogram. The C-index, calibration plots and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the discrimination, calibration and clinical value of the model.
Patients with a high PNI (≥53) had a significantly increased pCR rate (OR 2.217, 95% CI 1.215-4.043,
The pretreatment PNI is a reliable predictor for pCR in breast cancer patients. The PNI-based nomogram is a low-cost, noninvasive tool with favorable predictive accuracy for pCR, which can assist in determining individualized treatment strategies for breast cancer patients.