There is a need to develop objective risk stratification tools to define efficient care pathways for trauma patients. Biomarker-based point of care testing may strengthen existing clinical tools currently available for this purpose. The dysregulation of pro- and anti-inflammatory cytokines in the pathogenesis of organ failure is well recognised. This study was carried out to evaluate whether blood concentrations of IL-6, IL-10, and IL-6:IL-10 ratios in the early stages of the illness are significantly different in patients with worsening organ function.
In this prospective observational cohort study, plasma concentrations of IL-6 and IL-10 on days 1, 3 and 5 were measured in 91 major trauma patients using a multiplexed cytometric bead array approach. A composite measure of adverse outcome - defined as SOFA ≥ 2 or mortality at 7 days, was the primary outcome. IL-6 and IL-10 concentrations in early samples (days 1, 3 & 5) in patients who developed SOFA ≥ 2 on day 7 were compared against those who did not. Similar composite outcome groups at day 5 and in groups with worsening or improving SOFA scores (ΔSOFA) at days 7 and 5 were undertaken as secondary analyses.
Stratification on day 7, 44 (48%) patients showed adverse outcomes. These adverse outcomes associated with significantly greater IL-6 concentrations on days 1 and 5 (Day 1: 47.65 [23.24-78.68] Vs 73.69 [39.93 – 118.07] pg/mL,
Early IL-6 and IL-10 concentrations are significantly greater in patients who develop worsening organ functions downstream. These differences may provide an alternate biomarker-based approach to strengthen risk stratification in trauma patients.