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ORIGINAL RESEARCH article

Front. Earth Sci.

Sec. Solid Earth Geophysics

Volume 13 - 2025 | doi: 10.3389/feart.2025.1558550

This article is part of the Research Topic Advances in Petrophysics of Unconventional Oil and Gas View all 9 articles

The Different Member Equivalent Circulating Density (ECD) Prediction Model and Drilling Parameter Optimization under Narrow Density Window

Provisionally accepted
Wanchun Zhao Wanchun Zhao 1Zhipeng Yang Zhipeng Yang 2Tingting Wang Tingting Wang 3*Yan Zhou Yan Zhou 4Wei Song Wei Song 4Jingrun Li Jingrun Li 2Peihong Zhai Peihong Zhai 2
  • 1 National Key Laboratory of Green Multi-Resource Collaborative Onshore Shale Oil Exploitation, Daqing, China
  • 2 School of Petroleum Engineering, Northeast Petroleum University, Daqing, China
  • 3 School of Electrical & Information Engineering, Northeast Petroleum University, Daqing, China
  • 4 Oil Production Technology Research Institute of Jidong Oilfield Company,PetroChina, Tangshan, China

The final, formatted version of the article will be published soon.

    Wellbore stability is a key factor in ensuring safe and efficient drilling operations. The variation in Equivalent Circulating Density (ECD) has a significant impact on safety, economics, and drilling progress. As unconventional resources like shale gas and tight oil are explored, geological conditions and reservoir characteristics have become more complex. These complexities lead to narrower density windows, making precise ECD control essential. Proper control can prevent incidents such as lost circulation, blowouts, and wellbore collapse. This study establishes a new ECD calculation model. The model accounts for total fluid pressure loss, formation temperature, and formation pressure. An ECD prediction model based on drilling parameters and segmented reservoir layers is also proposed. The model uses nonlinear regression algorithms to predict ECD values for different members. It integrates real-time drilling data such as depth, drilling pressure, displacement, and rotational speed, along with formation temperature and pressure. The model also optimizes drilling parameters to keep the ECD within the safe density window. Case studies from a high-temperature, high-pressure volcaniclastic reservoir well in the Nanpu region validate the models. The correlation coefficients (R²) of the calculation and prediction models exceed 0.99. After optimization, the ECD for Ed2, Ed3, Es1, and Es3 1 remains within the safe window. This significantly improves wellbore stability and ensures operational safety. The results reveal notable differences in regression coefficients across different members. This confirms the necessity of using member-specific ECD prediction models. Additionally, the safe parameter ranges provided by this study offer practical guidance for drilling design. These models have broad application prospects, especially in complex geological environments.

    Keywords: Different Member Prediction, Narrow density window, ECD optimization, drilling parameters, wellbore stability

    Received: 10 Jan 2025; Accepted: 31 Mar 2025.

    Copyright: © 2025 Zhao, Yang, Wang, Zhou, Song, Li and Zhai. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

    * Correspondence: Tingting Wang, School of Electrical & Information Engineering, Northeast Petroleum University, Daqing, China

    Disclaimer: All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article or claim that may be made by its manufacturer is not guaranteed or endorsed by the publisher.

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