Skip to main content

REVIEW article

Front. Environ. Sci.
Sec. Interdisciplinary Climate Studies
Volume 12 - 2024 | doi: 10.3389/fenvs.2024.1460155
This article is part of the Research Topic Climate Change Impacts on Arctic Ecosystems and Associated Climate Feedbacks View all 3 articles

Vulnerability of Arctic-Boreal Methane Emissions to Climate Change

Provisionally accepted
Frans-Jan W. Parmentier Frans-Jan W. Parmentier 1*Brett F. Thornton Brett F. Thornton 2Anna Silyakova Anna Silyakova 3Torben R. Christensen Torben R. Christensen 4,5
  • 1 University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
  • 2 Stockholm University, Stockholm, Stockholm, Sweden
  • 3 HUB Ocean, Oslo, Norway
  • 4 Aarhus University, Aarhus, Central Denmark Region, Denmark
  • 5 University of Oulu, Oulu, Northern Ostrobothnia, Finland

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

    The rapid warming of the Arctic-Boreal region has led to the concern that large amounts of methane may be released to the atmosphere from its carbon-rich soils, as well as subsea permafrost, amplifying climate change. In this review, we assess the various sources and sinks of methane from northern high latitudes, in particular those that may be enhanced by permafrost thaw. The largest terrestrial sources of the Arctic-Boreal region are its numerous wetlands, lakes, rivers and streams. However, fires, geological seeps and glacial margins can be locally strong emitters. In addition, dry upland soils are an important sink of atmospheric methane. We estimate that the net emission of all these landforms and point sources may be as much as 48.7 [13.3-86.9] Tg CH4 yr -1 . The Arctic Ocean is also a net source of methane to the atmosphere, in particular its shallow shelves, but we assess that the marine environment emits a fraction of what is released from the terrestrial domain: 4.9 [0.4-19.4] Tg CH4 yr - 1 . While it appears unlikely that emissions from the ocean surface to the atmosphere are increasing, now or in the foreseeable future, evidence points towards a modest increase from terrestrial sources over the past decades, in particular wetlands and possibly lakes. The influence of permafrost thaw on future methane emissions may be strongest through associated changes in the hydrology of the landscape rather than the availability of previously frozen carbon. Although high latitude methane sources are not yet acting as a strong climate feedback, they might play an increasingly important role in the net greenhouse gas balance of the Arctic-Boreal region with continued climate change.

    Keywords: Methane, Permafrost, wetlands, Lakes, Gas Hydrates, Arctic Ocean, Arctic-Boreal region

    Received: 05 Jul 2024; Accepted: 23 Sep 2024.

    Copyright: © 2024 Parmentier, Thornton, Silyakova and Christensen. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

    * Correspondence: Frans-Jan W. Parmentier, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway

    Disclaimer: All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.