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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Energy Res.
Sec. Wind Energy
Volume 12 - 2024 | doi: 10.3389/fenrg.2024.1427587

MRGS-LSTM: A novel multi-site wind speed prediction approach with spatio-temporal correlation

Provisionally accepted
Yueguang Zhou Yueguang Zhou Xiuxiang Fan Xiuxiang Fan *
  • Hubei University of Technology, Wuhan, China

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

    The wind energy industry is witnessing a new era of extraordinary growth as the demand for renewable energy continues to grow. However, accurately predicting wind speed remains a significant challenge due to its high fluctuation and randomness. These difficulties hinder effective wind farm management and integration into the power grid. To address this issue, we propose the MRGS-LSTM model to improve the accuracy and reliability of wind speed prediction results, which considers the complex spatio-temporal correlations between features at multiple sites. First, mRMR-RF filters the input multidimensional meteorological variables and computes the feature subset with minimum information redundancy. Second, the feature map topology is constructed by quantifying the spatial distance distribution of the multiple sites and the maximum mutual information coefficient among the features. On this basis, the GraphSAGE framework is used to sample and aggregate the feature information of neighboring sites to extract spatial feature vectors. Then, the spatial feature vectors are input into the long short-term memory (LSTM) model after sliding window sampling.The LSTM model learns the temporal features of wind speed data to output the predicted results of the spatio-temporal correlation at each site. Finally, through the simulation experiments based on real historical data from the Roscoe Wind Farm in Texas, USA, we prove that our model MRGS-LSTM improves the performance of MAE by 15.43%-27.97% and RMSE by 12.57%-25.40% compared with other models of the same type. The experimental results verify the validity and superiority of our proposed model and provide a more reliable basis for the scheduling and optimization of wind farms.

    Keywords: multi-site wind speed prediction, deep learning, GraphSage, Long and short-term memory, spatio-temporal correlation

    Received: 04 May 2024; Accepted: 16 Aug 2024.

    Copyright: © 2024 Zhou and Fan. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

    * Correspondence: Xiuxiang Fan, Hubei University of Technology, Wuhan, China

    Disclaimer: All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.