Recent evidence has revealed that the aspartate aminotransferase to alanine aminotransferase ratio (AST/ALT ratio) may be closely associated with metabolic syndrome and insulin resistance. However, it is unclear whether the AST/ALT ratio correlates with prediabetes risk. The aim of our study was to examine the association between AST/ALT ratios and the risk of prediabetes among a large cohort of Chinese subjects.
This retrospective cohort study recruited 75204 Chinese adults with normoglycemia at baseline who underwent physical examinations at the Rich Healthcare Group from 2010 to 2016. The AST/ALT ratio at baseline was the target independent variable, and the risk of developing prediabetes during follow-up was the dependent variable. Cox proportional-hazards regression was used to evaluate the independent association between the AST/ALT ratio and prediabetes. This study identified nonlinear relationships by applying a generalized additive model (GAM) and smooth curve fitting. In order to assess the robustness of this study, we performed a series of sensitivity analyses. Moreover, we performed a subgroup analysis to evaluate the consistency of the association in different subgroups. Data from this study have been updated on the DATADRYAD website.
The AST/ALT ratio was negatively and independently related to the prediabetes risk among Chinese adults (HR: 0.76, 95% CI: 0.75-0.84, P<0.0001) after adjusting demographic and biochemical covariates. Furthermore, a nonlinear relationship between the AST/ALT ratio and the risk of developing prediabetes was found at an inflection point of 1.50 for the AST/ALT ratio. When the AST/ALT ratio was to the left of the inflection point (AST/ALT ratio ≤ 1.50), the AST/ALT ratio was negatively related to the prediabetes risk (HR:0.70, 95%CI: 0.65-0.76, P<0.0001). In contrast, the relationship tended to be saturated when the AST/ALT ratio was more than 1.50 (HR: 1.01, 95%CI: 0.89-1.15, P=0.8976). Our findings remained robust across a range of sensitivity analyses. Subgroup analysis revealed that other variables did not alter the relationship between the AST/ALT ratio and prediabetes risk.
This study revealed that AST/ALT ratio was negatively and independently associated with prediabetes risk among Chinese participants. The relationship between the AST/ALT ratio and prediabetes risk was nonlinear, and AST/ALT ratio ≤ 1.50 was strongly inversely correlated with prediabetes risk.