XiaoDong Zhao ¹ Kai Kou ^1* Honglan Zhou ¹ Xi Wang ^2* Xin Gao ¹ Yishu Wang ³ JiaLin Gao ^1* Faping Li ^1*

• ¹ First Affiliated Hospital of Jilin University, Changchun, Jilin Province, China
• ² Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan Province, China
• ³ Jilin University, Changchun, Hebei Province, China

Despite the potential demonstrated by targeted plasma metabolite modulators in halting the progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD), a lingering uncertainty persists concerning the causal relationship between distinct plasma metabolites and the onset and progression of CKD.A genome-wide association study was conducted on 1,091 metabolites and 309 metabolite ratios derived from a cohort of 8,299 unrelated individuals of European descent. Employing a bidirectional two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis in conjunction with colocalization analysis, we systematically investigated the associations between these metabolites and three phenotypes: CKD, creatinine-estimated glomerular filtration rate (creatinine-eGFR), and urine albumin creatinine ratio (UACR). In the MR analysis, the primary analytical approach employed was inverse variance weighting (IVW), and sensitivity analysis was executed utilizing the MR-Egger method and MR-pleiotropy residual sum and outlier (MR-PRESSO). Heterogeneity was carefully evaluated through Cochrane's Q test. To ensure the robustness of our MR results, the leave-one-out method was implemented, and the strength of causal relationships was subjected to scrutiny via Bonferroni correction.Our thorough MR analysis involving 1,400 plasma metabolites and three clinical phenotypes yielded a discerning identification of 21 plasma metabolites significantly associated with diverse outcomes. Specifically, in the forward MR analysis, 6 plasma metabolites were determined to be causally associated with CKD, 16 with creatinine-eGFR, and 7 with UACR. Substantiated by robust evidence from colocalization analysis, 6 plasma metabolites shared causal variants with CKD, 16 with creatinine-eGFR, and 7 with UACR. In the reverse analysis, a diminished creatinine-eGFR was linked to elevated levels of nine plasma metabolites. Notably, no discernible associations were observed between other plasma metabolites and CKD, creatinine-eGFR, and UACR. Importantly, our analysis detected no evidence of horizontal pleiotropy.This study elucidates specific plasma metabolites causally associated with CKD and renal functions, providing potential targets for intervention. These findings contribute to an enriched understanding of the genetic underpinnings of CKD and renal functions, paving the way for precision medicine applications and therapeutic strategies aimed at impeding disease progression.