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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Energy Res.
Sec. Smart Grids
Volume 12 - 2024 | doi: 10.3389/fenrg.2024.1476613
This article is part of the Research Topic Optimal Scheduling of Demand Response Resources In Energy Markets For High Trading Revenue and Low Carbon Emissions View all 31 articles

Multi-Task Learning Load Time Series Situational Prediction Based on Gated Recurrent Neural Networks Considering Spatial Correlations

Provisionally accepted
Mei Huang Mei Huang 1Qian Ai Qian Ai 2*
  • 1 Shenzhen Power Supply Company, Shenzhen, China
  • 2 Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

    Accurate load forecasting plays a crucial role in the effective planning, operation, and management of modern power systems. In this study, a novel approach to load time series situational prediction is proposed, which integrates spatial correlations of heterogeneous load resources through the application of Random Matrix Theory (RMT) with a Multi-Task Learning (MTL) framework based on Gated Recurrent Units (GRU). RMT is utilized to capture the complex, high-dimensional statistical relationships among various load profiles, enabling a deeper understanding of the underlying data patterns that traditional methods may overlook. The GRU-based MTL framework is employed to exploit these spatiotemporal correlations, allowing for the sharing of essential features across multiple tasks, which in turn enhances the accuracy and robustness of load predictions. This approach was validated using real-world data, demonstrating notable improvements in prediction accuracy when compared to single-task learning models. The results indicate that this method effectively captures complex relationships within the data, leading to more accurate load forecasting. This enhanced predictive capability is expected to contribute significantly to improving demand-side management, reducing the risks of grid overloading, and supporting the integration of renewable energy sources, thereby fostering the overall sustainability and resilience of power systems.

    Keywords: random matrix theory, Multi-task learning, Gated recurrent neural networks, Situational prediction, spatial correlations

    Received: 06 Aug 2024; Accepted: 22 Oct 2024.

    Copyright: © 2024 Huang and Ai. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

    * Correspondence: Qian Ai, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China

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