Kidney transplants fail more often in Black than in non-Black (White, non-Black Hispanic, and Asian) recipients. We used the estimated physicochemical immunogenicity for polymorphic amino acids of donor/recipient HLAs to select weakly immunogenic kidney transplants for Black vs. White or non-Black patients.
OPTN data for 65,040 donor/recipient pairs over a 20-year period were used to calculate the individual physicochemical immunogenicity by hydrophobic, electrostatic and amino acid mismatch scores (HMS, EMS, AMS) and graft-survival outcomes for Black vs. White or vs. non-Black recipients, using Kaplan-Meier survival and Cox regression analyses. Simulations for re-matching recipients with donors were based on race-adjusted HMS thresholds with clinically achievable allocations.
The retrospective median kidney graft survival was 12.0 years in Black vs. 18.6 years in White (6.6-year difference; p>0.001) and 18.4 years in non-Black (6.4-year difference; p>0.01) recipients. Only 0.7% of Blacks received transplants matched at HLA-A/B/DR/DQ (HMS=0) vs. 8.1% in Whites (p<0.001). Among fully matched Blacks (HMS=0), graft survival was 16.1-years and in well-matched Blacks (HMS ≤ 3.0) it was 14.0-years. Whites had 21.6-years survival at HMS ≤ 3.0 and 18.7-years at HMS ≤ 7.0 whereas non-Blacks had 22.0-year at HMS ≤ 3.0 and 18.7-year at HMS ≤ 7.0, confirming that higher HMS thresholds produced excellent survival. Simulation of ABO-compatible donor-recipient pairs using race-adjusted HMS thresholds identified weakly immunogenic matches at HMS=0 for 6.1% Blacks and 18.0% at HMS ≤ 3.0. Despite prioritizing Black patients, non-Black patients could be matched at the same level as in current allocation (47.0% vs 56.5%, at HMS ≤ 7.0).
Race-adjusted HMS (EMS, AMS)-based allocation increased the number of weakly immunogenic donors for Black patients, while still providing excellent options for non-Black recipients.