AUTHOR=Xiang Kunxuan , Zhou You , Zhou Enze , Lu Junhan , Liu Hui , Huang Yu TITLE=A Spatial Assessment of Wildfire Risk for Transmission-Line Corridor Based on a Weighted Naïve Bayes Model JOURNAL=Frontiers in Energy Research VOLUME=10 YEAR=2022 URL=https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/energy-research/articles/10.3389/fenrg.2022.829934 DOI=10.3389/fenrg.2022.829934 ISSN=2296-598X ABSTRACT=

In order to improve the wildfire prevention capacity of transmission lines, a wildfire risk assessment method for transmission-line corridors based on Weighted Naïve Bayes (WNB) is proposed in this paper. Firstly, the importance of 14 collected types of wildfire-related factors is analyzed based on the information gain ratio. Then, the optimal factors set and the most accurate sampling table are constructed by deleting the factors in the lowest order of importance one by one. Finally, the performance of the WNB model is compared to that of NB and BNW models according to the ROC curve and visualization. A total of 76.36% of fire events in 2020 fell in high-risk and very-high-risk regions, indicating the acceptable accuracy of the proposed assessment method of wildfire risk.