FLOOD RISK PERCEPTION AMONG HOUSEHOLDS OF FLOOD-PRONE AREAS IN THE LOWER BARO AKOBO BASIN, SOUTHWEST ETHIOPIA

Shibiru Chengu ^1* Mahammed Assen ² Elias Gebeyehu ³

• ¹ Arba Minch University, Arba Minch, Ethiopia
• ² Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
• ³ Arba Minch Water Technology Institute, Arba Minch University, Arba Minch, Southern Nations, Nationalities, and Peoples' Region, Ethiopia

This study examines flood risk perceptions among vulnerable households in the Itang Watershed, Lower Baro-Akobo Basin, southwestern Ethiopia, and explores the socioeconomic factors influencing these perceptions. Data were collected from 373 households across nine kebeles (smallest administrative unit, functioning as a local government structure) using a survey questionnaire, with binary logistic regression analysis. The results showed that prior flood experience made respondents 3.35 times more likely to perceive high flood risk (coefficient 3.353, p < 0.001), making this the strongest predictor in the study. Income was positively associated with flood risk perception (coefficient = 1.363, p = 0.001), indicating that wealthier individuals are more concerned about protecting their assets. Homeowners were less likely to perceive high flood risk compared to renters (coefficient = -1.664, p = 0.007), suggesting greater confidence or resources to mitigate flood risks. Employment status also had a substantial impact, with unemployed individuals significantly more likely to perceive high flood risk than employed ones (coefficient = -2.916, p < 0.001), underscoring the critical role of socio-economic conditions. Proximity to the river had a marginally significant effect (coefficient = 1.105, p = 0.053), with those living closer to the river perceiving slightly higher flood risk. Residents in lower watershed kebeles were more likely to perceive high flood risk compared to those in upper watershed kebeles (coefficient = -1.664, p = 0.072). However, age, household size, and education level were not significantly associated with flood risk perception. This study provides valuable insights for disaster management authorities to design region-specific flood risk preparedness and response strategies, eventually enhancing community resilience.