The impact of serum uric acid (SUA) trajectories on the development of retinal arteriosclerosis is uncertain. The purpose of this study was to identify adult SUA trajectories by sex and determine their association with risk of retinal arteriosclerosis.
In this longitudinal study, 4,324 participants who were aged between 18 and 60 years without retinal arteriosclerosis at or before baseline (from January 1, 2010, through December 31, 2010) were included. Group-based trajectory modeling was used to identify SUA trajectories during the exposure period (from January 1, 2006, through December 31, 2010). Cox proportional-hazards models were applied to evaluate the associations between SUA trajectories and the risk of incident retinal arteriosclerosis during the outcome period (from January 1, 2011, through December 31, 2019).
4 distinct SUA trajectories were identified in both women and men: low, moderate, moderate-high, and high. During a median follow-up of 9.54 years (IQR 9.53–9.56), 97 women and 295 men had developed retinal arteriosclerosis. In the fully adjusted model, a significant association between the moderate-high SUA trajectory group and incidence of retinal arteriosclerosis was observed only in men (HR: 1.76, 95% CI: 1.17–2.65) compared with the low trajectory group, but not in women (HR: 0.77, 95% CI: 0.39–1.52). Also, the high SUA trajectory group had the highest risk with an adjusted HR of 1.81 (95% CI, 1.04–3.17) in men. However, they did not exhibit a substantially increased risk in women.
Higher SUA trajectory groups were significantly associated with an increased risk of incident retinal arteriosclerosis in men but not in women.