Despite encouraging results from immunotherapy combined with targeted therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the prognosis remains poor. Chemokines and their receptors are an essential component in the development of HCC, but their significance in HCC have not yet been fully elucidated. We aimed to establish chemokine-related prognostic signature and investigate the association between the genes and tumor immune microenvironment (TIME).
342 HCC patients have screened from the TCGA cohort. A prognostic signature was developed using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression and Cox proportional risk regression analysis. External validation was performed using the LIHC-JP cohort deployed from the ICGC database. Single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) data from the GEO database. Two nomograms were developed to estimate the outcome of HCC patients. RT-qPCR was used to validate the differences in the expression of genes contained in the signature.
The prognostic signature containing two chemokines-(CCL14, CCL20) and one chemokine receptor-(CCR3) was successfully established. The HCC patients were stratified into high- and low-risk groups according to their median risk scores. We found that patients in the low-risk group had better outcomes than those in the high-risk group. The results of univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses suggested that this prognostic signature could be considered an independent risk factor for the outcome of HCC patients. We discovered significant differences in the infiltration of various immune cell subtypes, tumor mutation burden, biological pathways, the expression of immune activation or suppression genes, and the sensitivity of different groups to chemotherapy agents and small molecule-targeted drugs in the high- and low-risk groups. Subsequently, single-cell analysis results showed that the higher expression of CCL20 was associated with HCC metastasis. The RT-qPCR results demonstrated remarkable discrepancies in the expression of CCL14, CCL20, and CCR3 between HCC and its paired adjacent non-tumor tissues.
In this study, a novel prognostic biomarker explored in depth the association between the prognostic model and TIME was developed and verified. These results may be applied in the future to improve the efficacy of immunotherapy or targeted therapy for HCC.