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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Environ. Sci.
Sec. Environmental Informatics and Remote Sensing
Volume 12 - 2024 | doi: 10.3389/fenvs.2024.1476761

An Integrated Approach to Flood Risk Assessment using Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis and Geographic Information System. A case study from a flood-prone region of Pakistan

Provisionally accepted
  • 1 Chang’an University, Xi'an, China
  • 2 School of Water and Environmental, Chang’an University, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China
  • 3 Key Laboratory of Subsurface Hydrology and Ecological Effects in Arid Region, Ministry of Education, Chang’an University, Xi’an, China
  • 4 National Defense College of the United Arab Emirates, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
  • 5 Department of Atmospheric and Oceanographic Sciences, Fudan University, Shanghai, Shanghai Municipality, China

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

    Flood risk assessment is crucial for effective disaster risk management and community resilience.However, the current research lacks strength in identifying high-risk areas, implementing flood early warning systems, prioritising risk reduction measures, and allocating resources for emergency response planning and management. This study aims to assess flood hazard in Mirzadhare, Charsadda a highly flood-prone area in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province of Pakistan.The study used an integrated approach by employing geographical information system (GIS) and multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) techniques. Further, the study used multiple datasets, including rainfall, stream density, and village points to map out flood susceptibility in the study region. Data was collected from field surveys, questionnaires, and interviews, allowing for a detailed analysis of flood hazards. Selecting average precipitation, peak river flow, and historical flood frequency as indicators, the weights of the three are 0.4, 0.3, and 0.3 respectively, an indicator system for predicting flood disasters was constructed. The results categorised the study area into four hazard zones: very high, high, medium, and low, based on their susceptibility to flood hazards. The study findings reveal that more than 65% of the area, including agricultural land with other livelihood settlements, is at a very high risk of flood hazard. Over 50% of the population lives in floodplains and faces an extremely high risk of future flood events. The precision of the results may have been affected by the accuracy and completeness of the data sources utilised, such as historical flood records, precipitation data, stream network data, and stream density. This combination of methods enabled the creation of accurate, data-driven flood risk maps. The hazard map of the area serves as a valuable tool for decision-making, resource allocation, and the development of flood risk management strategies. Based on the study findings, regular updates and continuous monitoring are recommended to ensure the accuracy and relevance of the flood hazard information over time.

    Keywords: Flood hazard, GIS, MCDA, Risk mapping, Charsadda, Pakistan

    Received: 06 Aug 2024; Accepted: 23 Dec 2024.

    Copyright: © 2024 Ibrahim, Huo, Ullah, Ullah and Xuantao. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

    * Correspondence:
    Muhammad Ibrahim, Chang’an University, Xi'an, China
    Aidi Huo, School of Water and Environmental, Chang’an University, Xi'an, 710064, Shaanxi, China
    Waheed Ullah, National Defense College of the United Arab Emirates, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

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