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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Environ. Sci.
Sec. Environmental Economics and Management
Volume 12 - 2024 | doi: 10.3389/fenvs.2024.1518120
This article is part of the Research Topic Urban Carbon Emissions and Anthropogenic Activities View all 11 articles

The evolution, characteristics, and driving forces of the rural-urban HCEs in China: based on the EIO-SDA model

Provisionally accepted
Yang YANG Yang YANG 1*Meijian Yang Meijian Yang 2*Jia Luo Jia Luo 1*Zhengzao Wang Zhengzao Wang 1*Yuanying Chi Yuanying Chi 1*Yahui Chen Yahui Chen 1*
  • 1 Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, China
  • 2 Anhui Polytechnic University, Wuhu, Anhui Province, China

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

    This study conducts a comparative analysis of the trends and characteristics of the rural and urban households' carbon emissions (HCEs) in China in 1997-2020, by applying the environmental input-output (EIO) model. Then, a three-stage SDA model is applied to decompose the driving forces of the rural and urban HCEs evolution into population effect, per capita HCEs effect, expenditure effect, CE intensity effect, energy structure effect, and energy consumption intensity effect. It is obtained that the rural HCEs increases before 2015 and then decreases, but its per capita HCEs has always shown an upward trend. The urban HCEs has been increasing, but its per capita HCEs starts to decrease after 2015. Indirect HCEs accounts for over 80% of both the rural and urban HCEs, and Residence, Food and Tobacco, Transportation and Communication are the three biggest contributing sectors. To reveal the driving forces of the rural and urban HCEs evolution, this study conducts phase decomposition analysis with 2015 as a turning point. For rural HCEs, in 1997HCEs, in -2015, rural , rural HCEs increased due to the dominant expenditure effect; from 2015 to 2020, the driving force reversed, leading to a decline in rural HCEs. For urban HCEs, the positive population and expenditure effects have always been larger than the negative energy structure and energy consumption intensity effects, resulting growth in urban HCEs. For urban per capita HCEs, in 1997-2015, the positive expenditure effect is greater than the negative CE intensity effect, leading to an increase in urban per capita HCEs, and a positive urban per capita HCEs effect. In 2015 -2020, the driving force reversed, leading to a decline in urban per capita HCEs. Based on above results, countermeasures to promote rural and urban HCEs reduction are discussed.

    Keywords: Households' carbon emissions (HCEs), Evolutionary trend, Characteristics, Driving forces, EIO-SDA model

    Received: 28 Oct 2024; Accepted: 29 Nov 2024.

    Copyright: © 2024 YANG, Yang, Luo, Wang, Chi and Chen. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

    * Correspondence:
    Yang YANG, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, China
    Meijian Yang, Anhui Polytechnic University, Wuhu, 241000, Anhui Province, China
    Jia Luo, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, China
    Zhengzao Wang, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, China
    Yuanying Chi, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, China
    Yahui Chen, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing, China

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