Biomarkers for extracranial oligometastatic disease remain elusive and few studies have attempted to correlate genomic data to the presence of true oligometastatic disease.
Patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and brain metastases were identified in our departmental database. Electronic medical records were used to identify patients for whom liquid biopsy-based comprehensive genomic profiling (Guardant Health) was available. Extracranial oligometastatic disease was defined as patients having ≤5 non-brain metastases without diffuse involvement of a single organ. Widespread disease was any spread beyond oligometastatic. Fisher’s exact tests were used to screen for mutations statistically associated (p<0.1) with either oligometastatic or widespread extracranial disease. A risk score for the likelihood of oligometastatic disease was generated and correlated to the likelihood of having oligometastatic disease vs widespread disease. For oligometastatic patients, a competing risk analysis was done to assess for cumulative incidence of oligometastatic progression. Cox regression was used to determine association between oligometastatic risk score and oligoprogression.
130 patients met study criteria and were included in the analysis. 51 patients (39%) had extracranial oligometastatic disease. Genetic mutations included in the Guardant panel that were associated (p<0.1) with the presence of oligometastatic disease included ATM, JAK2, MAP2K2, and NTRK1, while ARID1A and CCNE1 were associated with widespread disease. Patients with a positive, neutral and negative risk score for oligometastatic disease had a 78%, 41% and 11.5% likelihood of having oligometastatic disease, respectively (p<0.0001). Overall survival for patients with positive, neutral and negative risk scores for oligometastatic disease was 86% vs 82% vs 64% at 6 months (p=0.2). Oligometastatic risk score was significantly associated with the likelihood of oligoprogression based on the Wald chi-square test. Patients with positive, neutral and negative risk scores for oligometastatic disease had a cumulative incidence of oligometastatic progression of 77% vs 35% vs 33% at 6 months (p=0.03).
Elucidation of a genomic signature for extracranial oligometastatic disease derived from non-invasive liquid biopsy appears feasible for NSCLC patients. Patients with this signature exhibited higher rates of early oligoprogression. External validation could lead to a biomarker that has the potential to direct local therapies in oligometastatic patients.